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Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Arkansas Razorbacks†Odds - Prediction

No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS) vs. No. 16 Arkansas Razorbacks (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS)
College Football Week 6
Date/Time: Saturday, October 8th, 7:00PM (EST)
Where: Razorback Stadium Fayetteville, A.R.
TV: ESPN
by Jay, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: ALA -14/ARK +14
Over/Under Total: TBA

One of the marquee games in the SEC on Saturday will take place in Fayetteville when the no. 20 Arkansas Razorbacks attempt to knock off the top ranked Alabama Crimson Tide inside Razorback Stadium. Arkansas faltered in their first SEC contest two weeks ago that resulted in the Razorbacks only loss this season at the hands of no. 10 Texas A&M. However, they will get a chance for redemption in a big way this Saturday as they seek program signature win over Alabama. If Arkansas is able to deliver the upset, it would snap a 9 year losing drought at the hands of the Crimson Tide.

Even though the Crimson Tide is the consensus number 1 team in the country and they have only truly been challenge by one team this year (Ole Miss), Alabama is about to embark on a 3 game stretch that is going to be tough even for Nick Sabanís group. The Crimson Tide starts on the road this week against no. 16 Arkansas, then follows that up with a trip to Knoxville to take on no. 9 Tennessee, then back home against no. 8 Texas A&M. Therefore Alabama is going to have their hands full over these next few weeks.

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Alabama actually had their hands full last week against Kentucky at least for the majority of the first half. However, running back Joshua Jacobs got going and the defense scored a touchdown which put things into motion. It has become kind of a trend in some facets that the Alabama defense has ignited the offense. It was a fumble return for a touchdown that got the Crimson Tide back into the game against Ole Miss, it was an interception return for a touchdown that started the blowout against no. 20 USC, and it was another defensive touchdown that got the offense rolling against last week after a sluggish start against Kentucky.

I had my concerns about Alabamaís offense this season and I thought that might cause some early season struggles. While the offense has had some struggles, the defense has played absolutely outstanding and that is scary considering the offense should only get better as the year progresses. This week Alabamaís defense will have the task of trying to stop an Arkansas offense that is producing nearly 200 yards per game on the ground. Running back Rawleigh Williams has been a work horse for this team with 101 carries already through the first 5 games. Williams has produced 559 yards on the ground and 4 touchdowns as a result of those carries but it will be interesting to see if he gets the same type of workload against Alabama who ranks #1 in the FBS allowing just 2.43 yards per rush.

While I am sure Williams will get his touches, Arkansas will likely have to turn to the arm of Austin Allen to move the football. Allen has been surprisingly strong this year completing 67% of his passes for 1,232 yards with 12 touchdowns and just 2 picks on the season. I believe Chad Kelly shed some light on the best way to attack Alabamaís defense and I am more interested to see if Bret Bielema will dial up a game plan that will allow Allen to attack the field vertically.

Bielema typically keeps the football on the ground which may not be the best approach this week. However, Arkansasís defense is good enough to keep them in the game if they can limit the big plays despite what the game plan may be on offense. Quarterback Jalen Hurts has a ton of talent but he does go through stretches of inconsistency. With running back Damien Harris still nursing an ankle injury, it will be interesting to see if either he or Joshua Jacobs can come up with some big plays in the run game to spark the offense. Last week, Jacobs was the guy that stepped up to rush for 100 yards on just 16 carries and this offense needs someone to step up on a more consistent basis especially over these next few weeks against teams that will be capable of delivering the upset.

Jay's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: While many expect Arkansas to be challenge to worry about the least over the next 3 games, I actually think they could be the biggest. This Razorbacks team is gritty and they will put up a really tough fight. This has been a close game in each of the last 2 years and it will be again on Saturday. Take Arkansas +14

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NCAA Football Week 13 Betting Previews

Here are some additional game previews with against the spread predictions.

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Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

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2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

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Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

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