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Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Florida State Seminoles†Odds - Prediction

No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (0-0 SU, 0-0 ATS) vs. No. 3 Florida State Seminoles (0-0 SU, 0-0 ATS)
College Football Week 1
Date/Time: Saturday September 2nd, 2017. 8:00PM (EST)
Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium Atlanta, G.A.
TV: ABC
by Jay, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: ALA -7/FSU +7
Over/Under Total: TBA

So you want to start off the college football season with a bang? Letís put the #1 ranked team in college football via the Nick Saban dynasty with the Alabama Crimson Tide up against the no. 3 ranked Florida State Seminoles in the opening game of the year in a classic ACC vs. SEC matchup at primetime on ABC and just to spice it up letís set the location to the brand new Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA as an epic battling ground. Sound good? Well thatís what college football fans will get this Saturday when two of the top programs in college football collide in an opening week blockbuster between two of the biggest fan bases in the south. Ah yes, college football is back in a big way!

If you do not understand the importance of this game, then let me paint the picture. Alabama was one play away from claiming back to back National Championships last year but a late Deshaun Watson touchdown to Hunter Renfrow derailed that plan. However, Alabama returns one of the most talented groups in the country led by quarterback Jalen Hurts, a stable of running backs in Damien Harris and Bo Scarbrough, and overwhelming talent in nearly every facet of the game. In nearly every stretch of the imagination, Alabama should be better than they were a year ago when they swept through the season undefeated in route to their 5th National Championship appearance in the last 8 years.

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On the other side of the field, the expectations coming out of Tallahassee are perhaps the highest they have been since the Seminoles 2013 championship run. The Noles are loaded with talent and perhaps have the talent in the trenches to pick up where Clemson left off last year by dethroning Alabama from the pinnacle of college football. The stakes are extremely high. Win and take clear control as the no. 1 team in America with an inside track back to the playoffs barring any unforeseen collapses. I know the SEC is tough and Florida State has to deal with Clemson. However, this is still the stakes as of week 1. A loss would derail any of those hopes and expectations would take a backseat until proven otherwise.

The reason this game may live up to the hype is because both teams matchup fairly well against each other. Florida State has the size in the trenches to make stands and they have perhaps the best defensive secondary in the country. Alabama quarterback Jalen Hurts struggled at times last year throwing the football especially in high pressured games against talented defenses. Look back at LSU and the Iron Bowl for late season references. We expect Hurts to be improved somewhat this year but how much? Also, if the Seminoles defense can stand strong against the run to force Hurts into obvious passing situations it would be ideal for Florida Stateís chances to win. Lose the battle in the trenches against Alabama and that opens up the door for the rest of the offense which could lead to another big Alabama opening win echoing the results of the 52-6 win over USC last year, 35-17 over Wisconsin before that, and notable wins over West Virginia, Virginia Tech, and Michigan in recent years in opening games.

For Florida State, my biggest question on the other side of the ball is can Deondre Francois lead this team to victory? Dalvin Cook is no longer the homerun threat out of the backfield and Alabama has been one of the best teams against the run in recent years. More importantly Alabama forced more turnovers and scored more non-offensive touchdowns than any team in the FBS last year. Therefore, Florida State cannot afford to make mistakes and that is my fear. In big games last year, Francois struggled completing 38% in the blowout loss to Louisville, 48.6% in the loss to Clemson, and even 50% in the win against in-state rival Florida. If you read my Heisman Trophy predictions piece, then you already know that I do not have the biggest faith in Francois so he will need to have a huge game to make this upset possible.

Jay's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: I think Florida State is over hyped and I have said that for weeks now. They get Alabama out of the gates in a game they will have to play perfectly to win. I just do not see it happening. Take Alabama -7

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NCAA Football Week 13 Betting Previews

Here are some additional game previews with against the spread predictions.

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!

Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

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Intertops - The safest place to bet on the web as they've been around over 20 years! Enjoy LIVE college football betting where you can jump into the action at any time during the game and place a bet! This gives you a huge advantage!

Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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