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Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Texas A&M Aggies Odds - Free Pick

No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS) vs. Texas A&M Aggies (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS)
College Football Week 6
Date/Time: Saturday October 7th, 2017. 7:15PM (EST)
Where: Kyle Field College Station, T.X.
TV: ESPN
by Jay, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: ALA -26.5/A&M +26.5
Over/Under Total: TBA

Last week, for the 2nd straight outing the top ranked Alabama Crimson Tide obliterated an SEC opponent. After dismantling Vanderbilt 59-0, the Crimson Tide extracted revenge on Ole Miss with another dominating performance in a 66-3 victory. The Rebels had previously been a thorn in Alabama’s side with 2 victories in the last 3 meetings. Instead of any repeat upsets, the Crimson Tide silenced doubters with one of their most convincing performances of the year. This week the top ranked team in college football will travel into College Station for a showdown with the Texas A&M Aggies at Kyle Field.

Quietly the Aggies have put together 4 straight victories and are coming off back to back victories in the SEC. I believe most people wrote off Kevin Sumlin and this Aggies team after their 34 point 2nd half collapse to UCLA in the season opener. At that time, Sumlin looked destined for an early exit but the Aggies have rallied back. Instead of 2nd half blunders, the Aggies have been the predator in recent weeks. They erased a 4th quarter deficit to force overtime against Arkansas in a comeback win. Then last week against South Carolina, the Aggies rallied from 10 points down to beat the Gamecocks in their best defensive effort of the season. The Aggies defense, long considered the Achilles Heel, stifled South Carolina holding the Gamecocks to just 279 yards of total offense in route to the victory.

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Now for the Aggies to show they belong with the beast of the West, they need to put together the offensive showing they displayed against Arkansas and perhaps the defensive showing they displayed against the Gamecocks in a unified effort on both sides of the ball. I think it goes without saying that Alabama is playing the best football out of any team in the FBS right now. Some may throw Clemson’s name into that conversation but I believe Alabama’s current form stands alone after beating the likes of a Vanderbilt team (that just upset Kansas State) and Ole Miss by a combined score of 125-3.

Last week Alabama pummeled the Ole Miss defense by dominating the ground game. Alabama running backs and quarterback Jalen Hurts combined for 365 yards on the ground totaling 5 touchdowns. Hurts also tossed a pair of touchdowns to add insult to injury. The question this week from a matchup perspective is can the Aggies defense stand toe to toe against Alabama’s power rushing attack? Well if history plays into the consideration, Sumlin’s defenses have not had much luck against the Alabama rushing attack. Even since Johnny Football led the Aggies to that big upset win against Alabama back in 2012, the Aggies have given up point totals of 49, 59, 41, and 33 in the 4 games since which have all results in losses. In those 4 meetings, Alabama has averaged over 250 yards of rushing and has been unable to stand strong where it matters most… in the trenches.

Therefore, I have serious doubts that Texas A&M can paint a different story this week. Arkansas was able to run all over this Aggies defense exposing their weakness against premier rushing teams. More importantly, I have not been impressed with the play of Texas A&M quarterback Kellen Mond. Mond has completed just 54% passing on the year with 6 scores and 2 picks. The Aggies will not run over this Alabama defense with their running game and I honestly think the Crimson Tide defense will destroy Mond. If you question my reasoning here, check out Deondre Francois, Kyle Shurmur, and Shea Patterson’s stat lines against this Alabama defense. Mond is arguably the worst of the group.

Jay's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: I was wrong on Alabama last week for the first time. I thought the Rebels would stretch the field and Shea Patterson would impress. Apparently I did not give enough credit to Alabama’s defense and after watching Texas A&M for the 2nd straight week; I just do not think they have to offense to challenge in this matchup. Take Alabama -26.5. Bet this game for FREE by taking advantage of a 100% bonus (Deposit $100, get $100 FREE!) at the web's oldest sportsbook: Intertops!

NCAA Football Week 8 Betting Previews

Here are some additional game previews from this week's college football card.

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!

Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

Betting

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5Dimes - 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Reduced juice betting odds! Buy up to 15 points! Most props on the web!

Intertops - The safest place to bet on the web as they've been around over 20 years! Enjoy LIVE college football betting where you can jump into the action at any time during the game and place a bet! This gives you a huge advantage!

Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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