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Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Odds - Prediction

No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS) vs. Vanderbilt Commodores (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS)
College Football Week 4
Date/Time: Saturday September 23rd, 2017. 3:30PM (EST)
Where: Vanderbilt Stadium Nashville, T.N.
TV: CBS
by Jay, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: ALA -19/VAN +19
Over/Under Total: TBA

The top ranked Alabama Crimson Tide will take their undefeated campaign on the road this weekend with a road trip to Nashville to battle the Vanderbilt Commodores. The Commodores have historically been considered a cakewalk for most SEC opponents but they may have opened some eyes last week with their stunning upset over no. 18 Kansas State 14-7. Now Vanderbilt stands at 3-0 SU for the first time since 2011 and suddenly garnishes some respect from the mighty Crimson Tide that are on the heels of a somewhat shaky performance last week in their 41-23 win over Colorado State in Tuscaloosa.

I warned everyone last week that Alabama did not look like they were firing on all cylinders offensively and advised to take Colorado State +28. In fact, I believe I have been right on all of my Alabama predictions this year for the record. However following last week’s 41-23 victory over the Rams, I think we could pose some defensive questions for the first time in forever under Nick Saban. Colorado State posted 391 yards of total offense against the mighty Crimson Tide defense which is surprising considering Nick Saban has housed top 5 defenses for the last several years. So is the real reason for concern or am I just creating some hyperbole to add excitement for this week’s game?

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Well I believe the defensive concerns are legit against strong passing offenses. I have said on several occasions that the recipe for attacking Alabama’s defense is throwing the ball down the field. Colorado State quarterback Nick Stevens did just that completing 21 of 38 passing for 247 yards with 2 touchdowns and 2 picks. I applauded Colorado State’s attempts to throw the ball down the field against Alabama as an inferior opponent and I still believe that is the blueprint to upsetting the Crimson Tide which I believe we will see in two weeks when Alabama faces Ole Miss quarterback Shea Patterson. For this week, I think all concerns can subside for one major reason and that is Vanderbilt does not matchup well in this game.

I do not want to downplay the Commodores upset from last week but in reality they presented a tough matchup for Kansas State. Both teams run relatively conservative offenses and rely on defense to stay competitive. The Commodores defense played great, forced a few turnovers, and Vanderbilt quarterback Kyle Shurmur come up with a few touchdowns to aid the upset. In the theme of my blueprint against Alabama, Vanderbilt simply does not maintain the speed and quick striking ability to test this Alabama defense down the field. The Commodores are mainly a running offense with running back Ralph Webb who is an excellent tailback. However, this game does not bode well for the Commodores in the area in needs to the most and that is within the trenches.

Vanderbilt’s offense lacks talent but they are physical which works for most opponents on a relative talent level. However, I just do not see this offense working against the Crimson Tide because it is the perfect mismatch in terms of style of football. Even if the Commodores come up with another big defensive effort, I do not think it will be enough. Alabama quarterback Jalen Hurts threw for 248 yards with 2 scores and ran for another 103 yards with a touchdown in the victory over the Rams last week. When you throw in the likes of WR Calvin Ridley and the running back brigade of Bo Scarbrough and Damien Harris, Vanderbilt does not have the talent to keep those playmakers in check. I know this sounds like I am just hyping Alabama but I have been spot on with each prediction for the Crimson Tide this season. Believe me when I tell you, this will be a bad matchup for Vanderbilt!

Jay's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Take Alabama - 19 - If you went to the store and two of the same exact product were sitting side by side; One for $105.00 and one for $110.00, which would you buy? THE CHEAPER ONE OF COURSE! So why are you still betting at -110 odds when you could be betting at -105? Dump your overpriced bookie TODAY and start enjoying the benefits of discounted odds at the web's BEST sportsbook: 5Dimes!

NCAA Football Week 8 Betting Previews

Here are some additional game previews from this week's college football card.

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!

Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

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Intertops - The safest place to bet on the web as they've been around over 20 years! Enjoy LIVE college football betting where you can jump into the action at any time during the game and place a bet! This gives you a huge advantage!

Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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