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Arizona Wildcats vs. UTEP Miner†Odds - Prediction

Arizona Wildcats (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) vs. UTEP Miners (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS)
College Football Week 3
Date/Time: Friday, September 15, 2017 at 10:15PM EST
Where: Sun Bowl, El Paso, Texas
TV: ESPN
by Scott, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: ARIZ -20/UTEP +20
Over/Under Total: 60.5

The Arizona Wildcats come to the Sun Bowl for a Friday night matchup against the UTEP Miners in week three action. UTEP has not fared well this season, losing their first two games. On Saturday, a 31-14 loss to Rice at home underscored the issues they continue to face, including a pedestrian offense and a defense that doesnít do much to help the cause. They are again at home, but even against a lower-end Pac-12 school like Arizona, they appear to be up against it in a major way. Arizona looks for amends after suffering a tough loss on Saturday to Houston, 19-16. The defeat evened their record at 1-1, following a week one win over Northern Arizona.

Things got off to a rocky start for UTEP this season with a week one loss at Oklahoma, 56-7. Thatís a tough way for a team like UTEP to start the season, a Conference USA doormat just trying to get things on the right track. You wonder why teams like UTEP would schedule games like that. It didnít seem to help them when the next week, as 1.5-point favorites, they lost by two touchdowns to Rice, a team that lost by 55 points in week one.

Texas-El Paso quarterback Ryan Metz is pretty good or maybe ďcompetentĒ is a better way to put it. After taking a hit to the head, he is questionable for this game. They lost a major piece of manpower with all-time team rusher Aaron Jones and if the first two games are any indication, finding a suitable replacement might take more work. Guys like Walter Dawn and Kevin Dove were contained by a Rice defense that isnít going to corral a lot of backs this season.

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What really hurts is they lost projected starter RB Quadraiz Wadley, who would have maybe made rushing more of a team asset. UTEP is not a team brimming with talent where they can withstand personnel losses like that. The one thing they have in their corner is an All-American guard in Will Hernandez, but if the rest of the line is up-to-snuff, they havenít shown it in the first two weeks. They have returning experience at wide receiver, but the aerial game hasnít really taken flight yet. When it does, look for pass-catchers Warren Redix, Kavika Johnson, David Lucero, and Tyler Batson.

Week one was a tough test for UTEP and itís hard to take them to task for allowing a feeding frenzy to a home Oklahoma team that came back the next week and beat 2nd-ranked Ohio State. But to give up over 300 yards on the ground to Rice and never really give the offense a chance to get in the game is a damning indictment. The secondary returns three guys with experience and there is some talent among the middle linebackers with Alvin Jones and Dante Lovilotte. Safety Devin Cockrell and Michael Lewis are dependable in the secondary. But the front is really lacking in talent and thatís something thatís going to continue to hurt them all season against the run.

Rich Rodriguezí Wildcats bunch have a lot of work to do if they want to avoid also-ran status in the Pac-12 this season. They put up 64 points against NAU, but fell flat against Houston, especially in the second half when they failed to get in the end zone. After a 3-9 season in í16, they will need to find the right answers and quickly. There are numerous issues on both sides of the ball and a lack of compelling talent.

Arizona was worst in the conference in scoring last season and nothing so far looks like that will change. Quarterback Brandon Dawkins can run the ball well, but his passing is clearly not on a Pac-12 level. Sophomore running back JJ Taylor is likely the offenseís top player. Their only bankable receiver is tiny speedster Shun Brown. The line returns a lot of guys up-front and maybe that will help down the line with more experience, but sometimes a lot of returning players isnít that good of a sign coming off a 3-9 season when moving the ball was a major issue.

Arizonaís secondary is actually pretty solid, led by guys like CB Lorenzo Burns, along with experienced corners Jace Whittaker and Dane Cruikshank. Safety Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles is also an asset, along with Chacho Ulloa. But the line is undersized and really makes you wonder about the recruiting lately with Rich Rodriguez formerly a force in that department. In the middle, Tony Fields, II. and Brandon Rutt round out an unexceptional unit. While not an awful defense, they donít really make a lot of big plays and sometimes are just ďthereĒ taking up space. Getting back to Rodriguez, itís hard to remember that he was actually a hot property in the coaching ranks at one time. Then a series of missteps occurred and maybe parents lost their trust with all the bad publicity. Whatever the case, he seems miles away from where he was at West Virginia a decade ago.

Still, Arizona should be able to top what looks to be a really bad UTEP team. Their defense should be made to look a little better against this bunch, while superior talent on offense should surface at some point. Itís just unclear how UTEP is going to put up significant points against this defense. Again, itís all about context. Arizona probably wonít stack up on either side of the ball against the better teams they face. UTEP is not one of those teams. As strange as it might sound on the surface, Iím laying the 20 points and taking the Wildcats.

Scott's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Iím betting on the Arizona Wildcats minus 20 points. Bet your pick for this game using your credit card at an online bookie where it WILL work for deposits and where you'll receive a generous 100% signup bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $250! (Example: Deposit $250 and they'll give you an extra $250 FREE!) Find this great offer at Bovada Sportsbook.

NCAA Football Week 5 Betting Previews

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2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

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Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

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