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Auburn Tigers vs. Georgia Bulldogs Odds - Prediction

No. 9 Auburn Tigers (7-2 SU, 6-3 ATS) vs. Georgia Bulldogs (5-4 SU, 4-5 ATS)
College Football Week 11
Date/Time: Saturday November 12th, 2016. 3:30PM (EST)
Where: Sanford Stadium Athens, G.A.
TV: CBS
by Jay, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: AUB -10/UGA +10
Over/Under Total: 48.5

Last week, the Auburn Tigers survived a scare at home with a 23-16 victory over Vanderbilt to move to 7-2 SU on the season. If you have not realized, the Tigers have now won 6 straight games since starting the season 1-2 and have climbed back inside the Top 10 in the polls. They are among the hottest team in the SEC not named Alabama and the Iron Bowl is looking like it could be another epic meeting between both teams. However, Auburn will have to survive another test before they can set focus on Alabama as they go on the road this Saturday to battle the Georgia Bulldogs between the hedges in Athens for the Deep Southís Oldest Rivalry.

For the home team, things have not went the way Georgia fans have hoped in Kirby Smartís debut season in Athens. The Bulldogs were expected to battle with the likes of Florida and Tennessee for the SEC East crown. Instead, the Bulldogs have lost 4 of their last 6 games and are on the verge of having their first losing season in conference play since 2010. Luckily the Bulldogs did snap a two game losing streak last weekend by rallying from behind to beat Kentucky 27-24 with the help of a late Rodrigo Blankenship 25 yard field goal. The Bulldogs actually outplayed Kentucky fairly significantly outgaining the Wildcats 460-308 in terms of total offense but coughed up 3 fumbles that nearly cost them the victory. On Saturday, Georgia tries to put their troubles to the side and turn their season around with an upset victory over a top 10 ranked team.

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With all the trouble that has went on in Athens in recent weeks, you have to feel this is the game that Georgia needs to end some of the programís concerns. Therefore, I fully expect the Bulldogs to give their best effort on Saturday. The main effort that the Bulldogs will need to spur the upset bid this weekend will be for the defense to rise to the challenge. Kirby Smart is a defensive minded guy from his time as the defensive coordinator for so many years at Alabama. So far this year, the defense has done a pretty good job especially against the run ranking 20th in the FBS allowing just 118 yards per game. When Auburn comes to town on Saturday, they will bring the 3rd best rushing offense into Athens that has averaged 300 yards per game running the football.

Auburn sophomore running back Kamryn Pettway has emerged as one of the SECís best tailbacks with 1,106 yards on the season and 7 scores. Pettway has actually gained 770 yards and 6 touchdowns from scrimmage in just the last 4 games against SEC competition. The bad news for Auburn fans is that Pettwayís status for this weekend is uncertain after he apparently pulled a muscle late last week against Vanderbilt. Obviously if Auburn is unable to go with the SECís leading rusher in their backfield it will be a big setback. However, the offense still has plenty of rushing threats with Kerryon Johnson likely the guy that would get the bigger role.

If Georgia can find ways to stymie Auburnís rushing offense, then they could have a chance to win this game outright. If they fail to do so, I do not think they have enough offensive weapons to win a high scoring game against the Tigers. The Bulldogs are averaging just 24 points over the last 4 games and have been held to 16 points or less in 3 of their 4 losses this season. Therefore, they need a strong collective effort from the offense to get back on track this weekend. Running back Nick Chubb has been held to just 145 yards over the last 3 games which is appalling for one of the SECís best backs. Meanwhile quarterback freshman Jacob Eason is completing just 53% passing on the season and has yet to show that he can take over when defenses sell out on stopping the run. Those offensive issues have been the forefront of Georgiaís struggles this year and they will go against an underrated Auburn group on Saturday.

Jay's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: This is a big rivalry game where prior week trends can be thrown out the window. I expect a really big defensive effort in this game which will give Georgia chances to win the football game. Also, the Bulldogs have won 8 of the last 10 games against Auburn as they look to keep that trend going. Take Georgia +10

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NCAA Football Week 12 Betting Previews

Here are some additional game previews with against the spread predictions.

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!

Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

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Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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