Note: If you're looking for the 2013 Week 13 matchup between these teams, please go here: Baylor Bears vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Pick.
No. 21 Baylor Bears (7-2 SU 5-4 ATS) vs. No. 17 Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-1 SY 6-2 ATS) Week 10 NCAA Football, Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater OK, 12:30 PM EST Saturday November 6, 2010
by Jason Green of Predictem.com
Betting Odds: BU +7.5/OSU -7.5
Over/Under Total: OFF
In this Big 12 game first place in the South Division is at stake and it should be a barnburner with the dynamic offenses that each team has. Baylor has the nation's 10th ranked passing offense and OSU ranks 3rd and what adds more excitement is that each team has a legit rushing attack and neither team has a good defense.
Baylor has already secured their first winning season since joining the Big 12 and they still have a shot to play in a BCS game. OSU is in the same boat with a chance to get a BCS shot, but each still has to play Oklahoma, who is ranked higher than Baylor and Oklahoma State in the polls.
The betting trends are not on the side of the Bears, as they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Cowboys and they have failed to cover the spread in their last 5 games in Stillwater. Not only that, but the favorite is 10-1 ATS in the last 10 games and the home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. However, this is a different Baylor squad with one of the most exciting QB's in the nation.
Baylor QB Robert Griffin III has passed for nearly 2,600 yards with 20 TD and he is also Baylor's 2nd leading rusher with 401 yards with 7 TD. He passed for 219 yards with 2 TD and 1 INT last week in the Bears 30-22 win over Texas, who has the nation's 2nd ranked pass defense. The Cowboys have one of the weakest pass defenses in the nation ranking 113th out of 120 FBS teams and Griffin will friggin' light them up and seriously pad his stats with a big game through the air.
Baylor does not have a one-dimensional offense, as they can run the ball as well with Griffin and RB Jay Finley (813 yards 6 TD), who has simply been en fuego lately rushing for an average of 169 yards in his last 3 games. OSU has a decent run defense ranking 45th in the nation and they played well against Kansas State last week in their 24-14 win holding them to 111 yards on the ground. Finley will not light up the OSU run defense, but he will go over 100 yards again and help Griffin out on offense.
The Cowboys played good D on K-State last week, but can they keep Baylor from racking up big yards? No way man, as the Bears will put up big yards, but can the Bears play any defense? That is the big question.
OSU is led by QB Brandon Weeden, who was stellar last week passing for 298 yards with 2 TD and 0 INT. That performance was that much more impressive, as he was without his main target in WR Justin Blackmon, who leads the nation with 158.86 receiving yards per game. He was suspended for one game because of a misdemeanor DUI charge and he will play in this game.
OSU also has RB Kendall Hunter, who is the leading rusher in the Big 12 averaging 143.8 yards per game. Baylor has the nation's 78th ranked defense and they will not be able to contain Weeden or Hunter and with Blackmon back the Bears have their hands full. Just like Baylor OSU will rack up a ton of yards, as this game is going to become a shootout and that you can bank on.
Okie State cannot do much on D, but what they have done this season is force turnovers, ranking 7th in the nation in turnovers gained. That is a HUGE stat, as they will force a couple of turnovers and that is key for a game where both teams will light up the scoreboard.
Taking the Under? Yeah right. The Bears have gone Over the posted total in 4 of their last 5 games and the Cowboys have an Over record of 6-2 this season.
Jason's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: It's not too hard to see this will be a offensive shootout, but with OSU at home and their knack for forcing turnovers those 2 things will be the difference, as they will win this game and cover the 7.5-point spread.
Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!
Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.
Favorite of the Week Pick - Giving points means we start the game down. We're not a real big fan of betting college football favorites as it's similar to trading field goals for touchdowns but stick with us as we buck the odds each week, selecting the favored team with the best chance of covering the spread.
Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.
College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.
Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.
Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.
2014 College Football Predictions - Badger gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2015 National Championship game.
2014 Heisman Trophy Predictions - Jameis Winston is favorited to win the award at 3-1 odds but Jay says this is a sucker bet! Marcus Mariota should be a contender and ball carriers TJ Yeldon and Melvin Gordon look good as well!
2015 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football handicapper Jay Horne gives his picks on who he thinks will win the 2015 National Championship. Despite not liking to side with heavy favorites, he believes the Alabama Crimson Tide are unstoppable and he has high expectations for them to cash his betting ticket at season's end!
Sportsbook - Get a free $100 bet after making an initial deposit of $100 or more! Great at getting Visa cards to work for deposits.
Bovada - Boasts the highest credit card acceptance rate on the internet! HUGE menu of wagers for you to choose from! One of few online sportsbooks to offer Texas Hold'em! 50% bonus up to $250 in free cash!
5Dimes - 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Reduced juice betting odds! Buy up to 15 points! Most props on the web!
GTBets - Offers a HUGE 100% sign up bonus up to $500! Cool offer allows for you to pick 2 of your favorite college football teams and move the line a full point every time you bet those teams!
Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - This article is outdated and will be updated next year for the 2014 college football season.
Odds to Win the 2015 BCS Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are favored to be repeat winners of the National Championship this year at +500 followed by Oregon at +800, Ohio St. +850, LSU/Texas A&M +1200 and Florida/FSU both at +1400. Check out your school's odds here!
Heisman Trophy Winners - A full list of college football quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers who have made history on the field and won the prestigious award.
Fantasy College Football - Draft a fresh team every week! Leagues range from $2 to $420! You can play head to head or in big groups! Payouts take place approx. one hour after the final Saturday game.
The Spread - Who will cover the spread? They will! Offers scores, odds, free game predictions, current news and more!