No. 22 Boise State Broncos (0-0 SU, 0-0 ATS) vs. No. 13 Michigan State Spartans (0-0 SU, 0-0 ATS)
College Football Week 1
Date/Time: Friday, August 31st, 8 p.m. EST
Where: Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, Mich.
by Badger, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: Boise St. +7/Michigan St. -7
Over/Under Total: OFF
Bet the BSU/MSU game at an online sportsbook that offers -105 odds instead of the spendier -110 option that most sportsbooks offer: 5Dimes.
The best game on Friday night’s day-two of college football’s three-day kickoff binge on opening weekend will feature two ranked teams both looking to replace legendary starters at quarterback when the No. 22 Boise State Broncos travel to East Lansing to play the No. 13 Michigan State Spartans on ESPN.
Boise State begins life after Kellen Moore’s incredible four-year career at QB, and with the 2012 opener just a few weeks away Boise head coach Chris Peterson has yet to name his replacement. Junior Joe Southwick (23-of-30 for 198 yards, TD in 2011) had a great spring game and expected to be named the starter, but inconsistency has led Peterson to keep the competition open with Sophomore Grant Hedrick, redshirt freshman Jimmy Laughren and true freshman Nick Patti.
But Boise State’s problems aren’t limited to quarterback, since the Broncos graduated the most successful senior class ever at the school after last season they return just seven starters total and only two on last year’s defense. To make matters worse for whichever QB wins the job, one of those returning starters, center Cory Yriarte, was injured during summer workouts and has yet to be cleared to play for 2012.
Michigan State also has the task of replacing a highly successful quarterback now that Kirk Cousins has moved on to the NFL, but unlike the Broncos the Spartans have already named Andrew Maxwell as the starter in his place. Maxwell will have a few familiar faces around him to help ease the transition, including running backs Le’Veon Bell and Larry Caper and three-fifths of the offensive line.
Tired of your credit card not working at online sportsbooks? Try Bovada who boasts one of the best credit card acceptance rates in the sports betting industry!
But what will likely help Maxwell the most will be the Spartans defense, a unit that returns eight starters from last year’s 10th-ranked defense and has All-American candidates at every level including the line (William Gholston), linebackers (Max Bullough and Denicos Allen) and backfield (Johnny Adams and Darqueze Dennard). It’s been Michigan State’s defense that has helped to propel them to an 8-1 record in one-score games the past two seasons, but without a reliable offense the Spartans defense will be expected to carry more of the load in 2012.
Most of the sportsbooks that already have a betting line open for this game are listing the Spartans as 7-point favorites at home. With kickoff still over two weeks away, the line has yet to move in either direction to help get a read on whom the early money is coming in on. The over/under total has yet to be release as well.
With no recent history between these two schools on the gridiron, following any of these teams betting trends could be a risky proposition. Boise is 4-1 ATS in their last five Friday night games, and 21-7 ATS in their last 28 road games, but that was with Moore at QB and mostly done in the Mountain West Conference.
Michigan State is 5-1 ATS in their last six games in Spartan Stadium. The over is also 9-3 in the Spartans last 12 non-conference games.
Badger’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: With two offenses expected to struggle out of the gates with new leaders, the safest play for this game may be the under no matter how low the number is when it finally comes out. The Spartans are stacked on defense, and with a new quarterback and other new faces on offense I’d be surprised if Boise scores double-digits on them. I’m taking Michigan State minus the 7-points at home.
Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!
Expert Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.
Favorite of the Week Pick - Giving points means we start the game down. We're not a real big fan of betting college football favorites as it's similar to trading field goals for touchdowns but stick with us as we buck the odds each week, selecting the favored team with the best chance of covering the spread.
Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.
College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.
Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.
Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.
2013 College Football Predictions - Badger gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his pick on who thinks will win the 2014 BCS National Championship game.
2013 Heisman Trophy Predictions - Will Johnny Football repeat? This year's list of "Heisman Hopefuls" is pretty balanced and the award is truly up for grabs. OSU Quarterback Braxton Miller is the favorite at +500 with South Carolina defensive stud JaDeveon Clowney not far behind at +700.
2014 BCS Championship Predictions - College football handicapper Jay Horne gives his picks on who he thinks will win the 2014 Bowl Championship Series (BCS) National Championship. Despite not liking to side with heavy favorites, he believes the Alabama Crimson Tide are unstoppable and has high expectations for them to cash his betting ticket at season's end!
Sportsbook - Get a free $100 bet after making an initial deposit of $100 or more! Great at getting Visa cards to work for deposits.
Bovada - Boasts the highest credit card acceptance rate on the internet! HUGE menu of wagers for you to choose from! One of few online sportsbooks to offer Texas Hold'em!
5Dimes - 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Reduced juice betting odds! Buy up to 15 points! Most props on the web!
GTBets - Offers a HUGE 100% sign up bonus up to $500! Cool offer allows for you to pick 2 of your favorite college football teams and move the line a full point every time you bet those teams!
Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - This article is outdated and will be updated next year for the 2013 college football season.
Odds to Win the 2014 BCS Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are favored to be repeat winners of the National Championship this year at +500 followed by Oregon at +800, Ohio St. +850, LSU/Texas A&M +1200 and Florida/FSU both at +1400. Check out your school's odds here!
Heisman Trophy Winners - A full list of college football quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers who have made history on the field and won the prestigious award.
Fantasy College Football - Draft a fresh team every week! Leagues range from $2 to $420! You can play head to head or in big groups! Payouts take place approx. one hour after the final Saturday game.
The Spread - Who will cover the spread? They will! Offers scores, odds, free game predictions, current news and more!