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Colorado State Rams vs. Boise State Broncos Odds - Prediction

Colorado State Rams (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS) vs. Boise State Broncos (5-0 SU, 2-3 ATS)
College Football Week 7
Date/Time: Saturday, October 15, 2016 at 10:15PM EST
Where: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, Idaho
TV: ESPN 2
by Scott, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: CSU +31/BSU -31
Over/Under Total: 59

The Colorado State Rams come to Albertsons Stadium to face the Boise State Broncos in Mountain West Conference action on Saturday. Boise State has gotten off to a 5-0 mark and garnered a top-20 ranking as they try to rejoin the national scene this season. Last Friday, they gained revenge from an upset in 2015 with a 49-21 win over New Mexico. They hope to go to 3-0 in conference play this week, but will face a team that might be better than some are anticipating in the Colorado State Rams. On Saturday, the Rams were able to overcome a two-touchdown deficit to beat Utah State, 31-24. After two straight losses, getting back to .500 was big for CSU. They look to spring the huge upset this week.

Boise State opened up the season with a routine win over the Sun Beltís Louisiana-Lafayette, 45-10. But they really showed their upside in games two and three where they beat Pac-12 schools Washington State and Oregon State. They were resourceful in a 21-10 win over Utah State, before getting the win and the cover in Albuquerque on Friday. It looks like this could be the best Boise bunch since the halcyon days of Kellen Moore and Chris Petersen. We should know more in the coming weeks.

Adding optimism to the Broncosí cause is a high-flying offense, led by the aerial antics of Brett Rypien, who has quickly established himself as perhaps the top QB in the conference. Against New Mexico in a tough road spot, Rypien threw five TD passes on 391 yards passing. Performances like that will make the Broncos hard to contain, especially in this context against middling conference teams like Colorado State.

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Rypien, just like his uncle did with the Redskins, makes full use of a stocked cast of playmakers. Their top playmaker is running back Jeremy McNichols, who has run for 558 yards and 9 touchdowns, while also hauling in 216 receiving yards and three touchdowns. Rypien connects well with top receiver Thomas Sperbeck, who is already at 629 yards and 5 scores, with Cedric Wilson at 432 yards and 5 touchdowns. Against New Mexico, Rypien, McNichols, Sperbeck, and Wilson all had great games. This offense could be starting to really click and thatís bad news for teams like Colorado State.

The Boise State defense did a lot better against New Mexico than last season, holding them to a respectable 21 points, and thatís after building up a 49-7 lead. Most of New Mexicoís production came after the point where the game was still in doubt. The defense showed some resistance against the run-heavy New Mexico offense, holding them to nothing in the air. Whatís most striking about this defense beyond how they match up against different offensive elements is their ability to play clutch and tighten up as the situation gets more critical. That could help later and makes a defense a lot better than it looks on paper.

Normally when a team like Boise State takes on what seems like an unthreatening foe in Colorado State, you can think about a potential letdown. But Boise State, if we think back to their glory periods of the not-so-distant past, was never like that. With their schedule so light on quality opponents, they tend to give games like this more importance than what would otherwise be the case. They canít afford to go easy in games like this.

In their last game at Hughes Stadium on Homecoming Day, the Colorado St. Rams really delivered on Saturday. Early, they werenít getting much right as Utah State had its way, getting off to a 24-10 halftime lead. It was a good sign to see the Rams respond to the urgency, seeing their season start to get away from them. A Utah State offense that was going up and down the field suddenly was being held to very little, while the Colorado St. offense ratcheted up the level of play.

The Rams wasted little time in the second half getting down to business. QB Collin Hill hit Michael Gallup for a 60-yard TD pass to narrow the gap to one score. Running back Izzy Matthews added the tying score, with running back Dalyn Dawkins adding 125 yards on the ground. Gallup was at 140 yards on the night receiving. Itís a young team and mistakes will happen, but unlike in prior weeks, when the opportunities presented themselves to the Rams, they were able to capitalize. They showed a steadfast attitude and were able to stay the course, though it had its share of rocky passages. Freshman Colin Hill left the game with a knee injury that has unfortunately cost him the rest of the season, though replacement Nick Stevens is a former starter on this offense. Hopefully, he can take the good momentum from Saturday and keep it moving.

The Colorado State defense was able to follow suit. This season, they had been markedly non-opportunistic. On Saturday, we saw them taking advantage of mistakes. They were able to help the offense claim the momentum. And when the situation became more urgent, they stepped up. Any hopes of a late surge were snuffed out by a Kevin Davis interception. More of what we saw last week could have the Rams in better shape, as the offense really showed another dimension on Saturday.

This is not an easy call. Boise State appears to be the class of the MWC and will be tough at home with their offense and momentum. When you see Colorado State giving up 44 to Colorado and 38 to Wyoming, itís not hard to picture Boise unleashing some major offensive artillery on this bunch. But if the Rams turned a corner, it could put this point spread in to a quandary. Iím going to put some faith in the Rams to keep this from turning into a carnival of scoring for Boise St. Iím taking the points.

Scott's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Iím betting on the Colorado State Rams.

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NCAA Football Week 5 Betting Previews

Here are some additional game previews from this week's college football card.

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!

Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

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Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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