Welcome to one of our favorite pages on the site; college football consensus picks! (Which we should call anti-consensus picks as we're fading the public's opinion here.)
Each week, we wait for the public to give us their opinions and then we take those games in which they've one sided, match them up with line moves and sharp action and find us some winners! We do have more parameters than just betting vs. the public and siding with the sharps. Unfortunately it's too lengthy to explain here.
This is our favorite way to handicap football games, based on public perception. It has won for us every year since we've employed this style of handicapping.
Be sure to bookmark this page and check back often as these consensus picks should provide some great value! These aren't second rate free picks either. These are premium plays as we here at Predictem.com do not sell our selections. (Plays are posted beach Friday afternoon or sooner.
For those of you who landed on this page hoping to find a list of professional handicappers pay plays for free, shame on you. That's stealing! Lucky for you, you landed on a page that will provide for a better investment to your bankroll!
Bowl Games: North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh, East Carolina vs. Arkansas, Boise State vs. TCU, Iowa vs. Georgia Tech, Texas vs. Alabama.
Our Picks: North Carolina +1 (32%)(loss), East Carolina +7.5 (40.3%)(win), TCU -7 (pending), Iowa +4 (37%)(pending), Texas +4 (38%)(pending).
PREVIOUS WEEKS PLAYS:
Week 14: (12/3/09 through 12/5/09) Short card means tight lines. We didn't scope out much value for Saturday and only ended up liking one game which is Georgia Tech vs. Clemson. The public is hitting Ga. Tech hard. We like Clemson here.
Our Picks: Clemson -1 (36.4%)(loss)
Week 13: (11/24/09 through 11/28/09) Georgia/Georgia Tech TOTAL, Virginia Tech/Virginia TOTAL, Notre Dame vs. Stanford.
Our Picks: Georgia/Georgia Tech OVER 56.5 (43.9%)(loss), Virginia Tech vs. Virginia UNDER 41.5 (38.3%)(loss), Notre Dame +10 (41%)(win)
Week 12: (11/18/09 through 11/21/09) PSU vs. MSU, Louisian Tech vs. Fresno State, Arkansas State vs. Middle Tennessee State, Uconn vs. Notre Dame.
Our Picks: Michigan State +3 (34%)(loss), Louisiana Tech +9 (40%)(win), Arkansas State +10 (34.3%)(loss), Uconn +6.5 (43%)(win).
Week 11: (11/10/09 through 11/15/09) We didn't like many sides for the anti consensus plays this week. We use a certain set of parameters and we got knocked off quite a few games due to one or two unsavory variables that forced us to jump ship from a handful of potential plays we had. We don't force picks, hence the small amount of action on sides this particular play this week. We do however have quite a few totals that we think have good value.
Our Picks: Idaho/Boise State UNDER 62.5 (33.4%)(loss), Utah/TCU UNDER 47 (38.1%)(loss), Auburn/Georgia OVER 54.5 (42.4%)(win), Nebraska/Kansas UNDER 43 (40%)(loss), Iowa/Ohio St. UNDER 38 (36.1%)(loss), Florida/South Carolina UNDER 43.5 (34%)(win).
Week 10: (11/3/09 through 11/8/09) Florida St. vs. Clemson, Ohio State vs. Penn State, Houston vs. Tulsa, Illinois vs. Minnesota, Maryland vs. NC State, Navy vs. Notre Dame, Army vs. Air Force
Our Picks: Clemson -9 (40%)(win), Ohio State +5.5 (41%)(win), Tulsa +1.5 (26%)(win), Illinois +6 (33%)(win), Maryland +6.5 (28%)(loss), Navy +12.5 (42.9)(win), Army +16.5 (37%)(loss).
Week 9: (10/27/09 through 10/31/09) West Virginia vs. South Florida, Arkansas State vs. Louisville, Kansas vs. Texas Tech and Mississippi vs. Auburn.
Our Picks: South Florida +3 (35.5%)(win),Arkansas State +3 (26.1%)(loss), Kansas +6.5 (34.1%)(loss), Auburn +4 (37.8%)(win).
Week 8: (10/21/09 through 10/24/09) Arkansas vs. Missisippi, Ball State vs. Eastern Michigan, San Diego State vs. Colorado State, Central Florida vs. Rice, Iowa vs. Michigan State, SMU vs. Houston, Florida Intl/Ark. State TOTAL, Texas/Missouri TOTAL.
Our Picks: Clemson +4.5 (28%)(win), Wake Forest -2 (34.8%)(loss), New Mexico +1 (41%) (loss), Mississippi -6.5 (36.8%)(win), Eastern Michigan +2.5 (40%)(win), San Diego State +7 (34%)(win), Rice +10 (29%)(loss), Michigan State -1.5 (37.4%)(loss), SMU +16 (31.4%)(loss), Florida Intl/Ark. State OVER 58.5 (35%)(loss), Texas/Missouri UNDER 49.5 (29.3%)(win).
Week 7: (10/13/09 through 10/17/09) Boise State vs. TCU, Oklahoma vs. Texas, Baylor vs. Iowa State, NC State vs. Boston College, Arkansas vs. Florida, Missouri vs. Oklahoma State TOTAL, Miss. St. vs. Middle Tennessee St.
Our Picks: TCU +9.5 (24%)(win), Oklahoma +3 (33.5%)(push), Baylor +1 (43.1%)(loss), NC State +2.5 vs. BC (28.8%)(loss), Florida -24.5 (32.4%)(loss), Missouri/Oklahoma State UNDER 55 (32.2%)(win), Middle Tennessee State +4 (loss)(26.2%).
Week 6: (10/5/09 through 10/10/09) Purdue vs. Minnesota, Kentucky vs. South Carolina, Idaho vs. San Jose State vs, Wisconsin vs. Ohio State, Georgia vs. Tennessee, West Virginia vs. Syracuse, Auburn/Arkansas TOTAL, Bowling Green vs. Kent State.
Our Picks: Purdue +3 (29%)(loss), Kentucky +10 (39.4)(win), Idaho +4.5 (43.5%)(win), Ohio State -16 (32.6%)(win), Tennessee -1.5 (31%)(win), Syracuse +10 (33.4%)(loss), Auburn/Arkansas OVER 64.5 (30.4%)(win), Kent State +1.5 (32.4%)(win).
Week 5: (9/30/09 through 10/3/09) Listed below, you'll find teams being neglected by the public that are worth betting. We'll list the team name along with the % of action it's currentlly receiving based on a pool of nearly 3000 novice sports bettors.
Our Picks: Ohio +3 (28.7%)(win), Auburn/Tennessee OVER 51.5 (40%)(loss), Marshall +2 (37.2%)(loss), Michigan State -3.5 (36%)(win), Idaho +3.5 SOLID PLAY (35.5%)(win), Syracuse +6.5 (35.2%)(loss), UTEP +14 (22.9%)(win).
Week 4: (9/24/09 through 9/26/09) Keeping analysis short as we're running seriously behind this weekend. We're just going to list the picks below along with the % of the public that are on each team. Good luck this weekend. These picks WILL turn around and bang out a profit by season's end. Bet on it!
Our Picks: Texas AM/UBA OVER 64.5 (40%)(win), Ohio +23.5 (28%)(win), UL Monroe +3.5 (30%)(win), Arizona State +12 (33%)(win), Iowa +9.5 (35%)(win), Miss St. +12 (42.8%)(win), Wyoming +3.5 (39%)(win), Temple -3.5 (38%)(SUPER SOLID PLAY)(win), Purdue +6.5 (36.5%)(win), USC -45 (36%)(loss).
Week 3: (9/17/09 through 9/19/09) Northern Illinois plays Purdue after a decent early season showing. We don't think Purdue has the defense to warrant giving 12 points to this team. Only 25% are backing NIU and the line has actually moved a half point in their favor. Arizona/Iowa opened at 6, has been bet down to 4, yet the public is on Iowa to the tune of 60%. Major sharp action coming in on Arizona and we agree with it as Arizona appears to be the superior team here and may even win straight up. The third big public fade we like is Idaho at home getting 3 vs. San Diego State. Wrong team favorted. Vandals only getting 33% of the action too. Yummy-Yummy.
Next, Georgia and Arkansas opened at a pick'em and has moved to Arkansas -2.5 despite the Razorbacks only getting 40% of the action against the spread. Get on the Hogs before they move to 3. Why is everybody in love with the Cincinnati Bearcats? They crushed a crappy Rutgers team on national TV. Big deal. They'll have their work cut out for them as they take to Reser Field to play an underrated Oregon Beavers teamm. Beavs only getting 39% of the action and are tough at home. Their RB Jacquizz Rodgers is the real deal. Look for him to rack up a shitload of yards Saturday and a couple scores to boot. Good game probably, but Beavs come out on top as home dogs. The last game is short and sweet. Florida Atlantic opened at +21 vs. South Carolina. "The Cocks" are dick and balls above Florida Atlantic in terms of talent and are better coached as well, however 21 is a "butt" load of points. We think USC gets "shafted" here as their offense is fairly anemic and should allow for the Cocks to get "backdoored". Ok, that wasn't funny. We do however like Fl. Atlantic to cover though.
Our Picks: Northern Illinois +12 (win), Arizona +4 (loss), Idaho +3 (win), Arkansas -2.5 (loss), Oregon State +1.5 (loss), Florida Atlantic +21 (loss).
Week 2: (9/9/09 through 9/12/09) Arkansas St. opened at +23.5 and has been bet down to +21 despite the public hammering Nebraska to the tune of 78%. Navy is getting a bit much respect (78% of the action) after playing well vs. Ohio State. They take on a decent Louisiana Tech (22% of the bets) team this weekend. Louisiana Tech is decent enough to win this game straight up. Take the points.
Duke -1 is getting only 34% of the acction vs Army. Duke SHOULD win this game straight up vs. a weak Army team. Idaho is only getting 35% of the bets at +20 vs. the Washington Huskies. The Huskies are much improved but are getting too much respect after playing well last week vs. LSU. Idaho is improved as well and there's a good chance they stick within the spread.
East Carolina at +6.5 is getting only 36% of the action vs. West Virgina. ECU can very well win this game and that's what we're hoping for. Purdue opened as a 9.5 dog and are now a 13 point dog. The betting public is starting to bet on the Boilermakers in masses not giving Oregon (48% and getting lower), who got beat at Boise last week any respect. Folks, Autzen Stadium is a real nasty place to play. Look for the Ducks to beat up a Purdue team that has a very poor defense. This one will be tough to pull the trigger on, but we're receommending a play on Buffalo at +10.5 vs. a pretty good Pittsburgh team. We don't know the reasons why, but Buffalo (40%) is a wiseguy play. In what may be the most solid play of the day, Middle Tennessee State -1 (38%) is a solid pick vs. Memphis.
Our Picks: Arkansas +21 (loss), Louisiana Tech +7 (loss), Duke -1 (win), Idaho +20 (win), East Carolina +6.5 (loss), Oregon -13 (loss), Buffalo +10.5 (loss), Middle Tennessee State -1 (win)
Week 1: (9/3/09 through 9/7/09) The public is hammering Clemson at 72.3% We like Middle Tennessee State getting +18.5 there. Wisconsin is getting 69.8% of the action vs. Northern Illinois. This game should easily stay within the +16.5 spread. The public likes Ohio State at 64.9%, this game has huge value with Navy at +22. Looking at totals we only found 1 heavy anti-consensus play that we really liked: UL Monroe/Texas UNDER 61.5. The public loves the over there as their hitting it to the tune of 62.9%
Our Picks: Middle Tennessee State +18.5 (loss), Northern Illinois +16.5 (win), Navy +22 (win), UL Monroe/Texas UNDER 61.5 (loss)
Week 14: (11/29/08) Not a much that we like this week. In fact, we've found ourselves on the square (public) end of a few plays this week which is very rare and probably bad news for us. We've only got one this week: The Washington State/Hawaii total.
Our Picks: Washington State/Hawaii UNDER 54 (29%). (winner)
Week 13: (11/22/08) Mississippi (40%) visits LSU and they're the recipient of a 2 point line move in their direction as well. Texas Tech visits Oklahoma and is a 7 point dog. Okie is getting no respect at home (40%).
Our Picks: Mississippi +3.5 (win) and Oklahoma -7 (win).
Week 12: (11/15/08) Huge revenge game for K-State as they were blown out last year by the Huskers. We love them getting 6 at home and only getting 35% of the public's respect.
Our Picks: Kansas State +6 (loss).
Week 11: (11/8/08) Passed.
Our Picks: Passed.
Week 10: (11/1/08) Hawaii at Utah State (42.4%).
Our Picks: Utah State +6. (Winner)
Week 9: (10/25/08) Wake Forest 40% vs. Miami (loss), Fresno State vs. Utah State 30% (win), Kent 29% vs. Miami-Ohio (win), Michigan State vs. Michigan 36% (loss), New Mexico State vs. Idaho 30% (win), South Florida vs. Louisville 37% (win), Texas Tech vs. Kansas 43% (loss), Penn State vs. Ohio State 41.7% (loss), Nevada vs. Hawaii 39% (win).Our Picks: Wake Forest +2.5, Utah State +14.5, Kent +5, Michigan +4, Idaho +13, Louisville +3.5, Kansas -1.5, Ohio State +2, Hawaii +3.5.
Week 8: (10/18/08) As usual, we like a handful of games this week. In what is surely the fishiest line we've seen in quite some time, the Canes line has been hammered down from -5.5 to -3 while nobody is apparently betting the Duke Blue Devils (32%) (except sports betting syndicates who must know something). Wisconsin rolls into Iowa, nobody is giving the Hawkeyes respect at 38%. Western Michigan has been the recipient of a 5.5 point line move while only getting 38% of the action as well. Southern Miss is a safe bet at +1.5 as they've come down off of +3 while only getting 35% of the action. As much as we hate to lay points, the public things Washington State can over +42.5. We like USC who is only getting 37% of the action. Heck, USC is likely to be up by 35 at half. Bet on it. Virginia is getting +4, down a point from +5 and only 37% of the bets. Sharps are liking them to beat UNC straight up. Arkansas was the recipient of a 4 point move, down to +7, from +11 all the while only getting 41% of the action. A game we really like, LSU/South Carolina has the Cocks down from +3 to +2.5 while only getting a measley 33% and folks lemme tell ya, the books don't like to move on and off of 3. The Gamecocks are lookin' tasty Saturday. Air Force visits UNLV in which the Rebs are getting some attention from the sharps this week, being bet down to +4 from +5.5 which is not a huge deal, but a good sign. Their action at 32.8% warrants a play. Lastly, while not a huge anti public play, Stanford at 45% was the recipient of a 5 point line move. They opened at +2.5 and are now -2.5 and don't be surprised if you see a -3 on the board prior to game time. Good day and good luck!
Our Picks: Duke +3 (loss), Iowa -4 (win), Western Michigan -2 (loss), Southern Miss +1.5 (loss), USC -42.5 (win), Virginia +4 (win), Arkansas +7 (win), South Carolina +2.5 (loss), UNLV +4 (win), Stanford -2.5.(loss)
Week 7: (10/11/08) Tennessee vs. Georgia: The Bulldogs are getting one sided to the tune of 64.2%. Tennessee actually has a shot of winning this game straight up. We love the +12.5 with the Vols!
Our Picks: Tennessee +12.5 (winner).
Week 6: (10/4/08) There's plenty of one sided action going on this week and we weren't shy on pulling the trigger on a ton of these "out of favor" teams! Purdue is getting 32% of the vote at home vs. a tough PSU team, but +13.5 provides some great value so we're on it! Iowa takes on MSU in which the Hawkeyes are only getting 32% of the vote. We like them to cover a close, low scoring game. Something fishy is going on at Iowa State. Kansas who is far superior visits as a -13 fav. that has been bet down to -11.5 and it ain't the public. We're blindly following sharp action here with Iowa State at +11.5. Stanford, who is every bit as good as Notre Dame is getting +6.5 and only 36.4% of the action. We love'em this week! Illinois visits a much disrespected Wolverine team who is only getting 46.2% of the action at the Big House, we'll take Mich to win a close one. Northern Illinois (28%) visits Tennesse and is a tasty +16. Lastly, Florida International visits North Texas vs. a horrid squad, but their lay of -6.5 leaves the value with underdog North Texas who is only seeing 37.5% of the betting volume.
Our Picks: Purdue +13.5 (loss), Iowa +6.5 (win), Iowa State +11.5 (win), Stanford +6.5 (loss), Michigan -2 (loss), Northern Illinois +16 (win), North Texas +6.5 (loss).
Week 5: (9/26/08) As usual, it was very easy to find one sided action in where the uneducated bettin public is throwing their hard earned cash down on many teams that are destined to lose..
Same old same old as the public are one siding a ton of games in which we feel there's some good value. Oklahoma (62%) is a heck of a team but TCU has some decent value getting 18 points. Stanford (37%) who is a better team than their opponent (Wash) is +3 and we like that a bunch. V. Tech, who is also probably a better team than their opponent (Nebraska) is only seeing 42% of the action and the line has sat at 7 since the openers came out. We'll take a poke at them as well in what should be a great defensive game.
Notre Dame is getting zero respect at 41% (-2) and neither is UCLA (40%) (+7 at home) of which we'll be on both of those as well. We're hoping to get well this week after a dismal early showing. Good luck!
Our Picks: TCU +18 (loss), Stanford +3 (win), Virginia Tech +7 (win), ND -2 (win), UCLA +7 (win).
Week 4: (9/19/08) As usual, it was very easy to find one sided action in where the uneducated bettin public is throwing their hard earned cash down on many teams that are destined to lose..
As usual, we'll fade them until the cows come home and will likely have a profitable season in doing so using the following plays for this week:
Miami-Ohio is only getting 33% of the action vs. Cinci. The public is one siding big name LSU to the tune of 63% when Auburn getting +2 at home is likely to win straight up. Marshall is at S. Miss getting +7.5 and only 31.6% of the vote ATS. Central Michigan plays a good, but not worthy of laying -10.5 Purdue team in which Purdue is getting a whopping 68% of the action.
Buffalo is going to get destroyed by Missouri this weekend, but +33 and them only gettin 33% of the action (including sharps) is too tasty to pass up. Lastly, Iowa State who is likely to win straight up at UNLV is only seeing 40% of the bets vs. the Runnin' Rebs.
Our Picks: Miami-Ohio +11.5 (loss), Auburn +2 (loss), Marshall +7.5 (win), Central Michigan +10.5 (win), Buffalo +33 (win) and Iowa State +2 (loss).
Week 3: PASSED.
Week 2: (9/19/08) Lotsa one sided action this week. We've gone through with a fine tooth comb to dig up the value. These plays are based on what CAN happen. Northwestern is getting banged to the tune of 71% on the road at Duke. Duke may very well win this game straight up if they can halfway contain the run. SJ State visits Nebraska and the squares are in love with the Huskers who are getting hit at 73.4%. Take SJ State here who SHOULD cover. Fans are remembering last week's Oklahoma blowout a bit too much and not factoring in that Cinci isn't half bad. With the Sooners getting one sided to the tune of 68.7%, this makes Cinci a play.
Oregon State looked bad at Stanford last week, but hey! Stanford is much improved and OSU always starts off slow! Their not a bad team and no way should they be getting more than 2 TD's. Penn State is getting too much respect here (62.4%). Take OSU. Cal goes to Washington State to take on a not so good Cougar team but who can resist getting 13.5 at home? Cal is getting hammered at 68% and this line ain't going anywhere. The bookies like the Cougs and so do we.
Our Picks: Navy +7 (loss), Duke +6 (win), San Jose State +26.5 (win), Cincinnati +21.5 (loss), Oregon State +15.5 (loss) and Washington State +13.5 (loss).
Week 1: (8/30/08) The public is currently one siding the following games. Clemons 63%, S. Miss 73.9%, Michigan 66%, Miss. State 65%, N. Illinois/Minnesota UNDER 58.5 and Virginia Tech 61.3.
Our Picks: Alabama +4.5 (Winner), UL Lafayette +10.5 (loss), Utah +3 (Winner), Louisiana Tech +7.5 (Winner), N. Illinois/Minnesota OVER 58.5 (loss) and East Carolina +9.5 (Winner).
Week 1: (8/28/08) The public is one siding the Oregon State Beavers to the tune of 63% while laying points on the road.
Our Picks: Stanford +2.5. (Winner)
Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!
Expert Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.
Favorite of the Week Pick - Giving points means we start the game down. We're not a real big fan of betting college football favorites as it's similar to trading field goals for touchdowns but stick with us as we buck the odds each week, selecting the favored team with the best chance of covering the spread.
Over/Under of the Week - Expect great value from this pick each week as we've cashed in big on betting over/unders over the years.
Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.
College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.
Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.
Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.
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PlayersOnly - Their progressive parlays allow you to lose some games and still cash in your betting ticket!
Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - Tim Tebow, Sam Bradford, Colt McCoy or ? You make the call!
Odds to Win the 2010 BCS Championship - Florida heads up the list at 2-1 followed closely by the Oklahoma Sooners, Texas Longhorns and Ohio State Buckeyes.
Heisman Trophy Winners - A full list of college football quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers who have made history on the field and won the prestigious award.
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