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Florida Gators vs. LSU Tigers Odds - Prediction

No. 21 Florida Gators (7-2 SU, 4-5 ATS) vs. No. 16 LSU Tigers (6-3 SU, 4-5 ATS)
College Football Week 12
Date/Time: Saturday November 19th, 2016. 1:00PM (EST)
Where: Tiger Stadium Baton Rouge, L.A.
TV: SECN
by Jay, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: FLA +14/LSU -14
Over/Under Total: TBA

A long awaited and overdue meeting between the no. 21 Florida Gators and no. 16 LSU Tigers will transpire this Saturday in Baton Rouge inside Tiger Stadium. This game was originally scheduled to take place at the beginning of October but was postponed due to Hurricane Matthew. The scheduling of this Florida vs. LSU game may have been the most difficult off the field debacle all season. At one point this meeting seemed improbable following the postponement and there was a high level of controversy to get this meeting rescheduled. Non-conference games had to be cancelled and SEC Commissioner Greg Sankey was heavily involved with the rescheduling negotiations. So after a drawn out rescheduling process, the Gators and Tigers will finally collide on the field this Saturday in this heavily heated rivalry showdown.

I think the rescheduling drama that unfolded between both schools in the wake of Hurricane Matthew was a strong testament to just how much disdain there is between the two programs. LSU and Florida have been heated rivals for a long time and there meetings have historically featured high profile games with SEC and sometimes National Championship implications. While this year’s game may not be quite as big as some of the prior meetings, rest assured there will be no love lost when these two conference heavyweights collide inside Tiger Stadium early Saturday afternoon.

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The Gators actually clinched the SEC East with a 20-7 victory over South Carolina last week meaning they have earned their trip to Atlanta for a shot at the SEC Championship against Alabama. Therefore, this week’s game may be a pretty good indicator towards their chances at upsetting Alabama given than LSU plays a very similar style of football and arguably is the most talented team in SEC West behind Alabama. After all this LSU team gave the Crimson Tide their toughest challenge of the season just two weeks ago in a 10-0 loss that was highlighted by tremendous defensive play on both sides of the football.

This week Florida will get a huge test on the road at LSU as they seek just their 2nd win in Baton Rouge since 2003. The Gators will enter this Saturday’s contest as significantly large 14 point underdogs. One of the main reasons to the big ATS margin is that the Gators are without starting quarterback Luke Del Rio who hurt his throwing shoulder in the 31-10 loss to Arkansas two weeks ago. Backup quarterback Austin Appleby had a great performance against a tough South Carolina defense last week hitting 17 of 21 passing for 201 yards with 2 touchdowns and a pick. It was the type of performance that encouraged Gators fans for their chances this week against an even tougher LSU defense.

While Appleby did answer the challenge last week with an impressive performance, it is worth noting that they were at home and the offense consistently started on the short side of the field which made things a bit easier for Appleby. Even with the successes, the Gators could only compile 20 points against South Carolina as the offense coughed up 4 turnovers on the afternoon.

Those mistakes and short field opportunities will not be as forgiving this Saturday against LSU. Baton Rouge is one of the most difficult places to play and LSU’s defense is among the most talented in the SEC. Therefore, it will be interesting to see if Florida can find ways to score. The Gators defense will also have a tough challenge as well. Despite being very solid against the run (11th in the FBS), they will get their biggest challenge of the season against an LSU rushing attack that is very physical with extremely talented tailbacks in Leonard Fournette and Derrius Guice. Both backs are on the verge of 1,000 yard campaigns and have combined for 17 touchdowns. Therefore, Florida’s success will likely ride on the heels of their ability to stop the run this weekend.

Jay's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: LSU has not shown the scoring ability throw the air to make me feel comfortable with laying 14 points against a tough Florida defense. If the Gators can prevent the big plays from happening, they should keep this one close in a tough defensive game. Take Florida +14

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NCAA Football Week 12 Betting Previews

Here are some additional game previews with against the spread predictions.

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!

Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

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Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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