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Florida State Seminoles vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons Odds - Free Pick

Florida State Seminoles (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS) vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS)
College Football Week 5
Date/Time: Saturday September 30th, 2017. 3:30PM (EST)
Where: BB&T Field Winston-Salem, N.C.
TV: ABC
by Jay, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: FSU -7.5/WF +7.5
Over/Under Total: TBA

The Florida State Seminoles fell out of the Top 25 for the first time since 2011 this week following Saturdayís upset loss to North Carolina State. The Seminoles were double digit favorites going into the weekend over the Wolfpack but could not find any consistency behind freshman quarterback James Blackman. As a result, the Seminoles lost their 2nd straight game after a two week layoff that was a result of Hurricane Irma. This week the Seminoles will look to get their first victory of the year when they go into Winston-Salem for a battle with the undefeated Wake Forest Demon Deacons.

The fact that the Seminoles are 0-2 SU and the Demon Deacons are 4-0 SU could be perhaps the best indicator of future apocalypse. In all seriousness, the Demon Deacons started the season 4-0 last year but lost 6 of their final 8 games. In many ways, Wake Forest has benefited by having an easy opening schedule in each of the last two years. The Demon Deacons first 4 victories have come against the likes of Presbyterian, Boston College, Utah State, and most recently a 20-19 nail biter against Appalachian State. Perhaps this week, we will get the first true gauge of just how much potential this Wake Forest team has against their toughest challenge to date at home against the Seminoles.

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Last week I told everyone to take North Carolina State +12 with extreme confidence against the Seminoles because I thought it was a complete nightmarish type of situation for Florida State. The Seminoles strength is defense and running the football. Last week, they were facing one of the best defensive fronts in the country to combat their running game and a dangerous NC State offense while breaking in a freshman quarterback nevertheless. The situation and the matchups simply did not favor the Seminoles. However, I believe Florida State will find themselves in a much better situation this week despite being on the road.

Despite the struggles, Florida State still has a really talented defense led by safety Derwin James who is the best in the nation at his position. Most importantly, the Seminoles entire defensive unit has speed and strength that is undeniable. I believe that defense matches up very well against a Demon Deacons offense that is centralized around quarterback John Wolford. Wolford has basically been everything for the Demon Deacons offense this year throwing 8 touchdowns without any interceptions and leading the team in rushing with 269 yards and 3 scores on the ground. Additionally all receiving production for Wake Forest has surrounded receiver Greg Dortch and tight end Sam Serigne who have caught 9 of 10 passing touchdowns this year.

I believe Florida Stateís defense will be able to put focus towards these few players and get pressure on Wolford to be disruptive. I simply do not see Wake Forestís ability to stretch the field or create space within the Florida State defense to be possible based on everything that I have seen. Therefore, I really like the Seminoles defense to shut this Wake Forest offense down. From there, the Seminoles have enough talent to get the job done barring any significant turnover woes. Despite the shaky start from freshman James Blackman last week, the youngster still showed some flashes of potential. Once he is able to read the defenses and trust his decision making, he will not have to rely on pure talent. Obviously that will take experience but Blackman has the arm and supporting cast to get the job done this week.

Jay's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: I am sorry to be pessimistic for the Demon Deacon fans but I just think this is a bad matchup for the home team. Last week, I advised everyone to fade Florida State with complete confidence. This week I say take the Seminoles -7.5 with complete confidence. - Not all sportsbooks are created equal! Many are fly by night, poorly run and your loot is actually at risk. End that problem today by signing up at one of the web's oldest and most trusted sportsbooks! Online for over 15 years, your credit card will work and you'll also receive a 50% bonus up to $250 FREE at Bovada Sportsbook!

NCAA Football Week 8 Betting Previews

Here are some additional game previews from this week's college football card.

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!

Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

Betting

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Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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