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Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Odds - Prediction

Fresno State Bulldogs (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) vs. No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)
College Football Week 2
Date/Time: Saturday September 9th, 2017. 3:30PM (EST)
Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium Tuscaloosa, A.L.
TV: ESPN2
by Jay, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: FRES +42.5/ALA -42.5
Over/Under Total: TBA

If there were any doubters to who deserved the number 1 ranking in college football, Alabama silenced critics on Saturday night with an abusive 24-7 victory over no. 3 Florida State. It was not even the best of performances by the Crimson Tide but their extreme talent exuberated in every facet of the game. The Crimson Tide defense consistently roughed up Deondre Francois until he was knocked out of the game with an unfortunate season ending knee injury, the special teams were “special” blocking a punt that really changed the game, and the offense made some plays in an all-around impressive victory.

Of course the impressive victory was least surprising to me. I picked the Crimson Tide to win the National Championship and I warned everyone they would be too much for Florida State in my preview last week. I told everyone that this team has the potential to be even better than they were last year and I still believe that is the case granted it is just week 2 approaching. Still, Alabama showed immense talent on both sides of the football. The defense was extremely fast and I was impressed by the amount of blitzes that Alabama called to keep pressure on Florida State quarterback Deondre Francois. If Alabama dials up that many blitzes this year, they are going to be terrorizing on defense.

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With that being said, there is still a way to challenge this potent Alabama team. I am not going to go into detail surrounding the teams that could potentially give them trouble in matchups. For this week, I will just say that it is not going to be Fresno State. The Bulldogs will enter Tuscaloosa as enormous 42.5 point underdogs despite winning their opener in blowout fashion by the score of 66-0 over Incarnate. Now if you are asking who is Incarnate? Just now that they just moved up to the Division 1 level in 2013 and the entire program is relatively new. Therefore, I am not sure we can judge Fresno State off of last week’s performance other than the fact it was a pure cake walk where they racked up 613 yards of total offense.

Therefore this week’s game against Alabama will be the first true test of the Jeff Tedford era. Tedford was previously the Head Coach at Cal from 2002-2012 if that name sounds familiar. However, Tedford inherited a team that lacks a lot of talent and let’s not forget the Bulldogs had their worse season in school history last year with a 1-11 record. Quarterback Chason Virgil has some experience at the FBS level but he has not been great. Even in last week’s blowout victory, Virgil completed just 16 of 29 passing for 246 yards and a touchdown. Backup Marcus McMaryion actually looked a touch better in relief efforts. It is important that Fresno State get the right guy under center because the strength of their team is in the receiving corps. KeeSean Johnson, Jamie Jordan, and Da’Mari Scott are all capable receivers. The Bulldogs with the help of Coach Tedford just have to find a way to effectively get those guys the ball.

Unfortunately for Fresno State, I think they will have their hands full against this Alabama defense this week. As stated before, Alabama showed great speed and strength on defense last week in effort to get to the quarterback. I could see that same formula derailing Fresno State’s offense. Let’s face it, you are not going to score many points on Alabama unless you can protect the quarterback and throw the football down the field. They are too strong within the trenches to run over so you have to take advantages of matchups on the outside which are not that advantageous to begin with. Therefore, this is probably going to be a long afternoon for the Bulldogs.

Jay's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: The question with this large spread is how long will Alabama keep their foot on the gas? I am sure we will see a couple big plays in the passing game as WR Calvin Ridley will likely be unbeatable. Additionally, Alabama can take control of the ground game with the offensive line and talented tailbacks in Damien Harris and Bo Scarbrough. Still, this is a big number to cover even for Alabama and I think it will be close either way. Consider a small play on Alabama -42.5

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NCAA Football Week 5 Betting Previews

Here are some additional game previews from this week's college football card.

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!

Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

Betting

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Intertops - The safest place to bet on the web as they've been around over 20 years! Enjoy LIVE college football betting where you can jump into the action at any time during the game and place a bet! This gives you a huge advantage!

Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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