Note: If you're looking for the 2013 Week 10 matchup between these teams, please go here: Miami Hurricanes vs. Florida State Seminoles Pick.
No. 23 Florida State Seminoles (4-1, 4-1 ATS) at No. 13 Miami Hurricanes (3-1, 3-1 ATS), Week Six College Football, Saturday October 2nd, 8:00PM Eastern Landshark Stadium Miami, F.L.
By Jay Horne, Professional Sports Handicapper of Predictem.com
Betting Odds: FSU +6.5/Mia -6.5
Over/Under Total: OFF
Take advantage of some free bets in week six by depositing $125 using your checking account at Sportsinteraction and they'll give you an extra $125 FREE!
Two top 25 teams from the ACC take center stage Saturday night when the Miami Hurricanes host their rival Florida State Seminoles in a nationally televised event. This rivalry game at one time was among the most popular rivalries in the country when the two teams consistently battled with National Championship implications on a yearly basis. However, over the past few years with both teams going through setbacks in their programs the Florida State-Miami lost some of its importance. Now they may not be contending for a National Championship, but this game has ACC Championship importance written all over it.
The no. 13 ranked Hurricanes pulled off an impressive road victory at Clemson last week 30-21. In that game the Miami defense was the difference for the 2nd straight week. After shutting down Pittsburgh on the national stage on Thursday night two weeks ago, the Hurricanes defense forced 6 turnovers in route to their big win over Clemson. WR Leonard Hankerson had a breakout game catching 7 passes for 147 yards and touchdowns. QB Jacory Harris had a pretty poor performance completing well less than half of his passes with 2 picks, but the Canes standout did manage some big plays resulting in 205 yards passing for 4 touchdowns. Harris has been under heavy criticism in weeks for his inconsistency and he can not afford to keep throwing interceptions as the year progresses.
Harris and the passing attack will be worth watching this week when the face a similar high power passing attack in Florida State. Fireworks could definitely be on the menu for such a battle between strong offensive minded teams. Miami is averaging 32 points per game while the Seminoles are a touch better averaging 35 points per contest. However, it is the Miami defense that continues to impress. The Hurricanes defense is ranked 12th in the nation holding teams to just 266 yards per game and they also sport the 15th ranked scoring defense holding opponents to 15 points per game. Among the defensive front, Miami is even more talented. The Hurricanes defensive front leads the nation in tackles for loss and rank 2nd in sacks. Considering how often the offense has given opponents second chances to move the football, those defensive numbers are extremely impressive.
Of course on the other side of the field, Florida State has been getting the job done very similar to the way Miami has been. The Seminoles defensive front nearly mirrors Miami exactly. Where Miami is 1st in tackles for loss and 2nd in sacks, the Seminoles are 2nd in tackles for loss and 1st in sacks. Therefore, it is safe to say there will be some intensity to watch among the defensive fronts this Saturday night. The Seminoles defense is a bit better against the run holding teams to just 74 yards per game and that could definitely play a factor. Despite Miami's passing reputation, they like to run the ball as well. If Florida State shuts the rushing game down, it puts even more pressure on the inconsistent Jacory Harris.
Still the Seminoles offense will have to manage to put up points against that Miami dominating force. So far the offense has performed well averaging 433 yards per game. The surprising factor to those numbers is the majority of the production has come from the ground rather than the air. QB Christian Ponder is the most experienced starter in the ACC and has completed 60% passing for 8 touchdowns, and 3 picks so far this season. However, the running game has provided the sparks. Running backs Jermaine Thomas, Ty Jones, and Chris Thompson have all been promising. Thomas leads the team with 308 yards and 4 touchdowns and rushed for 122 in last week's 31-14 win over Virginia. Jones sat out that game with an ankle injury which allowed Chris Thompson to get some touches. Thompson did not disappoint with 10 carries for 76 yards and a score. Jones will be a full go this Saturday again, but all backs will likely get their share of carries.
If the ground game has trouble moving against the Miami defense which may be the case, then the Seminoles will rely on Ponder to move the ball through the air. Ponder is a proven leader and does a good job of keeping ball control. WR Bert Reed is the biggest playmaker on the outside and has caught 28 passes for 251 yards. Also wide outs Taiwan Easterling and Willie Haulstead can make plays in the passing game as well. It would not surprising for neither offense to get much going on the ground, therefore this could turn out to be a quarterback dual. If that happens, Ponder needs to deliver for the Seminoles offense.
Jay's pick to cover the point spread: I expect Florida State to get pressure on Harris and expect him to continue turning the ball over. Harris was just 13 of 33 last week and the Seminoles will get even more pressure on him this week. Florida State wins this game, points are just extra. Take FSU +6.5.
Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!
Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.
Favorite of the Week Pick - Giving points means we start the game down. We're not a real big fan of betting college football favorites as it's similar to trading field goals for touchdowns but stick with us as we buck the odds each week, selecting the favored team with the best chance of covering the spread.
Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.
College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.
Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.
Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.
2014 College Football Predictions - Badger gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2015 National Championship game.
2014 Heisman Trophy Predictions - Jameis Winston is favored to win the award at 3-1 odds but Jay says this is a sucker bet! Marcus Mariota should be a contender and ball carriers TJ Yeldon and Melvin Gordon look good as well!
2015 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football handicapper Jay Horne gives his picks on who he thinks will win the 2015 National Championship. Despite not liking to side with heavy favorites, he believes the Alabama Crimson Tide are unstoppable and he has high expectations for them to cash his betting ticket at season's end!
MyBookie - Get a HUGE 50% bonus (up to $2000 FREE!) after making an initial deposit of $100 or more! Great at getting Visa cards to work for deposits.
Bovada - Boasts the highest credit card acceptance rate on the internet! HUGE menu of wagers for you to choose from! One of few online sportsbooks to offer Texas Hold'em! 50% bonus up to $250 in free cash!
5Dimes - 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Reduced juice betting odds! Buy up to 15 points! Most props on the web!
GTBets - Offers a HUGE 100% sign up bonus up to $500! Cool offer allows for you to pick 2 of your favorite college football teams and move the line a full point every time you bet those teams!
Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - This article is outdated and will be updated next year for the 2014 college football season.
Odds to Win the 2015 BCS Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are favored to be repeat winners of the National Championship this year at +500 followed by Oregon at +800, Ohio St. +850, LSU/Texas A&M +1200 and Florida/FSU both at +1400. Check out your school's odds here!
Heisman Trophy Winners - A full list of college football quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers who have made history on the field and won the prestigious award.
Fantasy College Football - Draft a fresh team every week! Leagues range from $2 to $420! You can play head to head or in big groups! Payouts take place approx. one hour after the final Saturday game.
The Spread - Who will cover the spread? They will! Offers scores, odds, free game predictions, current news and more!