No. 7 Georgia Bulldogs (11-2 SU, 7-6 ATS) vs. No.16 Nebraska Cornhuskers (10-3 SU, 6-6-1 ATS)
College Football Capitol One Bowl Preview
Date/Time: Tuesday January 1st, 2013. 1:00PM Eastern
Where: Florida Citrus Bowl Orlando, F.L.
by Jay, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: Ga -10/Neb +10
Over/Under Total: 59.5
The no. 7 Georgia Bulldogs were literally just one play away from playing for a National Championship but fell just short to Alabama in the SEC Championship 32-28. Instead of playing for a crystal ball, Mark Richt's Bulldogs will now take their talents to South Florida to meet the no. 16 Nebraska Cornhuskers in the Capitol One Bowl. Nebraska also played for their conference crown but failed to show up resulting in a 70-31 route at the hands of Wisconsin in the Big Ten Championship Game. The Cornhuskers now look for a little redemption as they get a chance to knock off one of the big boys from the SEC.
On paper, Nebraska has the slightly better defense giving up just 343 yards (22nd in FBS) compared to Georgia's 351 yards (27th in FBS) per game. However, Nebraska's defense played flat awful against Wisconsin giving up multiple big plays and a disturbing 539 yards on the ground. Now Coach Bo Pelini has the unfortunate task of trying to fix the defensive problems against a team that houses two of the best young running backs in the entire country.
Georgia tailbacks Todd Gurley and Keith Marshall, nicknamed 'Gurshall' for their Herschel Walker type numbers, have produced just less than 2,000 yards rushing with 24 combined touchdowns this season. Gurley leads the team with 1,260 yards and is a homerun threat each time he touches the ball. If Nebraska plays anything like they did against Wisconsin, these talented Georgia backs could run wild. However, Georgia also houses a very talented quarterback in junior Aaron Murray. Murray has completed 65.4% passing for 3,466 yards with 31 scores and 8 picks so far this year. Murray is a prototypical pocket style passer and can make all the throws on the field when given time to get the ball out. Therefore it is imperative that Nebraska's defensive front plays well to not only get pressure on Murray but stifle the talented Georgia rushing attack.
On the other side of the ball, Nebraska owns one of the best rushing offenses in the country averaging 254 yards per game on the ground. QB Taylor Martinez is the ultimate dual threat behind center. Martinez has thrown for 2,667 yards with 21 scores and 10 picks while rushing for 973 yards with 10 additional touchdowns. Martinez and running back Ameer Abdullah have combined for more than 2,000 yards rushing this year. Often times Nebraska's rushing ability opens the door for plays in the secondary once defenses lose focus. Martinez can hit those big throws down the field but does struggle with consistency when under pressure where it has been documented about his mechanics issues.
Georgia's defensive front has not been very strong this year and they were dominated up front against Alabama in the SEC Title Game. More importantly Georgia was gashed up the middle against Alabama and they have given up big numbers against the run all season. On average, the Bulldogs give up 177 yards per game against the run which will be a big concern against a running threat like Nebraska. SEC teams in general have disappointed in some of these bowl games against middle ranked teams over the last few years. While Georgia appears to be the clear favorite in this game, Nebraska has the match-up skillset to contend in this game especially if Georgia lacks intensity on defense. I believe the early part of this game will set the tone so it will be critical that both Nebraska and Georgia come out firing.
Jay's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Interestingly both teams have lost their last two postseason bowl appearances. However, that will obviously end for one team this year. I simply believe Georgia has too much talent that Nebraska can overcome. If the Bulldogs tailbacks run wild, this could turn into another blowout. Either way I will lay the points with Georgia. Take Georgia -10!
Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!
Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.
Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.
College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.
Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.
Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.
2016/2017 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2017 National Championship game at Raymond James Stadium on January 9th.
2016 Heisman Trophy Predictions - DeShaun Watson is favored to win the award at +575 with Stanford RB Christian McCaffrey (+575) and LSU RB Leonard Fournette (+850) close behind. However, the real value may be with Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman at 40/1.
2016-2017 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the National Championship as a 4-horse race which includes Bama at +665, Clemson +725, LSU +900 and Ohio State +1075. Teams on teh bubble include Oklahoma at +1200, Michigan +1300 and FSU at +1350. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!
MyBookie - Get a HUGE 50% bonus (up to $1000 FREE!) after making an initial deposit of $100 or more! Great at getting Visa cards to work for deposits.
Bovada - Boasts the highest credit card acceptance rate on the internet! HUGE menu of wagers for you to choose from! One of few online sportsbooks to offer Texas Hold'em! 50% bonus up to $250 in free cash!
5Dimes - 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Reduced juice betting odds! Buy up to 15 points! Most props on the web!
Bookmaker - Offers a HUGE 50% sign up bonus up to $300! Enjoy LIVE college football betting where you can jump into the action at any time during the game and place a bet! This gives you a huge advantage!
Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - Clemson QB DeShaun Watson will have the ball in his hands a TON and he plays on a good team so he's the obvious favorite to win the award this year at +575. Leonard Fournette at 8.5/1 looks like he could play in the NFL right now. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. It's unlikely to happen as offensive players usually win this honor, but Michigan DB Jabrill Peppers (75-1) and Texas AM DT Myles Garret (110-1) could be in the running as well. It might be a good year to bet more than one prediction!
Odds to Win the 2016 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are favored to be repeat winners of the National Championship this year at +700 followed by Ohio St. at +750 and Clemson at +800. Things drop off a bit with the Michigan Wolverines, LSU Tigers and Oklahoma Sooners all coming in at +1200. Check out your favorite school's odds here!