No. 12 Georgia Bulldogs (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) vs. No. 23 Ole Miss Rebels (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS)
College Football Week 4
Date/Time: Saturday, September 24th,, 12:00PM (EST)
Where: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium Oxford, M.S.
by Jay, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: UGA +7.5/MISS -7.5
Over/Under Total: TBA
The Ole Miss Rebels nearly accomplished the unthinkable last week. They nearly beat no. 1 Alabama for the 3rd consecutive season. The key word being “nearly” as fate did not play into the hands of the Rebels. Despite a 24-3 lead at one point in the 4th quarter, the Rebels could not hold on as they fell to the Crimson Tide 48-43. The 2nd loss in just 3 games derailed Ole Miss’s hopes for doing anything truly special this season but the opportunity is there to still wreak havoc in the SEC. The Rebels will get to capitalize on that opportunity this Saturday when they host 12th ranked Georgia inside Vaught-Hemingway Stadium for a shot at revenge against another ranked opponent.
Despite being 3-0, the Bulldogs may be taking a bit of an underdog role this week. Since their solid opening win over North Carolina, the Bulldogs have just narrowly pulled out wins in each of the last two weeks against the likes of Nicholls and Missouri. To put things into perspective, the Bulldogs were 53 point favorites over Nicholls but just managed to pull out a 26-26 victory. Then last week as a 7 point favorite over Missouri, the Bulldogs escaped another close call with a 28-27 victory over the Tigers. I can’t exactly put my finger on what is causing Georgia’s struggles. The defense has been decent but not great. The offense has shown big play potential but have had more stalled out drives than rewards.
Quarterback Jacob Eason has struggled with consistency at the quarterback position. The freshman has completed just 55% of his passes with 5 scores and 2 picks on the season. The play at the quarterback position has not exactly helped this offense get off to a hot start. However, Georgia still maintains one of the best backfields in college football with Nick Chubb and Sony Michel. Michel has not exactly got going this year which may be another contributing factor that is holding this offense back a bit. However, Chubb has carried the ball 71 times already in the first 3 games while churning out 365 yards with 3 scores. Chubb has the ability to put this offense on his back as we have seen many times previously so the Rebels defense can expect to see a lot of #27 this Saturday.
I think the immediate concerns for Georgia this Saturday is the fact that their defense has been less than stellar. While not bad, the Bulldogs have still given up nearly 350 yards of total offense through each of their first 3 games. If you consider that Kirby Smart is a defensive minded coach and the offenses that Georgia has face in recent weeks are not powerhouses, then it does cause for concern this Saturday against a Rebels team led by veteran Chad Kelly. Kelly lit up the Crimson Tide defense last week for 421 yards with 3 touchdowns and 1 pick. The senior quarterback is already at 953 yards passing with 10 scores and 4 picks through the first 3 games of the season.
The Rebels had some concerns at the beginning of the season surrounding the receiving corps specifically the losses of Cody Core and Laquan Treadwell. However, this offense has rebounded with emerging threats in Evan Engram and Damore’ea Stringfellow. It may be the emerging talent that has helped this Rebels offense but I contribute their production to Kelly’s performances. He has been very good despite the young crop of talent surrounding him and this offense should only get better as the year progresses. If the Rebels defense can just simply limit the amount of big plays from the Georgia offense, they should have every opportunity to bounce back with a win at home this weekend.
Jay's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: This is a perfect spot for Ole Miss to recover after a pair of tough losses to start the season. Take Ole Miss -7.5
Bet this game at an online sportsbook where your credit card WILL work for deposits and where you'll receive a giant 100% sign-up bonus up to $1000 in FREE cash! --> MyBookie!
Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!
Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.
Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.
College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.
Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.
Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.
2016/2017 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2017 National Championship game at Raymond James Stadium on January 9th.
2016 Heisman Trophy Predictions - DeShaun Watson is favored to win the award at +575 with Stanford RB Christian McCaffrey (+575) and LSU RB Leonard Fournette (+850) close behind. However, the real value may be with Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman at 40/1.
2016-2017 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the National Championship as a 4-horse race which includes Bama at +665, Clemson +725, LSU +900 and Ohio State +1075. Teams on teh bubble include Oklahoma at +1200, Michigan +1300 and FSU at +1350. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!
MyBookie - Get a HUGE 50% bonus (up to $1000 FREE!) after making an initial deposit of $100 or more! Great at getting Visa cards to work for deposits.
Bovada - Boasts the highest credit card acceptance rate on the internet! HUGE menu of wagers for you to choose from! One of few online sportsbooks to offer Texas Hold'em! 50% bonus up to $250 in free cash!
5Dimes - 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Reduced juice betting odds! Buy up to 15 points! Most props on the web!
Bookmaker - Offers a HUGE 50% sign up bonus up to $300! Enjoy LIVE college football betting where you can jump into the action at any time during the game and place a bet! This gives you a huge advantage!
Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - Clemson QB DeShaun Watson will have the ball in his hands a TON and he plays on a good team so he's the obvious favorite to win the award this year at +575. Leonard Fournette at 8.5/1 looks like he could play in the NFL right now. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. It's unlikely to happen as offensive players usually win this honor, but Michigan DB Jabrill Peppers (75-1) and Texas AM DT Myles Garret (110-1) could be in the running as well. It might be a good year to bet more than one prediction!
Odds to Win the 2016 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are favored to be repeat winners of the National Championship this year at +700 followed by Ohio St. at +750 and Clemson at +800. Things drop off a bit with the Michigan Wolverines, LSU Tigers and Oklahoma Sooners all coming in at +1200. Check out your favorite school's odds here!