Note: If you're looking for the 2013 Week 6 game between these teams, please go here: Georgia Bulldogs vs. Tennessee Volunteers Pick.
Georgia Bulldogs (3-2, 1-4 ATS) at Tennessee Volunteers (2-3, 3-2 ATS)
Neyland Stadium Knoxville, T.N. Saturday October 10th, 12:21PM Eastern
By Jay Horne of Predictem.com
Point Spread: Pick'em
The Tennessee Volunteers host the Georgia Bulldogs in a classic SEC rivalry this Saturday from Neyland Stadium. These two tradition rich teams normally are more likely to both be 5-0 after 5 weeks of the season than to have just 5 wins combined. Both teams suffered disappointing losses last week and it will be interesting to see who bounces back this Saturday. Tennessee battled undefeated Auburn in a tough game before falling 26-22 and the Bulldogs lost a nail bitter to LSU 20-13.
The loss set the Volunteers back to 0-2 on the season in Lane Kiffin's first year as head coach. The young team now is in a must win situation if they are to get the program headed in the right direction. Georgia is in a similar situation as they may be much better than their 3-2 record indicates. The Bulldogs lost to Oklahoma State in their opener, but have played fairly well since. The Bulldogs were a mere 46 seconds away from capturing the huge win over no. 4 LSU last week, but Tigers running back Charles Scott broke free to score the game winning touchdown with less than a minute to play. It is simply amazing how one play can affect your season. If the Bulldogs are to fall this week, they would be set back to just 3-3 on the season after starting year ranked inside the Top 15.
The Bulldogs surprisingly rank towards the bottom of the SEC on both offense and defense. The Bulldogs rank next to last in both scoring and total defense. Georgia has allowed nearly 28 points per game and 358 total yards. Those numbers are rather surprising considering all the playmakers they have on the field. QB Joe Cox has been fairly good, but has had a tendency to force the ball which has led to 6 picks on the season. Still, Cox has thrown for 1,208 yards with 11 touchdowns.
Cox has the luxury of throwing to WR A.J. Green who is the biggest playmaker on the Bulldogs roster. Green is a big sophomore who stands at 6'4 with even bigger talent. Green has scored 5 touchdowns and racked up 527 receptions yards. There is not any other receiver in the SEC that has produced over 350 yards just to indicate how well Green is playing. The future NFL lottery pick will make it difficult on the Tennessee secondary and perhaps can make a few more big plays like last week's game against LSU (5 catches, 99 yards, 1 td) to allow the Bulldogs to bounce back with a win.
The Volunteers are about to embark on a tough 3 game stretch that includes Georgia this week followed by No. 3 Alabama and No. 25 South Carolina. Therefore, Tennessee must get a win this week or they could be starring at a possible 2-6 start which would cause all faith to be lost in Knoxville. Tennessee has been in every ball game they have played losing by a combined 18 points in their 3 losses. Those losses included their great battle with Florida where they played the Gators as good as any team has in the last year.
Running back Montario Hardesty leads the SEC with 575 rushing yards on the season. Hardesty has been brilliant gaining 5.5 yards per carry and scoring 5 touchdowns on the season. Considering how the Georgia defensive front has played, Hardesty should be able to continue giving Tennessee some success on the ground.
Still, the Volunteers need QB Jonathon Crompton to be more consistent. The senior quarterback has just not been able to keep from turning the ball over as he has 19 interceptions compared to just 22 touchdowns in his career in Knoxville. On the season, Crompton has thrown 8 picks which is most in the SEC. Crompton has also thrown 9 touchdowns this season, but the Volunteers need him to limit the bad passes.
Crompton completed his first game without an interception last week and it nearly allowed Tennessee to pull of a win against an Auburn Tigers team that is not getting the respect they deserve. Basically the Volunteers have played well, but just not well enough to win. If Crompton can keep from turning the ball over, it will give the defense a chance. The defense only allowed 26 points last week against Auburn who ranks 5th in the nation in offense. If they get pressure on Cox and somehow limit A.J Green's playmaking ability, there is no reason not to expect a win for the Volunteers.
Jay's Pick - The series has been split right down the middle at 3-3 in their last 6 meetings and this game is a toss up as well as the betting odds have the game listed at even for each team. Both teams need a win bad, but this is much more important for Tennessee at home and they should win a close one. Take the Volunteers to win and cover.
Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!
Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.
Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.
College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.
Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.
Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.
2016/2017 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2017 National Championship game at Raymond James Stadium on January 9th.
2016 Heisman Trophy Predictions - DeShaun Watson is favored to win the award at +575 with Stanford RB Christian McCaffrey (+575) and LSU RB Leonard Fournette (+850) close behind. However, the real value may be with Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman at 40/1.
2016-2017 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the National Championship as a 4-horse race which includes Bama at +665, Clemson +725, LSU +900 and Ohio State +1075. Teams on teh bubble include Oklahoma at +1200, Michigan +1300 and FSU at +1350. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!
MyBookie - Get a HUGE 50% bonus (up to $1000 FREE!) after making an initial deposit of $100 or more! Great at getting Visa cards to work for deposits.
Bovada - Boasts the highest credit card acceptance rate on the internet! HUGE menu of wagers for you to choose from! One of few online sportsbooks to offer Texas Hold'em! 50% bonus up to $250 in free cash!
5Dimes - 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Reduced juice betting odds! Buy up to 15 points! Most props on the web!
Bookmaker - Offers a HUGE 50% sign up bonus up to $300! Enjoy LIVE college football betting where you can jump into the action at any time during the game and place a bet! This gives you a huge advantage!
Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - Clemson QB DeShaun Watson will have the ball in his hands a TON and he plays on a good team so he's the obvious favorite to win the award this year at +575. Leonard Fournette at 8.5/1 looks like he could play in the NFL right now. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. It's unlikely to happen as offensive players usually win this honor, but Michigan DB Jabrill Peppers (75-1) and Texas A&M DT Myles Garret (110-1) could be in the running as well. It might be a good year to bet more than one prediction!
Odds to Win the 2016 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are favored to be repeat winners of the National Championship this year at +700 followed by Ohio St. at +750 and Clemson at +800. Things drop off a bit with the Michigan Wolverines, LSU Tigers and Oklahoma Sooners all coming in at +1200. Check out your favorite school's odds here!