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College Football Handicapping

Before we get started into our college football handicapping tutorial/guide/tips we'd like to make a little disclaimer. There are OODLES of ways and variables to factor into handicapping a football game. Please don't take this as the bible or be critical of what we didn't include. There's only so much space on this page not to mention not everything is necessary to include when capping games.

College Football Handicapping
by Predictem.com Staff

Before we get started into our college football handicapping tutorial/guide/tips we'd like to make a little disclaimer. There are OODLES of ways and variables to factor into handicapping a football game. Please don't take this as the bible or be critical of what we didn't include. There's only so much space on this page not to mention not everything is necessary to include when capping games.

Watch as many games as you can. While stats and trends can help in your handicapping, there is no better tool than actually watching the games on TV and picking up how teams play.

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Try to focus on small college football games. These games are less paid attention to by the oddsmakers and if you dig enough, you can actually find our more information than the books do about the current week's matchup and create an overlay (where the odds are in your favor.)

Avoid big nationally televised games. The bookies spend more time on these games and the spreads are tighter. If you absolutely have to bet on these games, always consider the underdog first, because being nationally televised and all, "the book" knows that the general public loves to root for favorites and "overs," so they often times inflate these lines sucking the value out of the fav and the over.

Study how often both teams turn the ball over. Turnovers can play a huge roll in college football games. Since many college foots games are mismatches, if you get a really big and fast defense (the Florida teams) vs. a team with a weak offensive line and weak offense, the superior team can tend to create a lot of turnovers which will have a big influence on the outcome of the game. Look for teams that are good at forcing turnovers vs. teams that have a tendency to give the ball up often through interceptions and fumbles.

Home/Road advantage. Some teams play really well at home and others play horrible on the road. While this is often times already factored into the spread, sometimes matchups happen in which the home field advantage can be worth more than the books have given it credit for.

Using statistics to handicap. Things to look for are rushing yardage per game vs. rushing defense, passing offense vs. passing defense. Don't just look at each teams season numbers, look through box scores on a game by game basis. Often times numbers can be skewed by one shutout or blowout.

Check the weather report. Coaches gameplans change when inclement weather is present. Many teams tend to pass less and run more. This surely has a big impact on the spread and total both giving the dog and the under more value. Pay special attention to games with crappy weather where the spread/total haven't moved yet. Great value to be had here!

Check for injuries! What's worse than betting on a team and finding out their starting quarterback is out and some freshman is playing? YUCK! It happens too!

Join a college football handicapping forum. Thousands of sets of eyes are better than two. Not only can you coattail some great picks by winning amateur handicappers, but you will be able to share information with other's from around the world. Check out our college football handicapping forum, you'll be glad you did!

Find out who the public is one-siding and bet the other way. While this doesn't work for "just any" game, it is a great tool to help you get on or off a pick. Point spreads are based on public perception. If your looking at a game in which the public is hammering it to the tune of 70% or more, it's very likely that the bookies have pulled the wool over their eyes and the other team is going to cover. Bookies don't drive cadillacs for no reason!

We hope you have enjoyed our pointers on handicapping college football games. If you've got any questions, feel free to email us at Predictem (at) Hotmail.com

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!

Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2016/2017 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2017 National Championship game at Raymond James Stadium on January 9th.

2016 Heisman Trophy Predictions - DeShaun Watson is favored to win the award at +575 with Stanford RB Christian McCaffrey (+575) and LSU RB Leonard Fournette (+850) close behind. However, the real value may be with Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman at 40/1.

2016-2017 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the National Championship as a 4-horse race which includes Bama at +665, Clemson +725, LSU +900 and Ohio State +1075. Teams on teh bubble include Oklahoma at +1200, Michigan +1300 and FSU at +1350. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

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Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - Clemson QB DeShaun Watson will have the ball in his hands a TON and he plays on a good team so he's the obvious favorite to win the award this year at +575. Leonard Fournette at 8.5/1 looks like he could play in the NFL right now. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. It's unlikely to happen as offensive players usually win this honor, but Michigan DB Jabrill Peppers (75-1) and Texas AM DT Myles Garret (110-1) could be in the running as well. It might be a good year to bet more than one prediction!

Odds to Win the 2016 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are favored to be repeat winners of the National Championship this year at +700 followed by Ohio St. at +750 and Clemson at +800. Things drop off a bit with the Michigan Wolverines, LSU Tigers and Oklahoma Sooners all coming in at +1200. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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