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College Football Handicapping

Before we get started into our college football handicapping tutorial/guide/tips we'd like to make a little disclaimer. There are OODLES of ways and variables to factor into handicapping a football game. Please don't take this as the bible or be critical of what we didn't include. There's only so much space on this page not to mention not everything is necessary to include when capping games.

College Football Handicapping
by Staff

Before we get started into our college football handicapping tutorial/guide/tips we'd like to make a little disclaimer. There are OODLES of ways and variables to factor into handicapping a football game. Please don't take this as the bible or be critical of what we didn't include. There's only so much space on this page not to mention not everything is necessary to include when capping games.

Watch as many games as you can. While stats and trends can help in your handicapping, there is no better tool than actually watching the games on TV and picking up how teams play.


Try to focus on small college football games. These games are less paid attention to by the oddsmakers and if you dig enough, you can actually find our more information than the books do about the current week's matchup and create an overlay (where the odds are in your favor.)

Avoid big nationally televised games. The bookies spend more time on these games and the spreads are tighter. If you absolutely have to bet on these games, always consider the underdog first, because being nationally televised and all, "the book" knows that the general public loves to root for favorites and "overs," so they often times inflate these lines sucking the value out of the fav and the over.

Study how often both teams turn the ball over. Turnovers can play a huge roll in college football games. Since many college foots games are mismatches, if you get a really big and fast defense (the Florida teams) vs. a team with a weak offensive line and weak offense, the superior team can tend to create a lot of turnovers which will have a big influence on the outcome of the game. Look for teams that are good at forcing turnovers vs. teams that have a tendency to give the ball up often through interceptions and fumbles.

Home/Road advantage. Some teams play really well at home and others play horrible on the road. While this is often times already factored into the spread, sometimes matchups happen in which the home field advantage can be worth more than the books have given it credit for.

Using statistics to handicap. Things to look for are rushing yardage per game vs. rushing defense, passing offense vs. passing defense. Don't just look at each teams season numbers, look through box scores on a game by game basis. Often times numbers can be skewed by one shutout or blowout.

Check the weather report. Coaches gameplans change when inclement weather is present. Many teams tend to pass less and run more. This surely has a big impact on the spread and total both giving the dog and the under more value. Pay special attention to games with crappy weather where the spread/total haven't moved yet. Great value to be had here!

Check for injuries! What's worse than betting on a team and finding out their starting quarterback is out and some freshman is playing? YUCK! It happens too!

Join a college football handicapping forum. Thousands of sets of eyes are better than two. Not only can you coattail some great picks by winning amateur handicappers, but you will be able to share information with other's from around the world. Check out our college football handicapping forum, you'll be glad you did!

Find out who the public is one-siding and bet the other way. While this doesn't work for "just any" game, it is a great tool to help you get on or off a pick. Point spreads are based on public perception. If your looking at a game in which the public is hammering it to the tune of 70% or more, it's very likely that the bookies have pulled the wool over their eyes and the other team is going to cover. Bookies don't drive cadillacs for no reason!

We hope you have enjoyed our pointers on handicapping college football games. If you've got any questions, feel free to email us at Predictem (at)

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!

Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!


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Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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