Indiana Hoosiers ( 3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS) vs. Ohio State Buckeyes (4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS)
College Football Week 6
Date/Time: Saturday, October 8th, 3:30pm EST
Where: Ohio Stadium - Columbus, Ohio
by Bob, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: IND +29 / OSU -29
Over/Under Total: 61.5
This Saturday we have a Big Ten showdown with the 4-0 Ohio State Buckeyes and the 3-1 Indiana Hoosiers. Many do not think that this game is anything to watch, but I have a feeling it may be a tad more competitive than most think. Ohio State comes into 2016 wanting to return to the College Football Playoff after missing it in 2015. Indiana is looking to get that "big win" the program needs to move on into the right direction. This series between the Hoosiers and Buckeyes dates back to 1901 and it really has not been close...at all. Ohio State leads the all time series 71-12-5 and have won the last 20 games dating back to 1991. This has been pure domination by the Buckeyes. Can Indiana end this long streak?
The line to this games opens with Ohio State as a 29 point favorite over the Hoosiers. Not only that, the books also have the total points set at 61.5 total. That means they are thinking Ohio State gets a 50-14 type win..or something along those lines. Not only have the book set the tone, the public is following. 65% of the action is on Ohio State to not only be a perfect 5-0 overall but 5-0 against the spread.
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Although Ohio State is not the top ranked team in the nation, they have been very impressive. Very. Ohio State is ranked 3rd in the nation in points scored and 1st in scoring defense. When you score 57 a game then give up less than 10, yeah, that is impressive, and I dont care who you play. Yet, that is a knock on Ohio State. They have played Bowling Green, Tulsa, Oklahoma, and Rutgers. Of course, of those four games, Oklahoma is the only true legit opponent and the Sooners scored 24 in their 21 point loss. There is not much to say in this game. There isn't. Ohio State just needs to not overlook Indiana. If the Buckeyes play their game meaning play on both sides of the ball, this could be an easy day for them. If not, it will not be an easy cover.
Indiana is in a bad spot. On paper, they have no chance to win this game, none. But, you never know. We have seen some crazy things this college season already. And guess what, the last five times these teams played, the Hoosiers have covered all five. Sometimes it is more about matchups and rivalry than it is about the better team. Some teams get up for big games and then there are those teams that always seem to give the better team the trouble...this is one of those series. If Indiana plans to win....well...if Indiana plans to cover this spread, the need to get the offense going. Indiana is going to have to score...they must. With the 40th ranked defense in the nation, they are not that bad, but on the offensive side, they need to find a way to score. Ohio State has not played many great offenses, but that defense is really good. Indiana needs to control clock, DO NOT TURN THE BALL OVER, and play at least average defense and they may....may...have a shot to cover the 29.
Im gonna play the odds here. Indiana has covered the last five times these two teams played. Yes they have lost 20 straight but who cares? Think about it. If Ohio State wins 35-10....we win. Take Indiana. 29 points is a lot and when forced to pick, I will take the huge dog more times than not.
Bob's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: TAKE THE INDIANA HOOSIERS +29
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Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.
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2016/2017 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2017 National Championship game at Raymond James Stadium on January 9th.
2016 Heisman Trophy Predictions - DeShaun Watson is favored to win the award at +575 with Stanford RB Christian McCaffrey (+575) and LSU RB Leonard Fournette (+850) close behind. However, the real value may be with Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman at 40/1.
2016-2017 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the National Championship as a 4-horse race which includes Bama at +665, Clemson +725, LSU +900 and Ohio State +1075. Teams on teh bubble include Oklahoma at +1200, Michigan +1300 and FSU at +1350. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!
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Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - Clemson QB DeShaun Watson will have the ball in his hands a TON and he plays on a good team so he's the obvious favorite to win the award this year at +575. Leonard Fournette at 8.5/1 looks like he could play in the NFL right now. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. It's unlikely to happen as offensive players usually win this honor, but Michigan DB Jabrill Peppers (75-1) and Texas AM DT Myles Garret (110-1) could be in the running as well. It might be a good year to bet more than one prediction!
Odds to Win the 2016 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are favored to be repeat winners of the National Championship this year at +700 followed by Ohio St. at +750 and Clemson at +800. Things drop off a bit with the Michigan Wolverines, LSU Tigers and Oklahoma Sooners all coming in at +1200. Check out your favorite school's odds here!