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Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Odds - Pick ATS

Kent State Golden Flashes (1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS) vs. No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS)
College Football Week 4
Date/Time: Saturday, September 24th,, 12:00PM (EST)
Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium Tuscaloosa, A.L.
TV: SECN
by Jay, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: KENT +43/ALA -43
Over/Under Total: TBA

Last week Alabama was staring down the barrel of their 3rd straight regular season loss at the hands of Ole Miss. The Crimson Tide trailed 24-3 at one point during the 2nd quarter. Only this time, unlike the last two years, Alabama was able to put together a rally that was aided by defense and special teams in a 48-43 comeback victory. It was the type of game that would have caused most teams to fold but the Crimson Tide found a way to fight back and the performance solidified their no. 1 ranking. This week Alabama gets the opportunity to breathe as they host Kent State before embarking on a journey that will include 6 straight SEC games.

The Crimson Tide will be huge favorites this week over the 1-2 Golden Flashes. This is one of those games where the question is not if Alabama is going to win but simply by how much? How will they follow last week’s close win to Ole Miss? Is this a letdown situation or should last week’s 2nd half be an indicator of what we can expect against Kent State? I am sure those are the questions that some casual flyby fans are contemplating this week and surely they are some valid questions to ponder. However, this Alabama team has been pretty consistent in terms of effort and motivation so I am not looking at this from a psychological matchup.

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Instead, I would like to continue to dissect this no. 1 ranked Alabama team that is going for a 2nd straight National Championship. They have had a few flashes of struggles on both sides of the ball and I even picked the Rebels +10 to cover the spread last week against Alabama while I pointed out the Crimson Tide’s inconsistencies on offense. Luckily for Alabama, the defense came up with two touchdowns last week and another score on special teams to help the offense overcome a 24-3 deficit. While it was good to see the defense step up after a slow start, I still think there may be some lingering concerns on offense.

Quarterback Jalen Hurts found ways to hurt the Rebels defense last week but it was primarily with his legs. Hurts ran for 146 yards on 18 carries while he was 19 for 31 with 158 yards through the air. Meanwhile Damien Harris may have finally dethroned Bo Scarbrough as the Tide’s top running back. Harris was already outperforming Scarbrough and the latter was held to just 13 yards on 7 carries last week while Harris racked up 146 yards on 16 touches. Alabama’s rushing attack has always been at the forefront of Nick Saban’s offenses in Tuscaloosa so I imagine Harris will play a bigger key role going forward.

However, this offense still lacks the big play potential it has had in the last few years. Hurts has not proven that he can hit the big throws despite having an extremely talented target in Calvin Ridley and others in the receiving corps. This Alabama offense is becoming one dimensional and I am not sure if that is going to hold up over the entire season. Not that I think Kent State can stop them this week. The Golden Flashes do not have the size or strength to compete with Alabama in the trenches. Therefore, I expect Alabama to have a field day running the football.

The Golden Flashes offense does not have any really special talents that can go toe to toe with Alabama this week. Quarterback Mylik Mitchell is not very good and Kent State typically keeps the football on the ground. As stated before, that does not match up well considering Alabama’s strength upfront on both sides of the ball. Therefore, I expect Kent State to have a very tough time moving the football and I would be surprised if they score more than 10 points in this game. This 43 point spread is hard to predict but if Alabama gets a couple of turnovers like I would expect then it becomes hard to avoid the 43 point cover this week.

Jay's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Alabama -43

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NCAA Football Week 5 Betting Previews

Here are some additional game previews from this week's college football card.

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!

Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

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Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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