Kentucky Wildcats (1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS) vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS)
College Football Week 9
Date and Time: Thursday October 24th, 2013. 7:30PM Eastern
Where: Davis Wade Stadium Starkville, M.S.
by Jay, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: Ky +9.5/MSU -9.5
Over/Under Total: 57
Thursday night college football action returns to the SEC this week when the 1-5 Kentucky Wildcats roll into Starkville for a meeting with the Mississippi State Bulldogs. Interestingly neither opponent has captured a conference victory this year despite the fact the Bulldogs are currently treading the .500 mark at 3-3 SU on the season. In the Bulldogs previous two conference games, they lost a close game with Auburn and then went toe to toe with LSU before giving up 28 points in the 4th quarter in a 59-26 loss. Even though the Bulldogs are 0-2 in conference play they have been competitive in all outings and they will try to prove they are more than just a SEC bottom dweller under the lights in Stark Vegas.
Kentucky on the other hand may be the overwhelming favored candidate as being the weakest team in the SEC. The Wildcats have not held a lead in 16 consecutive quarters dating back to week 2 in their only win of the season over Miami (Ohio). Coach Mark Stoops has not found the winning formula in his first season as a head football coach. However Stoops cannot be blamed for the Wildcats' fiasco of a program. Stoops inherited a largely under talented team that won just 2 games a year ago. The biggest problem Stoops has faced is finding talent on the offensive side of the football. The Wildcats defense has been competitive but the offense has been horrible.
The Wildcats offense has averaged just 352 total yards per game which ranks 100th in the FBS. To make matters worse, the Wildcats have averaged just 20.3 points per game which is currently ranked 103rd in the FBS. Quarterback Jalen Whitlow was beginning to emerge as the clear starting quarterback of the offense before suffering a severely sprained ankle in Kentucky's last outing against Alabama. Even with a 'bye' last week, Whitlow is still questionable to return this Thursday against the Bulldogs. Whitlow is a dual threat quarterback that can really help the offense become more dangerous. Therefore if he is unable to go, it will certainly be another blow to an already struggling offense. QB Maxwell Smith started the season as the number 1 guy behind center but has not exactly excelled in the passing game. Smith has only thrown 1 pick this season but has also completed just 54% passing and averaged a measly 158 passing yards with each start. Additionally Smith does not maintain the dual threat capability of his counterpart which makes him a bit easier to defend. Therefore it will be really interesting to see how Whitlow's injury progresses throughout the week and to see which quarterback is behind center with the first snap on offense this Thursday night.
On the other side of the ball, Mississippi State's offense has been a bit inconsistent from a season standpoint. However, the Bulldogs have the talent to move the football effectively. Just look at the LSU game. Senior QB Tyler Russell has started behind center for Dan Mullen's Bulldogs the last few years but missed some time earlier this season with a concussion. In the interim sophomore QB Dak Prescott has emerged as a legitimate dual threat behind center. Prescott leads the Bulldogs in rushing with 457 yards on the ground and 8 touchdowns despite struggling a bit throwing the football. As a result, Mullen has turned to a two quarterback rotation with both Russell and Prescott. Kentucky's defense has struggled against mobile quarterbacks this season so it will be interesting to see if the Wildcats' defense has an answer for both quarterbacks in primetime this Thursday.
Jay's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: I really do not like a play on the side in this game as the Bulldogs look like the obvious pick laying the 9.5 points. However Kentucky's defense has played better than the numbers suggest. If that defense steps it up a notch this Thursday, Kentucky may find themselves in contention. I believe the under 57 is the best play in this game in what will be a rather ugly offensive performance by both teams.
Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!
Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.
Get tonight's college football winner
ABSOLUTELY FREE! Call Frank NOW to get the edge on your bookie!
Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.
Favorite of the Week Pick - Giving points means we start the game down. We're not a real big fan of betting college football favorites as it's similar to trading field goals for touchdowns but stick with us as we buck the odds each week, selecting the favored team with the best chance of covering the spread.
Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.
College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.
Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.
Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.
2015 College Football Predictions - Badger gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2016 National Championship game.
2015 Heisman Trophy Predictions - Trevone Boykin (TCU QB) is favored to win the award at 7.5-1 odds but Bob says this is a sucker bet! Dak Prescott should be a contender and ball carriers Ezekiel Elliott and Leonard Fournette look good as well!
2016 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football handicapper Bob gives his picks on who he thinks will win the 2016 National Championship. Despite not liking to side with heavy favorites, he believes the Alabama Crimson Tide (+950) are the team to beat.
MyBookie - Get a HUGE 50% bonus (up to $2000 FREE!) after making an initial deposit of $100 or more! Great at getting Visa cards to work for deposits.
Bovada - Boasts the highest credit card acceptance rate on the internet! HUGE menu of wagers for you to choose from! One of few online sportsbooks to offer Texas Hold'em! 50% bonus up to $250 in free cash!
5Dimes - 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Reduced juice betting odds! Buy up to 15 points! Most props on the web!
Bookmaker - Offers a HUGE 50% sign up bonus up to $300! Enjoy LIVE college football betting where you can jump into the action at any time during the game and place a bet! This gives you a huge advantage!
Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - Ezekiel Elliott starts the season as a 6/1 favorite to win the award. Those that have seen crafty LSU Soph. Leonard Fournette think he's a lock though. Trevone Boykin brings experience and plays on a high scoring team. Cardale Jones won the big game last year and is listed as 12-1. It might be a good year to bet more than one prediction!
Odds to Win the 2015 BCS Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are favored to be repeat winners of the National Championship this year at +500 followed by Oregon at +800, Ohio St. +850, LSU/Texas A&M +1200 and Florida/FSU both at +1400. Check out your school's odds here!
Heisman Trophy Winners - A full list of college football quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers who have made history on the field and won the prestigious award.
Fantasy College Football - Draft a fresh team every week! Leagues range from $2 to $420! You can play head to head or in big groups! Payouts take place approx. one hour after the final Saturday game.
The Spread - Who will cover the spread? They will! Offers scores, odds, free game predictions, current news and more!