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College Football Line Movement

Each week, we eyeball the opening line in comparison to the current odds and follow all the major college football line movement and decipher whether it's coming from public money or sharp action, syndicate betting and/or wiseguy plays.

In cases where we feel there is value, we'll recommend a play on the move and keep a record of how that does here. We'll be selective and "pick and choose our spots" and it's very likely that these plays will be a profitable proposition long term.

We'll watch the moves throughout the week but only post our takes on these moves on Friday afternoon so we can hold out as long as possible to get the most information possible.

While we would never recommend playing a game blindly by coattailing a line move, there is however great value to this information if you know how to harness it. We'll be making our best attempt to do just that. Who knows, maybe we snag into 62 or 63% with this play? :) Good luck to us! (Plays posted each week by Friday afternoon).

2017 Line Movement Plays ATS Record 8-12-0 -5.20 Units

Week 14: (12/1 through 12/2) The TCU Horned Frogs opened up as +7.5 underdogs to Oklahoma. The line has moved down to +7 despite only 34% backing Texas Christian. Georgia Southern opened as a pick vs. Appalachian St. and has moved up to -2 after news broke of App. State's QB being doubtful. Kilton Anderson will start. Anderson has a 43.5% completion percentage in 92 tosses this season! The South Bama/NMST total opened at 55. The number has dropped to 53 despite only 40% playing the UNDER. Miami/Clemson opened up with a total of 48. The number has since been bet down to 46 despie only 32% siding with the points to go UNDER the total.

Week 14 NCAAF Line Moves: TCU +7 (lost 17-41), Ga. Southern -2 (lost 17-28), South Bama/New Mex. St. UNDER 53.5 (won 17-22), Mia/Clem UNDER 46 (winner 3-38).

Week 13: (11/21 through 11/25) Passed.

Week 12: (11/14 through 11/18) The Rutgers/Indiana total opened up at 50.5 and has bet down to 48 despite only 42% betting on the UNDER. The Pitt/Va. Tech game total opened at 50.5 and has been bet down to 49 despite a meager 36% betting the under.

Week 12 College Football Line Move Plays: Rutgers/Indiana UNDER 48 (won 0-41) and Pitt/Va. Tech UNDER 49 (won 14-20).

Week 11: (11/7 through 11/11) The Oklahoma State /Iowa State total opened at 61.5. The line has bumped down to 61 despite only 31% betting on the under.

Week 11 College Football Line Move Plays: Oklahoma State/Iowa State UNDER 61 (lost 49-42)

Week 10: (10/31 through 11/4) No plays qualified this week.

Week 9: (10/24 through 10/31) The NC State Wolfpack opened as +8.5 underdogs to Notre Dame. The line has since dropped to +7 despite most betting ND.

Week 9 CFB line move plays: NC State +7 (lost 14-35).

Week 8: (10/18 through 10/21) The Colorado Buffs opened as +10 road dogs at Wash. St. The line has dropped to +9.5 despite only 38% backing Colorado. Southern Miss opened as +3.5 road dogs at Louisiana Tech. the line hss dropped to +3 despite only 32% backing S. Miss.

Week 8 College Football Line Move Plays: Colorado +9.5 (lost 0-28). Southern Miss +3 (won 17-10).

Week 7: (10/11 through 10/14) The USC Trojans opened as -12.5 home favorites vs. Utah. The line as since gone up to -13 despite only 36% backing the Trojans. The Kent St. Golden Flashes opened up as +10. home underdogs to Miami-Ohio. The line has since dropped to +9 despite only 32% backing them.

Week 7 College Football Line Move Plays: USC -13 (lost 28-27), Kent State +9 (won 17-14).

Week 6: (10/5 through 10/7) The SMU Mustangs opened up as +8.5 road dogs at Houston. The line has been bet down to +7 despite only 41% backing Southern Methodist.

Week 6 College Football Line Move Picks; SMU +7 (lost 22-35).

Week 5: (9/28 through 9/30) The Northern Illinois Huskies hit some books as high as a +13.5 road dog at San Diego State. That line has dropped to as low as -10 on some boards moving against the 61% of the public money on SD State.

Week 5 CFB Line Move Plays: Northern Illinois +11 (covered 28-34).

Week 4: (9/21 through 9/23) The Air Force Falcons opened up as +4.5 home underdogs to the San Diego State Aztecs. The line has since dropped down to +3 despite receiving only 39% of the action at the windows.

Week 4 CFB Line Move Plays: Air Force Falcons +3 (lost 24-28).

Week 3: (9/14 through 9/16) The Pitt Panthers opened up as +13.5 home underdogs to Oklahoma State. The line has since dropped to +13 despite a meager 28% betting on Pitt. The Middle Tennesee State/Minnesota total opened up at 55.5 and has since been bet down to 51.5 despite only 43% betting the under.

Week 3 College Football Line Move Plays: Pitt Panthers +13 (lost 21-59), Middle Tenn. St./Minnesota UNDER 51.5 (won 34-3).

Week 2: (9/7 through 9/9) The Penn St. Nittany Lions opened up as 17 point home favs vs. the Pitt Panthers. The line has moved 4 points up to -21 despite only 50% betting on PSU. Northwestern opened at a pick'em on the road at Duke. The line has swayed 2 points making NW the favorite despite only 50% betting on the Wildcats. Washington State opened up as -7.5 home favs vs. Boise St. The line has gone up to -10. WSU is much improved and BSU has taken a step backwards. This game could potentially be a blowout.

Week 2 College Football Line Move Plays: Penn St -21 (lost 33-14), Northwestern -2 (lost 17-41), Washington St. -10 (lost 47-44).

Week 1: (8/26) No plays qualified this week.

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!

Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!


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Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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