Each week, we eyeball the opening line in comparison to the current odds and follow all the major college football line movement and decipher whether it's coming from public money or sharp action, syndicate betting and/or wiseguy plays.
In cases where we feel there is value, we'll recommend a play on the move and keep a record of how that does here. We'll be selective and "pick and choose our spots" and it's very likely that these plays will be a profitable proposition long term.
We'll watch the moves throughout the week but only post our takes on these moves on Friday afternoon so we can hold out as long as possible to get the most information possible.
While we would never recommend playing a game blindly by coattailing a line move, there is however great value to this information if you know how to harness it. We'll be making our best attempt to do just that. Who knows, maybe we snag into 62 or 63% with this play? :) Good luck to us! (Plays posted each week by Friday afternoon).
Week 11: (11/10/09 through 11/15/09) Clemson vs. NC St, Auburn/Georgia TOTAL, Nebraska/Kansas TOTAL.
Our Week 11 NCAA Picks: Clemson opened as a minus 6 point fav. at NC State and it quickly bumped up to -8. Both sharps and the public agree that Clemson wins big here. We agree. We'd take this line all the way up to -10. Auburn and Georgia opened with a total of 57.5 and it's been bet down to 54.5. Our numbers show that this game should go into the 60's so we're fading the line move AND the general public who are hitting the under to the tune of 57%. Next we've got the Neb/Kansas Total which opened at 42. It's since moved to 43 but it's mostly public money forcing the line move so the book is gladly taking an extra point while they can get away with it. Meanwhile, we expect a very low scoring game to go UNDER 40 points.
PREVIOUS WEEK'S PICKS AND RESULTS:
Week 10: (11/3/09 through 11/8/09) We've got an interesting Saturday ahead of us as we're actually going against three line moves and going with 3 more. Let's start with the plays that are going against the grain. Ohio State opened up at +3.5 at Penn State and the line has gone UP to +5.5. Next we like Oregon who opened at -5 and has since boosted to -7. Letdown? We don't think so. Lastly, Navy opened up as 11 point dogs to Notre Dame and it's since moved up to 12.5. We like the Midshipmen to "keep it close" and cover.
Now let's take a look at 3 more games that we liked that the wiseguys are digging on as well. The Ohio St/Penn St TOTAL opened at 40. It's gone down to 39 despite the public hitting the over. Our numbers show that the game should have 33 points scored so we'll gladly take the extra six points the bookmaker is giving us. Houston opened up a -2.5 fav at Tulsa. It's since been bet down to 1. we like Tulsa to win this game straight up. Lastly, Army opened up at +17 at Air Force and has moved down to +16.5. 17 is a key number (common final score margin) in college football (believe it or not) so this half point move might not seem significant but it is. We like Army to cover.
Our Week 10 NCAA Picks: Ohio State +5.5 (win), Oregon -7 (loss), Tulsa +1.5 (win), Navy +12.5 (win), Army +16.5 (loss), Ohio State/Penn State UNDER 39 (win).
Week 9: (10/27/09 through 10/31/09) Arky State opened at +4 at Louisville. The line has bet down to +3 depsite the public hammering Louisville. Kent opended up as a +1 dog and is now the fav at -2.5. Kentucky opened at -3 and the line is currently off the 3 moving to -3.5. We expect the Wildcats to win by a TD or more here. Kansas opened at +7.5 at Texas Tech. The line has dropped a point to +6.5 which doesnt surprise us as Kansas may very well win this game straight up. USC opened up at -4 over Oregon at Autzen Stadium. The line has dropped to 3 and we believe Oregon will win this game straight up. Ole Miss opened up at -4 and the line has moved to -5. We're fading this move here as we doubt Auburn loses it's fourth straight game.
Our Week 9 NCAA Picks: Arkansas State +3 (loss), Kent -2.5 (win), Kentucky -3.5 (loss), Oregon +3 (win), Auburn +5 (win).
Week 8: (10/21/09 through 10/24/09) We're coming off another crappy week with these plays going 1-2. We've got some work cut out for us if we're going to make these plays profitable by season's end! Let's get to the numbers! Clemson opened up as a +7 dog at Miami and has been bet down to +4.5. Wake Forest opened as a +2.5 dog at Navy and are now a -2 fav as Navy's QB has been ruled OUT for this week's game. Dobbs IS the Navy team. The line move is justified. New Mexico opened at +4 at home vs. UNLV. The line has been bet down to Lobos +1 and our power ratings show that they should be -3 so some decent value here. Mississippi opened up at -5 at home vs. Arkansas. The Razorbacks defense is weak and Rebels QB Jevan Snead should have his way with them. The line has moved to -6.5 despite the public hammering on the Razorbacks.
In a game that should be labeled the Super "Bowel", winless Ball State opened as 4 point vs. Eastern MIchigan. Eastern Michigan is now +2.5 and should win the game straight up. San Diego opened up at a hefty +9.5 at CSU. It's currently down to +7. This game could easily go either way so we like getting the TD. In the "tiny move of the week" Rice opened at +10.5 and have dropped a half point to +10. Don't be surprised if Rice pulls off an upset with an outright win. Michigan State opened at +2.5 at home vs. Iowa and have been hit hard causing the line to move to MSU now being the favorite at -1.5. Only 37% of the general public are on Sparty so this is surely do to wiseguy/sharp action. In a move that doesn't look all that important (but is), SMU opened at +17 vs. Houston. The line has since dropped to +16. For those of you not aware, 17 is a key number in college football (common margin). SMU is NOT good, but Houston's defense is similar to a wet paper bag so we're happy to take the points here. We round out this week's action with 2 totals: Florida Intl/Ark. St. opened at 56.5. The whole world things this game is going to go under yet the line has risen 2 points to 58.5. We believe there's value in the line all the way up to 66. Texas/Missouri opened at 50.5, the general public is hitting the over to the tune of 71% yet the line has dropped a full point. Under is the play here.
Our Week 8 NCAA Picks: Clemson +4.5 (win), Wake Forest -2 (loss), New Mexico +1 (loss), Mississippi -6.5 (win), Eastern Michigan +2.5 (win), San Diego State +7 (win), Rice +10 (loss), Michigan State -1.5 (loss), SMU +16 (loss), Florida Intl/Ark. State OVER 58.5 (loss), Texas/Missouri UNDER 49.5 (win).
Week 7: (10/13/09 through 10/17/09) There were a ton of games that had line moves this week. Unfortunately we weren't able to make a case for many of them. We do however have three for ya this week. Boston College opened at -3. Sharps are all over NC State and the line is now currently NC State +2.5. While the move was small, the fact that it was knocked off the key number is BIG. The second game we like is Baylor at Iowa State. State opened up at -2.5 and it's now down to -1. I expect it to be a pickem by kickoff. Look for Baylor to win straight up here. Lastly, the Missouri/Okie State total opened up at 57. Despite the public hammering the over, it has dropped to 55. We like the under here.
Our Week 7 NCAA Picks: NC State +2.5 (loss), Baylor +1 (loss), Missouri/Oklahoma St. UNDER 55 (win).
Week 6: (10/5/09 through 10/10/09) Purdue opened at -4 AT Minnesota. The line has been bet down to 3 despite heavy one-sided public action on Minny. Kentucky opened at +11.5 at South Carolina and it's down to 10, even 9.5 at some books. Public is all over South Carolina. Should be low scoring game with Wildcats sticking within the spread. In one of the more interesting moves this week, the Houston Cougars opened up as -3 favs AT Miss. State. line has has moved 5.5 points and now Miss. St. is favored by -2.5. Georgia/Tennesse opened up at a pick'em and the Vols are now -1.5 despite the public siding with Georgia. Lastly, Bowling Green opened at -6.5 and is now down to -1.5 vs. Kent State. See our picks below.
Our Week 6 NCAA Picks: Purdue +3 (loss), Kentucky +10 (win), Miss St. -2.5 (loss), Tennessee -1.5 (win), Kent State +1.5 (win).
Week 5: (9/30/09 through 10/3/09) Pretty active week for line moves! There's a handful worth a look. Here goes...South Florida goes to Syracuse after knocking off FSU at FSU. This may one of the fishiest lines we've ever seen in college football. The line has actually dropped a half point despite the public hammering the Bulls. This is obviously sharp money creating the move. We studied the chit out of this game and can't figure out 1. why the line opened so low and 2. why it still moved to Syracuse. Every so often a situation like this arises and the ugly team covers at a pretty good clip. Im embarassed to say we're riding Syracuse blindly at +6.5 based on none other than this line and movement being very suspricious.
Next up, ECU opened as a -3 point favorite vs. Marshall. ECU is unquestionablly the better team here but oddly enough, they don't seem to perform as well when favored. The line has dropped a full point to 2 despite the public hammering ECU to the tune of 63%. Look for Marshall to win this game straight up. Next, Toledo opened up at Ball State as a touchdown favorite. The line has gone down to +5 despite the public one-siding the Rockets. Here's another one where we expect the home dog to cover and possibly win straight up. Next we've got Georgia Tech vs. Miss. St. Ga. Tech opened up at -4.5 and moved to -5.5. We like MSU's defense and coach Mullen as well. Ga. Tech COULD be a great team, but they look one dimensional at times and this is no secret to coach Mullen. Expect him to jam the box and force the Yellow Jackets to throw which could spell trouble because we're not confident in their QB to make good decisions.
People are starting to jump on the Michigan bandwagon again as the seem to have come back from the dead. They opened as -2 favs at rival Michigan State and the line has moved a huge 5.5 points all the way to favoring MSU by -3.5! All the while the Wolverines are getting pounded by the public to the tune of 64%. This play has been identified as one being used by betting syndicates which never hurts to be on the same side as they are.
When the hell are the oddsmakers going to start respecting the Idaho Vandals? Never we hope, they've been a cash machine this season and for good reason; they're much improved and they generally play teams that aren't real strong. CSU opened at -4, the line has been bet down to 3.5 and yet the public is still not noticing the Vandals who are lining sharp bettors with some good coin early on. Next, the Auburn/Tennessee total opened up at 49.5. The public loves the under yet the line is going up? Sharp action! Look for this game to fall around 60+ points and be one of the more solid plays of the week. Good luck this week!
Our Week 5 Picks: Syracuse +6.5 (loss), Marshall +2 (loss), Ball State +5 (loss), Mississippi State +5.5 (loss), Michigan State -3.5 (win), Idaho +3.5 (win), Auburn/Tennessee OVER 51.5 (loss)
Week 4: (9/24/09 through 9/26/09) Keeping analysis short this week as we're running seriously behind and don't have NFL stuff up yet! Rutgers opened at -3, has been bet down to Maryland +1. We like the Terrapins to win straight up. Ohio opened up as a +20.5 dog, line has moved up to 23.5. We're going against the grain here taking Ohio +23.5. In what may be the best play of the week, LSU opened at -14 at Miss. State. Line has been bet down to Miss. St. +12. We love the Bulldogs here. The Texas A&M/UAB total opened up at 62. Public is hammering under yet line has gone up to 64.5. We still like the over even after the move as we anticipate 75+ points scored here.
UNLV opened as a -5.5 fav on the road at Wyoming. The line has moved 2 points DOWN to Wyoming +3.5 as UNLV's QB Clayton and WR Payne supposedly have flu symptoms. It just so happens those are 2 of the teams best players. We'll take a flyer on Wyoming here. Notre Dame opened up laying 8 on the road at Purdue. The game was quickly bet down to Purdue +6.5. ND appears to be inconsistent. Laying pts on the road vs. a team with an above average RB and a tough gritty QB gives us pretty good value here. We don't generally recommend buying points as it usually just ends up being a waste but you might want to consider buying a 1/2 point here.
Our Week 4 Picks: Maryland +1 (loss), Ohio +23.5 (win), Miss. State +12 (win), Texas AM/UAB OVER 64.5 (win), Wyoming +3.5 (win), Purdue +6.5 (win).
Week 3: (9/17/09 through 9/19/09) We couldnt have had a worse start to the 2009 college football season if we threw darts to pick our games. No exuses here though, getting back on the horse as the tide is due to turn soon. A ton of line movement on this week's card, but only a small amount of it that interests us. Purude opened as a -12.5 point favorite vs. a gritty NIU team. While the line has only dropped a half point to 12, this is one of a few wiseguy plays for the week. The second move we're fallowing is the AZ/Iowa game which opened with Iowa at -6 and has dropped to 4. We love Arizona in this game as they've gotten better and Iowa has seemingly worse than expected. The public is all over the Hawkeyes as well, which is always a good sign for the other side.
The third game we like is USC/Washington where the Trojans opened at 21 and it dropped quickly to 19 as many sharps took advantage of a great line. We still like it at +19. Steve Sarkisian has this Husky team believing they can cover, errrr, win. Game 4 is SD State/Idaho which was a small move but significant one. The Aztecs opened at -3.5 and it quickly got driven down to 3 despite only 33% of the betting public being on the Vandals. We like them to win outright as a 3 point dog. Game 5 is Georgia vs. Arkansas. The game opened at with the Bulldogs being a 1 point favorite at some places, a pickem at others. The public is in the love with Georgia yet there's been a 2.5 move towards Arkansas as the Razorbacks are now the favorites. Grab Arky before they move to -3. Lastly, Cinci visits Oregon and opened as a +1.5 dog. The books love the Bearcats, the public loves the Bearcats, everybody loves the Bearcats but us. OSU has an NFL calibur RB in Jacquizz Rodgers that should gain some huge yardage Saturday. Remember that name, because it will have a 150 or 180 next to it for yardage in the box score. We're fading the wiseguys/public both and taking the Beavers to cover as a +1.5 dog. Hold off until gametime and you may even get a better number.
Our Week 3 Picks: Northern Illinois +12 (win), Arizona +4 (loss), Washington +19 (win), Idaho +3 (win), Arkansas -2.5 (loss), Oregon State +1.5 (loss)
Week 2: (9/9/09 through 9/12/09) We stunk last week going 0-2. There's a few games in particular this week that had moves that we're interested in. Air Force opened as a +5 underdog at Minnesota. The line has been bet down to 3. Air Force has a legit shot of winning this game straight up. In face, we believe it's likely. Arkansas State opened as +23.5 against the Nebraska Cornhuskers. The world is betting on Nebraska yet the line has dropped 2.5 points to +21. Arkansas State is likely to get beat up in this matchup but we feel they have enough offense to stay within the 3 scores. Another game that featured a line move is Southern Cal vs. Ohio State. USC opened as 6 point favs and it's since moved to 7. Too much team speed for Ohio State to deal with here. USC wins by 7 or more.
This page was built to report "sizable" line movement but we're going to sneak a stinker in here. Pittsburgh plays at Buffalo and opened up laying -11 points. The line has only been bet down a half a point to 10.5, but Buffalo is receiving sharp action while a ton of squares are betting the Panthers. Look for this to be the "fishy game of the day" with Buffalo getting an un-understandable cover. Purdue and their crappy defense travel to Eugene, Oregon to play a Ducks team that will be out for blood. The line opened at -9.5 and has since gone all the way up to 13. Purdue's D won't be able to stop "the Quack Attack". Grab a share of Oregon before it hits 14. Stanford travels east to play Wake Forest. The game opened with Wake as a -2 fav and has been bet up to -3. We like the Demon Deacons here as it's tough for a west coast team to come all the way back east and be physically prepared to play a game this early in the morning. Gametime is 9am "their time" and when you factor in breakfast/prep time/pregame stretches etc it all amounts to these guys rolling out of bed at 4 or 5 a.m. Anybody remember Cal at Maryland last year? 'Nuff Said! There were other games with moves that we either couldn't identify or didn't like. Don't touch the ND/Mich game. Anything can happen in that game!
Our Week 2 Picks: Air Force +3 (loss), Arkansas State +21 (loss), USC -7 (loss), Buffalo +10.5 (loss), Oregon -13 (loss), Wake Forest -3 (win).
Week 1: (9/03/09 through 9/7/9) Surprisingly, there weren't many "big" line moves pre-week 1. The biggest move was in the Buffalo vs. UTEP line where it opened at UTEP -5.5 and is currently sitting at UTEP -9.5 at time of print. We don't really study either of those teams so we're going to steer clear of that game. Another interesting line move was in the LSU/Washington game where the line opened at LSU -16 and it got bet up to -18 which crosses the number "17" which is a key number in college football. Our initial feeling was that LSU will win in a romp but 18 is three scores and Washington is a lot healthier than they were last season, so we want to assess them before taking any risks like betting against them not knowing how they'll look.
Ok, now for the good news. We did find a couple sharp plays involving totals. The UNDER in the UL Monroe/Texas game opened at 62.5. It's been bet down to 61 and it ain't the public money causing the move as the squares are pounding the over to the tune of 62%. We're getting on that Under 61. Another total we like is the UNDER 47 in the Middle Tennessee St./Clemson game. It opened at 48.5 and has been bet down to 47 and may drop more. Again, this isn't public money causing the line move. Get that UNDER before it drops again. Good luck!
Our Week 1 Picks: UL Monroe/Texas UNDER 61 (loss) and Middle Tennessee State/Clemson UNDER 47 (loss).
Week 15: (12/06/08) TBA
Our Picks: TBA.
Week 14: (11/29/08) Not much movement with any value today. We just like one: Kentucky vs. Tennessee. Tennessee opened as a -5 fav. and the line has been bet down to +4. Don't be surprised to see a "3" by gametime.
Our Picks: Kentucky +4 (loss).
Week 13: (11/22/08) The Missippi/LSU game opened up with LSU as a -5.5 fav. The line has been bet down to -3.5 and it wasn't the public that was responsible for it. Wake opened as a -2 point fav. but the line has now moved 4.5 points and Boston College is a -2.5 fav.
Our Picks: Mississippi +3.5 (winner), Boston College -2.5 (winner).
Week 12: (11/15/08) The SMU/UTEP total has dropped 8 points but there is no value there anymore. Oregon opened up as a -3.5 favorite and the line has moved to -6. The Ducks haven't exactly displayed the "Quack Attack" their possible of unleashing on visiting teams at Autzen, but they should get back on track vs. the Wildcats.
Our Picks: Oregon Ducks -6 (winner).
Week 11: (11/8/08) Passed!
Our Picks: Passed!
Week 10: (11/1/08) Texas vs. Texas Tech opened at Texas -5. The line has dropped a point and a half and is likely to drop more as many sharps are on the Red Raiders to beat the Horns today!
Our Picks: Texas Tech +3.5 (Winner)
Week 9: (10/25/08) Wake opened up as a +3 point favorite at Miami. The number has moved off the "3" to +2.5. Cinci opened as a +1.5 dog at UConn, Uconn QB unlikely to suit up, line has moved to Cinci as the favorite -2.5. Numerous injuries to Kentucky team moves line from Florida -23 to Gators -25.5. Fresno State opens up as a -17.5 favorite at Utah State. Wiseguy action is responsible for a 3 point move down to +14.5. Kent vs. Miami Ohio, smelly line move of the week. Opened with Miami-Ohio as -8 fav, bumped down to +5 and still may move. GA opens as a +2.5 dog at LSU, sharps jumping all over Georgia with line currently at +1 and probably will be a pick by gametime Saturday. New Mexico State opened as an unwarranted -15 point fav. at Idaho. Spuds line on the move down to 13. Syndicate action reported. South Florida opens at -5 at Louisville. Number bet down to 3.5 and may settle on the 3 by kickoff. BIG game of the day, high flying Texas Tech visits Kansas as a -1 favorite. Wrong team favored. Line has moved to Kansas as the fav. -1 and may move more by gametime. USC/Arizona total opened at 55. Squares are one siding the over while total has gone opposite direction 2 points.
Our Picks: Wake Forest +2.5 (loss), Cinci -2.5 (loss), Florida -25.5 (win), Utah State +14.5 (win), Kent +5 (win), Georgia +1 (win), Idaho +15 (win), Kansas -1 (loss), Louisville +3.5 (win), USC/Arizona UNDER 53 (win).
Week 8: (10/18/08) There was a ton of line movement, but we don't follow it or play it unless we can identify it. We'll start with W. Michigan/C. Michigan. This game opened with C. Michigan as a -3.5 favorite and has moved 5.5 with W. Michigan now being favored. Southern Miss. visits Rice and opened at +3 and are now down to +1.5. Missouri visits Texas in what should be a shootout. The horns opened at -6.5 and the line has been bet down to -4. Arkansas who have come out of nowhere opened at +11 at Kentucky. The line is now down to +7. UNC visits Virginia in which the line has moved from Virginia +5 down to +4. Sharp action is creating this move. Not a huge line move, but one to surely note, is LSU at South Carolina. The Gamecocks have moved the line off the "almighty 3" and are now getting +2.5, a bet which is likely to cash. Air Force visits UNLV in which the Rebs are getting +4. Wrong team favored. UNLV wins straight up. Stanford visits UCLA in what started as the Cardinal as a -2.5 dog, their not a -2.5 favorite, yes, a 5 point move and it's likely to hit 3 soon so getcha some on the Cardinals! Lastly, in the "fishy spread of the week", Miami Florida opened at -5.5 at Duke. This line has been hammered all the way down to -3 and it ain't no squares responsible for that. Look for Duke to upset the Canes with a straight up W!
Our Picks: Western Michigan -2 (loss), Southern Miss +1.5 (loss), Missouri +4 (loss), Arkansas +7 (win), Virginia +4 (win), South Carolina +2.5 (loss), UNLV +4 (win), Stanford -2.5 (loss), Duke +3 (loss).
Week 7: (10/11/08) Passing.
Our Picks: Passing.
Week 6: (10/4/08) Lots of moves this week that we like. Iowa/Mich. State opened with MSU as an 8 point fav. It's since dropped to -6.5. We like Iowa to cover a close low scoring game there. Red hot Penn. State visits Purdue in which the line has gone up from -11.5 to -13.5. We're going to fade that one as we think Purdue can hang in there at home. Stanford still gets no respect as they opened as a +7.5 dog at N.D. Their much improved and we like them to cover the current line of +6.5.
In what is probably the BIGGEST game of the day, the Buckeyes visit Wiscy. OSU opened as a -2.5 fav and it has dropped to -1. We like Wiscy to defend the home field. Lastly, Florida International visits a horrible North Texas team in which the line opened with Fla. Atl. as a touchdown fav. It's down to +6.5 and we like N. Texas to cover at home.
Our Picks: Purdue +13.5 (loss), Iowa +6.5 (win), Stanford +6.5 (loss), Wiscy +1 (loss) and North Texas +6.5 (loss).
Week 5: (9/26/08) We don't really like much this week. Syracuse opened as a +15.5 dog and was quickly bet down to +14 and the public was one siding the favorite (pitt) so this surely denotes sharp action causing the line move. Washington opened as a -4.5 home fav. vs. the Stanford Cardinal and the sharps have driven this line down to -3. We'll take a shot at the Cardinal here who are a slightly better team than the Huskies and getting the points. As much as we hate to side with the public, we do agree that Georgia -7.5 was too much of an opening line. Bama is now getting +6.5 which we feel very strongly about.
Our Picks: Syracuse +14 (win), Stanford +3 (win), Bama +6.5 (win).
Week 4: (9/19/08) Week 4 of the NCAA football season sports a few games with "smallish" line moves that peaked our interest. Miami-Ohio/Cinci opened at -12.5 and dropped to 11.5. Marshal plays at S.Miss where the Golden Eagles opened at -9.5 and the number was quickly bet down to -7.5. Virginia Tech and Beemer ball takes it's show on the road to UNC where the Tar Heels opened up at -1.5 and have been bet up to -3.5 by both sharps and the pubic. Who can argue with the move? UNC has looked lights out lately and V. Tech hasn't really shown much so far and we don't expect them to do so on the road.
Lastly, despite UNLV's strong showing last week in which they upset Arizona State in OT as a huge 23.5 point dog, they opened at -4 vs. a sub par Iowa State team and the sharps are nailing it and have brought it down to -2.
Our Picks: Miami-Ohio +11.5 (loss), Marshall +7.5 (win), UNC -3.5 (loss), Iowa State +2 (loss).
Week 3: Passed.
Week 2: PASSED
Week 2: (9/4/08 through 9/6/08) Not many plays fell under this category this week. The total in the SJ State/Nebraska game opened at 59 which we felt was too high, the public is hitting the over yet the line has dropped a point and a half. There's still value there on the UNDER. Tulane visits Alabama and opened as a 28 point dog. It's up to 30 now. How is Tulane gonna score? We see Bama winning at around a 50-7 final score. Lay the wood!
Our Picks: SJ State/Nebraska UNDER 57.5 (Winner) and Alabama -30 (loss).
Week 1: (8/30/08) The Utah/Michigan game opened up with the Wolverines as a -4 home favorite. The line has since dropped a point to the key number of 3. The public is one siding Michigan so this was surely sharp money that moved the line down to 3. Mississippi State was originally a -9.5 favorite vs. home team Louisiana Tech and was quickly bet down to -7.5. The public is one siding Miss. St. to the tune of 65% yet the line is moving the other way 2 points and maybe more by gametime. Grab it while it's still more than a touchdown.
The total in the Hawaii/Florida game opened at 72 and has moved down to 67.5. I'm not sure how Hawaii is going to score in this game and I don't foresee the Gators putting up more than 50 so I feel safe with the UNDER 67.5 here. Virginia Tech strolls into East Carolina vs. a much improvied E. Carolina team. The public still loves the beloved Hokies though yet the line has moved towards E. Carolina. Look for E. Carolina to cover in a low scoring game. UL Lafayette travels into S. Miss's backyard vs. an overrated S. Miss team. The public is one siding (betting a ton) on the Golden Eagles and the line has moved the opposite way down to -10.5. Grab those points! (+10.5)
Our Picks: Utah +3 (Winner), Louisiana Tech +7.5 (Winner), Hawaii/Florida UNDER 67.5 (Winner), E Carolina +9.5 (Winner), UL Lafayette +10.5 (loss).
Week 1: (8/28/08) The Oregon State/Stanford game opened up with the with the visiting Beavs as a -3.5 road favorite, the public hammered the Beavers and despite that fact, the line STILL dropped to -2.5. A lot is being made of the Beavers "team speed" with no credit being given to what is not a good, but improved Cardinal team. Expect the Cardinals to give a usually slow starting OSU road team all they can handle and to win the game straight up.
Our Picks: Stanford +2.5 (Winner).
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Odds to Win the 2010 BCS Championship - Florida heads up the list at 2-1 followed closely by the Oklahoma Sooners, Texas Longhorns and Ohio State Buckeyes.
Heisman Trophy Winners - A full list of college football quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers who have made history on the field and won the prestigious award.
The Spread College Football - Offers scores, odds, free game predictions, current news and more!
