College Football Line Movement

Each week, we eyeball the opening line in comparison to the current odds and follow all the major college football line movement and decipher whether it's coming from public money or sharp action, syndicate betting and/or wiseguy plays.

In cases where we feel there is value, we'll recommend a play on the move and keep a record of how that does here. We'll be selective and "pick and choose our spots" and it's very likely that these plays will be a profitable proposition long term.

We'll watch the moves throughout the week but only post our takes on these moves on Friday afternoon so we can hold out as long as possible to get the most information possible.

While we would never recommend playing a game blindly by coattailing a line move, there is however great value to this information if you know how to harness it. We'll be making our best attempt to do just that. Who knows, maybe we snag into 62 or 63% with this play? :) Good luck to us! (Plays posted each week by Friday afternoon).

2011 Line Movement Plays ATS Record 29-26 +0.40 Units

Bowl Games: Bama opened up as a +1 underdog. The line has moved three and a half points in favor of Bama making them a 2.5 favorite. All this despite the public hammering LSU.

Bowl Game Line Move Plays: Alambam Crimson Tide -2.5.

Week 14: (12/1 through 12/4) We only like one game involving a line move and we're fading it. Idaho/Nevada opened up at 55. and has gone up to 56.5. We believe Idaho is going to have problems moving the ball and think that this game lands in the high forties.

Week 14 Line Move Prediction: Idaho/Nevada UNDER 56.5 (loss).

Week 13: (11/22 through 11/26) The Syracuse Orange(men to some of us older fellas) opened at +3 and have been knocked down to +2 despite the public hitting Cinci to the tune of almost 60%. This Orange team is a different squad at home. Look for them to open up a can on a "Collaros-less" Bearcat team. Marshall opened up as +2.5 home underdogs and have made a msssive 5 point move to become 2.5 favorites despite only recieving approx. 40% of the action.

Week 13 Line Move Predictions: Syracuse +2 (loss), Marshall -2.5 (win).

Week 12: (11/15 through 11/19) The Navy/San Jose. St. total opened at 58 and has steamed up 3 points to 61 despite the public hammering the under. Pourus defense should give us the over here. Minnesota opened at +16.5 underdogs and have been bet down to +15.5 despite only 37% of the action coming in on them. NC State opened at +8.5 and have been bet down to +7.5 despite only a meager 27% on the Wolf Pack. Oregon St. opened at +3.5 and have been bet down to +2 despite only 30% of the action coming in on the Beavers. South Florida opened up as +1.5 dogs at home vs. the Canes and have been bet down to a pickem and theres word that it they may even become favorites by kickoff.

Week 12 Line Move Plays: Navy/San Jose State OVER 61 (loss), Minnesota +15.5 (win), North Carolina State +7.5 (win), Oregon State +2 (win), South Florida pickem (loss).

Week 11: (11/8 through 11/12) We like quite a few games this week! New Mexico St. opened at home as 8.5 dogs and have been knocked down to +7 despite only seeing about 1/3 of the action at the books. Purdue opened as 8.5 dogs and have been bet down to 7.5 and it could go lower. They're getting no respect at the windows either. The Illinois Fighting Illini opened as +1 dogs at home vs. Mich. and have now become the fav in the matchup while seeing only 36% of the vote. In one of our more favorite bets of the weekend, the Colorado Buffaloes opened as +11 dogs at home vs. Arizona. The line has bumped down to +10. The CU Buffs are as healthy as they've been all season and we expect this game to be much closer than expected. In a smaller line move, Texas AM opened up as -4.5 favorites on the road at K. State. The line has gone up to -5 yet almost nobody is betting on the Aggies. In the bizarro move of the week, Louisiana Tech opened up as +2 dogs AT Ole Miss and are now -2 favs despite only seeing 38% of the action.

Week 11 Line Move Plays: New Mexico St. +7 (win), Purdue +7.5 (win), Illinois -1 (loss), Colorado Buffaloes +10 (win), Texas AM -5 (loss), Louisiana Tech -2 (win).

Week 10: (11/2 through 11/5) SMU opened as -23 favorites at home vs. Tulane and the line steamed to -26.5 courtesy of both the sharps/squares. We like this game all the way up to -28. Iowa opened as +4.5 dogs at home vs. Mich and the line has moved down to +4, despite Michigan getting most of the action at the sportsbooks. This is ALWAYS a hard fought game and we're expecting a final score margin of 3 points or less. NC State opened up as +5 dogs at home to NC and the line has gone down to +4 despite hardly anybody betting on NC St. This is another rivalry game in which anything can happen. Yes, NC is the better team, but weird things happen in rivalry games. UL Monroe opened up as 6 point dogs at UL Lafeyette and the line sank to +4.5 despite almost nobody betting on UL Monroe. The line has settled at +5. We think UL Monroe has a shot of winning this game straight up.

Week 10 Line Move Plays: SMU -26.6 (loss), Iowa +4 (win), NC State +4 (win), UL Monroe +5 (win).

Week 9: (10/25 through 10/29) Don't be let down by our crappy record. The public teams have been kicking butt this season. That won't last forever. It WILL turn around as it always does. We like a handful of line move games this week starting with Vandy getting +9.5 at home. The line opened at 10.5 and has come down a full point despite Vandy only receiving 25% of the action. I actually like them to win this game straight up. A lunch money underdog moneyline play is in order here. Next we like Tennessee getting +3.5 at home vs. South Carolina. The game opeend at 5 and has come down to 3.5 despite only receiving 41% of the bets. Next we like UCLA at home vs. Cal. The (sucker) line opened at +6.5 and has come down to 5 despite the Bruins getting only 33% of the action at the windows. Next we like Kent St. at home getting +3.5 vs. Bowling Green. This line has dropped 2 points despite almost nobody beetting on Kent St. Lastly, we like Georgia Tech at home at +3.5 vs. Clemson. The line opened at 4.5 and has come down a point despite G.T. only getting a meager 28% of the bets.

Week 9 Line Move Plays: Vanderbilt +9.5 (win), Tennessee +3.5 (loss), UCLA +3.5 (win), Kent St. +3.5 (win), Georgia Tech +3.5 (win).

Week 8: (10/18 through 10/22) As usual, we like quite a few games involving line moves this week. For starters, Kansas opened up at +12 and have been bet down to +11 despite nobody betting on them (about a quarter of the action coming in on the Jayhawks). In a larger move, Eastern Michigan opened at +14 and have been bet down to +12. This should be a close game. Next we like Colorado getting +31 at home vs. Oregon. The game opened with the Ducks favored by -32.5 and has dropped a point and a half. The Buffs are horrible but we're expecting them to stay within 4 TD's. Oregon has some injury issues as well. We believe this play has a 67% chance of covering. Lastly, we like Utah who opened at the sucker line of +2.5 (Cal -2.5) and have been knocked down to +1. We expect the Utes to win this game straight up.

Week 8 NCAAF Line Move Plays: Kansas +11 (loss), Eastern Michigan +12 (win), Colorado +31 (loss), Utah +1 (loss).

Week 7 Line Move Picks: (10/13 through 10/15) We like 5 games involving line moves this week. The Miami/UNC total opened at 51.5 and has gone up to 52.5 despite 60% of the action coming in on the under. Miss St. opened at +5.5 dogs at home vs. the Gamecocks and the line has dropped 2.5 points down to +3 despite the public pounding S.C. to the tune of 72%! Utah opened as touchdown underdogs at Pitt and have gone down to +6 despite only receiving 35% of the betting handle. Utah had a bunch of turnovers last week which makes them look worse than they really are. The truth is they have a legit shot of winning this game straight up so we're absolutely stoked to be getting 6 points here. Oregon State opened as +1.5 dogs at home vs. BYU and the line has steamed up to OSU now being the favorite at -3. We like the Beavs who appear to be back on track. Lastly we're fading a line move where Utah St. opened at -4 and Fresno State has now been bet down to +3. Utah State is the better team on BOTH sides of the ball. Take Utah State who is one of the most underrated teams in college football.

Week 7 Line Move Plays: Miami/UNC OVER 52.5 (win), Miss. St. +3 (win), Utah +6 (win), Oregon St. -3 (loss), Utah St. -3 (loss).

Week 6 Line Move Plays: (10/6 through 10/8) We like 5 line moves this week. The first is the Iowa/Penn St. OVER. The world is betting the under, yet the line has gone up a 1/2 point to 45.5. The second play is Indiana getting +14. The line opened at 16.5 and it's been bet down to two touchdodwns despite the money coming in on the opponent. Third we like Wake at +10. This play takes some real balls to piggyback because FSU has handled Wake in years past. The line opened at 13 and has gone down to +10 despite 2/3 of the money coming in on FSU. Something smells here. Fourth we like Utah State at -12. The line opened at -9 which is way too low. Utah St. is 1-3 however, their a GOOD team and have been the recipient of some mistakes that cost them big-time. Fifth we like Florida Atlantic getting +4. It opened at 5 and has gone down a point despite hardly any of the general public betting on them.

Week 6 Line Move Picks: Iowa/PSU OVER 45.5 (loss), Indiana +14 (loss), Wake Forest +10 (win), Utah St. -12 (win), Florida Atlantic +4 (loss).

Week 5 Line Move Picks: (9/29 through 10/1) Last week's line move plays were the worst they've ever been since we started doing them. Don't let that scare you off though as many sharp bettors got cremed by last week's college football card. The first week 5 game we like is the Friday night matchup between Utah St and BYU. Utah St. opened at +8.5 and the line has moved down to +7.5 despite the public being on BYU's side. Utah St. is a better team and may very well win this game straight up. Play 2 is in the Toledo/Temple game. In case you haven't caught on yet, Temple has come to play and the linesmakers haven't taken note yet. The Owls defense has been flat nasty. The line opened with Temple being a TD favorite and it's bumped up a point to -8. We made this line at -14 so naturally we're all over laying 8 here.

Game 3 is Texas/Iowa State. This is another game in which the dog could possible win straight up. The Horns opened at -10 and it's down to 9 now and we expect it to drop even more prior to kickoff. The next game we like is the Bama/Florida game. We usually prefer to stay away from big national exposure games but this line was too tasty. Bama opened at -5 and the line has dropped to +4. Both of these defenses are special. We don't claim to have a crystal ball, but fully expect this game to end in a 3 point margin.

Week 5 Line Move Picks: Utah St. +7.5 (win), Temple -8 (loss), Iowa State +9 (loss), Florida +4 (loss).

Week 4 Line Move Picks: Central Florida opened up as a 3.5 dog at BYU. The line has since dropped down to +2 despite C. Fla only receiving 39% of the betting action. Ohio opened up as +5 dogs at Rutgers. The line has dropped a point down to +4 despite the Bobcats only receiving 34% of the action. We expect them to win this game straight up. Bowling Green opened up as +6 dogs at Miami Ohio. The line has dropped to +3.5 despite only getting 40% of the betting dollars in their favor. We like BG to win this game straight up. Cal opened up as a field goal dog at Washington. The line has dropped to a pick'em despite Cal receiving only 37% of the action. Buffalo opened up as +10 dogs at home vs. Uconn. The line has dropped a point to +9 despite Buff seeing a meager 32% of that action at the windows. We feel that Buffalo will give the Huskies a run for their money. Wyoming opened up as +22.5 dogs at home vs. Nebraska. The line has dropped to 21 despite the Cowboys only receiving 38% of the action. Expect high altitude to help Wyoming get the cover here.

Week 4 Line Move Plays: Central Florida +2 (loss), Ohio +4 (loss), Bowling Green +3.5 (win), Cal pickem (loss), Buffalo +9 (loss), Wyoming +21 (loss).

Week 3 Line Move Plays: (9/15 through 9/17) Louisiana Tech opened as +7.5 dogs and quickly shot down to +6.5 despite almost all of the public betting money coming in on the other side. Arizona St. opened as -1.5 dogs at Illinois. The line has moved 3.5 points now making the Fighting Illini the favorite at -2. Penn State opened as 10 point dogs at Temple and has been bet all the way down to 7. If you can get 7 or better, Temple is worth a small play. Don't touch this game at less than +7 though. Lastly, UNLV opened at home as massive 19 point dogs vs. Hawaii. The Running Rebels are getting zero action at the windows yet the line has sunk to +17.5. For those of you not away, 17 is a key number (common margin) for college football final scores. I'm not predicting a 17 point margin here, however, that extra hook has some BIG value in this game which should fall very close to this spread.

Week 3 Line Move Plays: Louisiana Tech +6.5 (win), Illinois -2 (win), Temple +7 (win), UNLV +17.5 (win)

Week 2: (9/8 through 9/10) We like a few moves this week, 2 of which don't even play on Saturday! In Thursday action, Arizona opened up as a +14.5 underdog and the line has dropped a full point to +13.5 despite the Widcats only receiving 38% of the action at the betting windows. Friday also presents us with a line move play as Florida International opened up as a 4 point dog at Louisville and has dropped to +3 despite receiving only 27% of the wagering handle. We think Louisville stinks this year and Florida Intl may win this game straight up. Saturday gives us Vandy which opened up as a +1 dog and the line has spiked to Vandy -2.5. It's probably the least valuable play of the three but fell into the parameters we use in which to make plays, so we're letting it fly. Good luck!

Week 2 Line Move Plays: Arizona +13.5 (loss), Florida International +3 (win), Vandy -2.5 (win).

Week 1: (9/1 through 9/4) Rice opened up as a +22 dog on the road at Texas and the line has gone up to +24.5. Texas has really struggled to cover spreads recently and Rice isn't going to roll over for them. We're expecting a final margin of no more than +21 here giving us 3.5 points of value.

Week 1 Line Move Plays: Rice Owls +24.5 (loss)

Previous Year's Results:

2010 Line Movement Plays ATS Record 29-33-1 -7.30 Units

Bowl Games: The Oregon/Auburn game opened with the Tigers at -3. We're starting to see some 2.5's out there at some books so we're calling this a play.

Bowl Game Line Move Picks: Oregon Ducks +3. (push)

Week 14: (12/2 through 12/4) We like two this week. Nevada opened up as a 12 point favorite AT Louisiana Tech and have been bet down to 8. We love Louisiana Tech here at anything +7 or higher. The second game we like is the Cincinnati Bearcats who opened at a pickem and have moved up to -2 despite the Bearcats only getting 36.4% of the action.

Week 14 Line Move Plays: Louisiana Tech +8 (loss), Cincinnati -2 (loss).

Week 13: (11/23 through 11/27) Duke opened at +10 at home vs. UNC and has moved down to +8 despite only receiving 28% of the action. We like Duke at +7.5 or better. Oklahoma State opened as a -2 fav at home vs. Oklahoma. The line has since only moved a half point and the public is backing the Cowboys but we like it anyway. BYU opened as a +10.5 dog at Utah and has been bet down a point and a half to +9 despite Utah getting most of the action at the windows. We think BYU actually has a legit shot of winning this game straight up, so we love the points here.

Week 13 Line Move Plays: Duke +8 (win), Oklahoma State -2.5 (loss), BYU +9.5 (win)

Week 12: (11/16 through 11/20) The Stanford/Cal total opened at 52 and has been bet down to 50 despite the public hammering the over to the tune of 70%. Cinci opened as -11.5 favs at home vs. Rutgers. The line has since moved up to 13. Look for Cinci to rebound after a disappoint performance last week. Wiscy opened at +6 on the road vs. Michigan. The line has dropped 2 points down 4. Stanford opened up as -8 favs on the road at Cal, who has a very good defense and plays well at home. Look for Cal to potentially win this game straight up. BYU opened at -27.5 and has moved to -29.5. BYU has really come on strong since changing out their defensive coordinator. Their offense has come around as well. New Mexico may not even score in this game and BYU should have no problem getting into the 40's. Texas AM opened at +3 at home vs. Nebraska and the line has dropped to +2.5 despite A&M getting only 31% of the action. They've quietly been one of the hottest teams in college football recently. SD State is another team flying under the radar. They opened at +3 at home vs. Utah and the line has moved down to +2.5. SD State is one of the best bets of the weekend.

Week 12 Line Move Picks: Stanford/Cal UNDER 50 (loss), Cincinnati -13 (win), Michigan +4 (loss), Cal +6.5 (loss), BYU -29.5 (win), Texas AM +2.5 (win), SD State +2.5 (loss).

Week 11: (11/13) The Cincinnati Bearcats opened up as +6.5 favorites and have been bet down to +5 despite W.V. getting one sided action. Rutgers opened as a +3 home underdog vs. Syracuse and has been bet down to +2.5 despite the general betting public hammering the Orange. Our power ratings show that Rutgers should win this game straight up so we're on it! In one of the bigger moves that we like, Kent St. opened as 3 point underdogs at home vs. Army. The line has moved 4 points and Kent St. is now a -1 favorite. We like them all the way up to -3. The Texas Longhorns have been helter skelter this year but are underrated going into their matchup with Okie State, who opened as -6.5 road favs. The line has dropped a point to Texas getting +5.5 at home despite Okie St. getting all the action. We like the Longhorns all the way down to a pick'em, so we'll gladly take those 5.5 points! Another line move game we like is Fresno St. at home getting +9.5 vs. a good Nevada team. Fresno St. is a tough place to play and the Bulldogs aren't as bad as they've looked, so we like them at the 8.5 and would have actually taken them as low as +7.

Week 11 Line Move Plays: Cincinnati +5 (loss), Rutgers +2.5 (loss), Kent St. -1 (loss), Texas +5.5 (loss), Fresno State +8.5 (win).

Week 10: (11/6) As always, there was a ton of line movement this week, however, there were only a few games that we have any interest in. The most notable move was in the Fresno St/L. Tech game where Fresno opened up at -2 and the line has moved 4 points now making L. Teck a -2 favorite. We like them to win at home by 7+. The second move we like is in the Maryland game where the Terps opened up as +11 dogs and the line has moved down to +7.5. The third move we like is Oklahoma/Texas AM where the Sooners opened at -4 and the line has gone down to +3 despite A&M getting a minescule 21% of the action! The next line move we like is UCLA who opened getting 6 points at home vs. Oregon State. OSU has NO business being favored on the road vs. ANYBODY much less a decent UCLA team. Lastly, We Idaho opened at +12 at home vs. Nevada and the line has dropped a point down to +11 despite Idaho getting no action at the window. The Vandals have a chance to win this game straight up so we love getting the 11!

Week 10 Line Move Picks: Louisiana Tech -2 (loss), Maryland +7.5 (win), Texas AM +3 (win), UCLA +5 (win), Idaho +11 (loss).

Week 9: (10/30) UTEP opened up as a +3.5 dog at Marshall. The line has dropped to +2.5 despite most of the action coming in on Marshall. The 2nd game we like is the classic "overrated vs. underrated" angle. Texas AM opened at -5.5 and has moved to -7.5. We believe they're underrated. Texas Tech is a bit overrated and should get beat handily by a better Aggie team. We're buying a half point here as well. The third game we like is one that we can't figure out why the line (Duke +13) has dropped a point and a half, but we're jumping on board as the fishy line move of the week covers at a very high rate. It's somewhat embarassing to say that we're jumping on a play blindly, but we've seen this situation happen so many times and cover that we've just got to do it. What makes this play even tastier is that Duke is getting absolutely no action at the windows. Somebody knows something otherwise the line wouldn't have dropped. It's possible that it'll even go lower closer to game time. Next we like Eastern Michigan getting 10.5 at home. The line opened at +11.5 and we expect it to move more as well. E. Michigan isn't good by any means, but they've played some pretty good competition which skews they're appearance a bit. Don't be surprised if they beat Toledo straight up. If you're feeling bold, throw some lunch money on the moneyline as well (+320). Next we like New Mexico who opened at +15.5 and have moved as high as 16.5 and are currently at +16. Yes, they suck but CSU is no peach either. When you throw two turds at each other, anything can happen. Great value here. Lastly, we're fading a line move. The Ok St/Kansas St. total opened at 68 and has moved down to 67. We expect close to 80 points to be scored in this game. If the weather is good, hit it. If the weather is inclement, pass on it.

Week 9 Line Move Plays: UTEP +2.5 (loss), Texas AM -7 (win), Duke +13 (win), Eastern Michigan +10.5 (loss), New Mexico +16 (loss), Oklahoma St/Kansas St. OVER 67 (loss): IF WEATHER IS AVERAGE OR BETTER OTHERWISE WE'RE PASSING)

Week 8: (10/23) Uconn opened up at -1 playing at Louisville. Huskies QB Endres is listed as OUT and the line has jetted 4 points to Louisville -3. The line is priced about right but since Endres is out, we'll make it a play. Iowa opened up as a -5 favorite at home vs. Wiscy. The line is up to -6.5 at time of print. This is a great time for an anti-Wiscy bet as the general public sees them with rose colored glasses on and this is a huge letdown spot. They played GREAT vs. OSU, but are on the road now vs. a VERY GOOD Hawkeyes team. The next line move play we like is the total in the PSU/Min game. It opened at 49 which we feel is about a touchdown too low and has only moved up a point. Expect a decent amount of points to be scored in this game and for what should be one of the easier winners on Saturday. Syracuse opened at +16 at W. Virginia and has been bet down to +13.5 despite the public absolutely hammering the Mountaineers. Syr. isn't a bad team and while we like this game better at +14, it still has good value at +13.5 and is a GREAT play to throw into teasers if you bet them. A game we LOVE but has only moved a half point is Missouri getting 3 at home vs. Oklahoma. We feel that the Sooners are overrated and are an average road team. Missouri has looked REAL good lately and we love them getting points at home. In fact, we'd have bet them if they were -3! Lastly, we've got Marlyand who opened at +5.5 and has been bet down to +4 despite the public siding with BC. We feel that the Terps should be favored by 3 in this game so naturally it's a play for us as we feel that we're getting 7 points of value here.

Our Week 8 Line Move Plays: Louisville -3 (win), Iowa -6.5 (loss), Penn St/Min OVER 50 (win), Syracuse +13.5 (win), Missouri +3 (win), Maryland +4 (win).

Week 7: (10/16) Vandy opened at +16.5 and has been bet down to +14.5 despite Georgia getting all the action. Miss. St opened at +9.5 and has been bet down to +8. Hawaii opened up as an 8 point home dog vs. Nevada and has been bet down to +6.5.

Our Week 7 Line Move Plays: Vanderbilt +14.5 (loss), Miss. St. +8 (win), Hawaii +6.5 (win).

Week 6: (10/9) Syracuse opened at +10 at South Florida and the line has been bet down to +8 despite the Orange only getting 34% of the action at the windows. Iowa State opened as a +7.5 fav at home vs. Utah. The line has been bet down 1.5 pts to ISU +6 despite the Cyclones only receiving 28% of the action. Virginia Tech opened at -24 at home vs. Central Michigan and the line has gone down to 21.5 and for good reason, V. Tech is overrated. There's still a ton of value here with the Chippewas at +21.5 as we feel that the line should be around 16.5. All this and C. Mich is only getting 38% of the handle at most online sportsbooks. New Mexico is a decent play at +2.5 only getting 38% of the action. That line opened at 3.5 and the Lobos are now at +2.5. Lastly, there was a tiny line move in the Florida Atlantic/UL Monroe game from 3 to 2.5. We feel that FAU should have been favored by 4 in this game so naturally, we're hitting it! Good luck!

Week 6 Line Movement Plays: Syracuse +8 (win), Iowa State +6 (loss), Central Michigan +21.5 (loss), New Mexico +2.5 (win), Florida Atlantic +2.5 (loss).

Week 5: (10/2) We only like one this week. Florida St. opened as -7 favorite at Virginia. The line has only dropped a half a point but we expect it to drop more closer to gametime. Virginia is a decent team and it wouldn't surprise us a bit to see them win straight up here.

Week 5 Picks: Virginia +6.5 (loss).

Week 4: (9/23 through 9/25) Temple opened up at +17 at Penn State and was quickly moved down to +14 despite only getting 37% of the action at the windows. A tiny move, but a game we like, Georgia opened at +2 and has moved to +1. We're siding with the public here (63%) but we can't help ourselves as the Bulldogs are the better team and MSU appears to not be as good as originally thought. Oklahoma opened as a 17 pt fav at Cinci and the line has been hammered down to 14 despite the Bearcats only getting 27% of the action. The line move that we like is the S.Miss/Louisiana Tech game. S.Miss opened at -5.5 and has moved down to 3.5. Take Louisiana Tech here as we expect the Bulldogs to win straight up.

Our Week 4 Picks: Temple +14 (win), Georgia +1 (loss), Cincinnati +14 (win), Lousiana Tech +3.5 (win).

Week 3: (9/16 through 9/18) Line move picks were crappy for the 2nd week in a row going 3-4 for the week. In early looks, we like NC State in the Thursday night game. The game opened with Cinci at -1.5 and quickly moved down to 1 and we expect it to hit a pick or even become the fav. by game time. Iowa State opened at +5.5 on the road at Kansas State and the line has moved down to +3.5 despite K. State getting one sided action. Arizona St. opened up getting +15.5 at Wiscy. The line has been hammered down 2.5 points to +13 and may even move more as gametime nears as our power ratings show Wiscy only being a TD better than AZ State.

Fresno St. opened up as a 6 pt fav. on the road at Utah State and have sunk to -4 despite getting most of the betting action. Don't be surprised to see the Aggies win this game straight up. Lastly, and one of our strongest plays of the week is Arizona who opened up as 2 point dogs at home to Iowa and are now a -1 favorite despite only seeing 33% of the action at the books. That one won't be easy, but Arizona should get the loot.

For what it's worth, there's 2 more big moves that we've been eyeballing that don't fit into our parameters. Both Washington and Texas Tech were bet down from 4 to 3 and their opponents (Nebraska/Texas) are getting big-time one sided action at the windows. Again, Wash. and Tex. Tech don't fit into the parameters to make them plays, but they were close.

Week 3 Picks: North Carolina State +1 (win), Iowa State +3.5 (loss), Arizona State +13 (win), Utah State +4 (loss), Arizona -1 (win).

Week 2: (9/9 through 9/11) We got off to a brutal start on what are usually our strongest plays. Dusting ourselves off and back at'em in week 2 looking for redemption. The week should start off right as we believe the wrong team (Auburn) is favored in the Tigers/Bulldogs matchup. The line opened with Auburn laying -2.5 and has been bet down to MSU +1.5. We expect this line to hit a pick'em at some point prior to kickoff and don't be surprised to see MSU as a favorite even. Miss. St. is one of the best teams in college football that nobody knows about. They will after tonight though as we expect them to win by a touchdown. The FSU/Oklahoma game opened with the Sooners as -8.5 point favorites and has been hammered down to -6.5. This is all public money driving the move. We anticipate Oklahoma winning by 10 or more points.

The third line move that we like is in the Hawaii/Army game where the Cadets were -2.5 and moved to 3 despite the public hitting the Warriors hard. We'll take the cadets here minus the field goal. South Florida opened up at +16.5 at Florida which instantly alerted us to the fact that the bookies like the Bulls to cover as 17 is a key number (common margin) in NCAA football. The line has moved a half point down to 16 despite the public hitting the Gators hard. If you saw Brantley and his ball-exchange issues, how can you resist not taking the 2+ scores here with a decent Bulls team? Florida State opened up as an 8.5 dog at Oklahoma and the line was quickly bet down to 6.5 as many were lured into the Seminoles getting all those points. OKL is still a good team and the jury is still out on FSU despite all the talent they have. We think the Sooners win by 2 td's here.

The fishy game of the week goes to BYU/Air Force. BYU opened as a 1 point fav and the line has moved 2 points to Air Force -1 despite the public hammering the living daylights out of the Cougars to the tune of 68%! BYU is 14-3 at Air Force over the L17 games. Air Force has won 10 straight conference openers. Very fishy line here as at first glance you would think that BYU would have an easy one here, but no so fast. The movement really smells here and we're blindly playing A.Force because something ain't right here. There's times when we're unable to identify the reason for such a move/line, and no joke, these games have hit at around 75% over the last decade so we're jumping on board blindly. Not something we like to admit, but hey, sometimes chit works that way. The next game we like is the Buffalo/Baylor game. Buffalo opened at +16.5 which as noted above, tells us that the bookie likes them to cover as 17 is a key number in college football. The line has dropped down to 15 despite 69% of the public being on Baylor. Buffalo could even win this game straight up. Not likely, but could happen. In what may be our favorite line move of the week play, Florida Atlantic opened up at +28.5 at Michigan State. Who made this line? MSU isn't that good in our opinion and we expect a 17 point margin here making this as solid of a play as any this week. Our line movement picks have started off 0-4 so far. Don't sweat it though. It'll come back strong and will show a profit as the season rolls on.

Week 2 Picks: Mississippi State +1.5 (loss), Sooners -6.5 (win), Army -3 (loss), South Florida +16 (loss), Air Force -1 (win), Buffalo +15 (loss), Florida Atlantic +26.5 (win).

Week 1: (9/2 through 9/6) The Northern Illinois/Iowa State total opened at 47 and was promptly hammered up to 51. The public is hitting the under to the tune of 57% so this ain't square money moving the line. Both teams have questionable defenses so there should be a fair amount of points scored. The W.Mich/Mich St. total opened up at 52 and has been knocked down to 50 despite the public hitting the over. We don't expect much offense out of W.Mich and expect a score of around 31-7. Our last play goes against a line move which is kind of rare for us. We'd have bet Uconn if they were favored by 3. No joke. The wrong team is favored here. The Wolverines aren't going to be able to stop the Uconn running game. The line opened with Mich. at -2.5 and has moved to 3. Look for Uconn to win this game straight up at the big house.

Our Week 1 NCAA Football Picks: No. Illinois/Iowa State OVER 51 (loss), W.Mich/Mich. St. UNDER 50 (loss), Uconn +3 (loss)

2009 Line Movement Plays ATS Record 32-37 -8.70 Units

Post Season: (Through 1/7/10) The Boise State/TCU gazme opened up with TCU as a 9 point favorite. The line has gone down to +7. It's public driven and we expect a TCU team that is getting NO respect to upend the Broncos and cover the 7 points. The BCS Championship game line opened up with Bama as a -5.5 favorite. The line has been bet down to +4 despite Texas only receiving 38% of the money. We expect the Longhorns to put up a big fight and maybe even win the game straight up.

Our Bowl Game Line Movement Picks: TCU -7 (loss), Texas +4 (loss).

Week 15: (12/12/09) Passed.

Our Week 15 NCAA Picks: Passed.

Week 14: (12/3/09 through 12/5/09) Not much cookin' this week. Florida opened as a -4.5 favorite at Bama and has gone up to 5.5. We like Bama here so that's find with us.

Our Week 14 NCAA Picks: Alabama +5.5 (win).

Week 13: (11/24/09 through 11/28/09) We like 4 games this week involving line moves. What's odd is that we usually like to be on the side in which the line is moving DOWN towards our team (giving us less betting value) rather than being on the end where the value goes away from us and gets greater. We'll start with the game where the line is moving towards us which indicates sharp action. The Va. Tech/Virginia TOTAL opened at 42.5. The public is on the over, yet the TOTAL has dropped a point to 41.5. Two of the other three games we like are ones in which playing them late (or chasing steam as some call it) has caused us to get a worse line starts with Clemson who opened at -3 and are now at -3.5. They should cover easily. This line may rise more closer to game time as well, so get it now. Navy opened as a -7.5 fav and the line has risen to -10. Our power ratings show that they should be favored by 17. Weird chit always happens in Hawaii though so we're happy to grab the extra 7 points in value here. Lastly, Notre Dame opened as a 7.5 dog at Stanford. The line is currently +10. Waiting has created some extra value for us here. We feel that this game will be much closer than the current line indicates.

Our Week 13 NCAA Picks: Virginia Tech/Virginia UNDER 41.5 (loss), Clemson -3.5 (loss), Navy -10 (loss), Stanford +10 (win)

Week 12: (11/18/09 through 11/21/09) Purdue opened at -3.5 at Indiana. The line is currently Indiana +2.5 despite the public siding with the Boilermakers. The play of the week is the Louisiana Tech vs. Fresno game in which L. Tech opened at +10.5 and it's been bet down to +9. Fresno St. is missing their top rusher Matthews and this SHOULD be a close game..

Our Week 12 NCAA Picks: Indiana +2.5 (loss), Louisiana Tech +9 (win)

Week 11: (11/10/09 through 11/15/09) Clemson vs. NC St, Auburn/Georgia TOTAL, Nebraska/Kansas TOTAL.

Our Week 11 NCAA Picks: Clemson opened as a minus 6 point fav. at NC State and it quickly bumped up to -8. Both sharps and the public agree that Clemson wins big here. We agree. We'd take this line all the way up to -10 (win). Auburn and Georgia opened with a total of 57.5 and it's been bet down to 54.5. Our numbers show that this game should go into the 60's so we're fading the line move AND the general public who are hitting the under to the tune of 57% (win). Next we've got the Neb/Kansas Total which opened at 42. It's since moved to 43 but it's mostly public money forcing the line move so the book is gladly taking an extra point while they can get away with it. Meanwhile, we expect a very low scoring game to go UNDER 40 points. (loss)

Week 10: (11/3/09 through 11/8/09) We've got an interesting Saturday ahead of us as we're actually going against three line moves and going with 3 more. Let's start with the plays that are going against the grain. Ohio State opened up at +3.5 at Penn State and the line has gone UP to +5.5. Next we like Oregon who opened at -5 and has since boosted to -7. Letdown? We don't think so. Lastly, Navy opened up as 11 point dogs to Notre Dame and it's since moved up to 12.5. We like the Midshipmen to "keep it close" and cover.

Now let's take a look at 3 more games that we liked that the wiseguys are digging on as well. The Ohio St/Penn St TOTAL opened at 40. It's gone down to 39 despite the public hitting the over. Our numbers show that the game should have 33 points scored so we'll gladly take the extra six points the bookmaker is giving us. Houston opened up a -2.5 fav at Tulsa. It's since been bet down to 1. we like Tulsa to win this game straight up. Lastly, Army opened up at +17 at Air Force and has moved down to +16.5. 17 is a key number (common final score margin) in college football (believe it or not) so this half point move might not seem significant but it is. We like Army to cover.

Our Week 10 NCAA Picks: Ohio State +5.5 (win), Oregon -7 (loss), Tulsa +1.5 (win), Navy +12.5 (win), Army +16.5 (loss), Ohio State/Penn State UNDER 39 (win).

Week 9: (10/27/09 through 10/31/09) Arky State opened at +4 at Louisville. The line has bet down to +3 depsite the public hammering Louisville. Kent opended up as a +1 dog and is now the fav at -2.5. Kentucky opened at -3 and the line is currently off the 3 moving to -3.5. We expect the Wildcats to win by a TD or more here. Kansas opened at +7.5 at Texas Tech. The line has dropped a point to +6.5 which doesnt surprise us as Kansas may very well win this game straight up. USC opened up at -4 over Oregon at Autzen Stadium. The line has dropped to 3 and we believe Oregon will win this game straight up. Ole Miss opened up at -4 and the line has moved to -5. We're fading this move here as we doubt Auburn loses it's fourth straight game.

Our Week 9 NCAA Picks: Arkansas State +3 (loss), Kent -2.5 (win), Kentucky -3.5 (loss), Oregon +3 (win), Auburn +5 (win).

Week 8: (10/21/09 through 10/24/09) We're coming off another crappy week with these plays going 1-2. We've got some work cut out for us if we're going to make these plays profitable by season's end! Let's get to the numbers! Clemson opened up as a +7 dog at Miami and has been bet down to +4.5. Wake Forest opened as a +2.5 dog at Navy and are now a -2 fav as Navy's QB has been ruled OUT for this week's game. Dobbs IS the Navy team. The line move is justified. New Mexico opened at +4 at home vs. UNLV. The line has been bet down to Lobos +1 and our power ratings show that they should be -3 so some decent value here. Mississippi opened up at -5 at home vs. Arkansas. The Razorbacks defense is weak and Rebels QB Jevan Snead should have his way with them. The line has moved to -6.5 despite the public hammering on the Razorbacks.

In a game that should be labeled the Super "Bowel", winless Ball State opened as 4 point vs. Eastern MIchigan. Eastern Michigan is now +2.5 and should win the game straight up. San Diego opened up at a hefty +9.5 at CSU. It's currently down to +7. This game could easily go either way so we like getting the TD. In the "tiny move of the week" Rice opened at +10.5 and have dropped a half point to +10. Don't be surprised if Rice pulls off an upset with an outright win. Michigan State opened at +2.5 at home vs. Iowa and have been hit hard causing the line to move to MSU now being the favorite at -1.5. Only 37% of the general public are on Sparty so this is surely do to wiseguy/sharp action. In a move that doesn't look all that important (but is), SMU opened at +17 vs. Houston. The line has since dropped to +16. For those of you not aware, 17 is a key number in college football (common margin). SMU is NOT good, but Houston's defense is similar to a wet paper bag so we're happy to take the points here. We round out this week's action with 2 totals: Florida Intl/Ark. St. opened at 56.5. The whole world things this game is going to go under yet the line has risen 2 points to 58.5. We believe there's value in the line all the way up to 66. Texas/Missouri opened at 50.5, the general public is hitting the over to the tune of 71% yet the line has dropped a full point. Under is the play here.

Our Week 8 NCAA Picks: Clemson +4.5 (win), Wake Forest -2 (loss), New Mexico +1 (loss), Mississippi -6.5 (win), Eastern Michigan +2.5 (win), San Diego State +7 (win), Rice +10 (loss), Michigan State -1.5 (loss), SMU +16 (loss), Florida Intl/Ark. State OVER 58.5 (loss), Texas/Missouri UNDER 49.5 (win).

Week 7: (10/13/09 through 10/17/09) There were a ton of games that had line moves this week. Unfortunately we weren't able to make a case for many of them. We do however have three for ya this week. Boston College opened at -3. Sharps are all over NC State and the line is now currently NC State +2.5. While the move was small, the fact that it was knocked off the key number is BIG. The second game we like is Baylor at Iowa State. State opened up at -2.5 and it's now down to -1. I expect it to be a pickem by kickoff. Look for Baylor to win straight up here. Lastly, the Missouri/Okie State total opened up at 57. Despite the public hammering the over, it has dropped to 55. We like the under here.

Our Week 7 NCAA Picks: NC State +2.5 (loss), Baylor +1 (loss), Missouri/Oklahoma St. UNDER 55 (win).

Week 6: (10/5/09 through 10/10/09) Purdue opened at -4 AT Minnesota. The line has been bet down to 3 despite heavy one-sided public action on Minny. Kentucky opened at +11.5 at South Carolina and it's down to 10, even 9.5 at some books. Public is all over South Carolina. Should be low scoring game with Wildcats sticking within the spread. In one of the more interesting moves this week, the Houston Cougars opened up as -3 favs AT Miss. State. line has has moved 5.5 points and now Miss. St. is favored by -2.5. Georgia/Tennesse opened up at a pick'em and the Vols are now -1.5 despite the public siding with Georgia. Lastly, Bowling Green opened at -6.5 and is now down to -1.5 vs. Kent State. See our picks below.

Our Week 6 NCAA Picks: Purdue +3 (loss), Kentucky +10 (win), Miss St. -2.5 (loss), Tennessee -1.5 (win), Kent State +1.5 (win).

Week 5: (9/30/09 through 10/3/09) Pretty active week for line moves! There's a handful worth a look. Here goes...South Florida goes to Syracuse after knocking off FSU at FSU. This may one of the fishiest lines we've ever seen in college football. The line has actually dropped a half point despite the public hammering the Bulls. This is obviously sharp money creating the move. We studied the chit out of this game and can't figure out 1. why the line opened so low and 2. why it still moved to Syracuse. Every so often a situation like this arises and the ugly team covers at a pretty good clip. Im embarassed to say we're riding Syracuse blindly at +6.5 based on none other than this line and movement being very suspricious.

Next up, ECU opened as a -3 point favorite vs. Marshall. ECU is unquestionablly the better team here but oddly enough, they don't seem to perform as well when favored. The line has dropped a full point to 2 despite the public hammering ECU to the tune of 63%. Look for Marshall to win this game straight up. Next, Toledo opened up at Ball State as a touchdown favorite. The line has gone down to +5 despite the public one-siding the Rockets. Here's another one where we expect the home dog to cover and possibly win straight up. Next we've got Georgia Tech vs. Miss. St. Ga. Tech opened up at -4.5 and moved to -5.5. We like MSU's defense and coach Mullen as well. Ga. Tech COULD be a great team, but they look one dimensional at times and this is no secret to coach Mullen. Expect him to jam the box and force the Yellow Jackets to throw which could spell trouble because we're not confident in their QB to make good decisions.

People are starting to jump on the Michigan bandwagon again as the seem to have come back from the dead. They opened as -2 favs at rival Michigan State and the line has moved a huge 5.5 points all the way to favoring MSU by -3.5! All the while the Wolverines are getting pounded by the public to the tune of 64%. This play has been identified as one being used by betting syndicates which never hurts to be on the same side as they are.

When the hell are the oddsmakers going to start respecting the Idaho Vandals? Never we hope, they've been a cash machine this season and for good reason; they're much improved and they generally play teams that aren't real strong. CSU opened at -4, the line has been bet down to 3.5 and yet the public is still not noticing the Vandals who are lining sharp bettors with some good coin early on. Next, the Auburn/Tennessee total opened up at 49.5. The public loves the under yet the line is going up? Sharp action! Look for this game to fall around 60+ points and be one of the more solid plays of the week. Good luck this week!

Our Week 5 Picks: Syracuse +6.5 (loss), Marshall +2 (loss), Ball State +5 (loss), Mississippi State +5.5 (loss), Michigan State -3.5 (win), Idaho +3.5 (win), Auburn/Tennessee OVER 51.5 (loss)

Week 4: (9/24/09 through 9/26/09) Keeping analysis short this week as we're running seriously behind and don't have NFL stuff up yet! Rutgers opened at -3, has been bet down to Maryland +1. We like the Terrapins to win straight up. Ohio opened up as a +20.5 dog, line has moved up to 23.5. We're going against the grain here taking Ohio +23.5. In what may be the best play of the week, LSU opened at -14 at Miss. State. Line has been bet down to Miss. St. +12. We love the Bulldogs here. The Texas A&M/UAB total opened up at 62. Public is hammering under yet line has gone up to 64.5. We still like the over even after the move as we anticipate 75+ points scored here.

UNLV opened as a -5.5 fav on the road at Wyoming. The line has moved 2 points DOWN to Wyoming +3.5 as UNLV's QB Clayton and WR Payne supposedly have flu symptoms. It just so happens those are 2 of the teams best players. We'll take a flyer on Wyoming here. Notre Dame opened up laying 8 on the road at Purdue. The game was quickly bet down to Purdue +6.5. ND appears to be inconsistent. Laying pts on the road vs. a team with an above average RB and a tough gritty QB gives us pretty good value here. We don't generally recommend buying points as it usually just ends up being a waste but you might want to consider buying a 1/2 point here.

Our Week 4 Picks: Maryland +1 (loss), Ohio +23.5 (win), Miss. State +12 (win), Texas AM/UAB OVER 64.5 (win), Wyoming +3.5 (win), Purdue +6.5 (win).

Week 3: (9/17/09 through 9/19/09) We couldnt have had a worse start to the 2009 college football season if we threw darts to pick our games. No exuses here though, getting back on the horse as the tide is due to turn soon. A ton of line movement on this week's card, but only a small amount of it that interests us. Purude opened as a -12.5 point favorite vs. a gritty NIU team. While the line has only dropped a half point to 12, this is one of a few wiseguy plays for the week. The second move we're fallowing is the AZ/Iowa game which opened with Iowa at -6 and has dropped to 4. We love Arizona in this game as they've gotten better and Iowa has seemingly worse than expected. The public is all over the Hawkeyes as well, which is always a good sign for the other side.

The third game we like is USC/Washington where the Trojans opened at 21 and it dropped quickly to 19 as many sharps took advantage of a great line. We still like it at +19. Steve Sarkisian has this Husky team believing they can cover, errrr, win. Game 4 is SD State/Idaho which was a small move but significant one. The Aztecs opened at -3.5 and it quickly got driven down to 3 despite only 33% of the betting public being on the Vandals. We like them to win outright as a 3 point dog. Game 5 is Georgia vs. Arkansas. The game opened at with the Bulldogs being a 1 point favorite at some places, a pickem at others. The public is in the love with Georgia yet there's been a 2.5 move towards Arkansas as the Razorbacks are now the favorites. Grab Arky before they move to -3. Lastly, Cinci visits Oregon and opened as a +1.5 dog. The books love the Bearcats, the public loves the Bearcats, everybody loves the Bearcats but us. OSU has an NFL calibur RB in Jacquizz Rodgers that should gain some huge yardage Saturday. Remember that name, because it will have a 150 or 180 next to it for yardage in the box score. We're fading the wiseguys/public both and taking the Beavers to cover as a +1.5 dog. Hold off until gametime and you may even get a better number.

Our Week 3 Picks: Northern Illinois +12 (win), Arizona +4 (loss), Washington +19 (win), Idaho +3 (win), Arkansas -2.5 (loss), Oregon State +1.5 (loss)

Week 2: (9/9/09 through 9/12/09) We stunk last week going 0-2. There's a few games in particular this week that had moves that we're interested in. Air Force opened as a +5 underdog at Minnesota. The line has been bet down to 3. Air Force has a legit shot of winning this game straight up. In face, we believe it's likely. Arkansas State opened as +23.5 against the Nebraska Cornhuskers. The world is betting on Nebraska yet the line has dropped 2.5 points to +21. Arkansas State is likely to get beat up in this matchup but we feel they have enough offense to stay within the 3 scores. Another game that featured a line move is Southern Cal vs. Ohio State. USC opened as 6 point favs and it's since moved to 7. Too much team speed for Ohio State to deal with here. USC wins by 7 or more.

This page was built to report "sizable" line movement but we're going to sneak a stinker in here. Pittsburgh plays at Buffalo and opened up laying -11 points. The line has only been bet down a half a point to 10.5, but Buffalo is receiving sharp action while a ton of squares are betting the Panthers. Look for this to be the "fishy game of the day" with Buffalo getting an un-understandable cover. Purdue and their crappy defense travel to Eugene, Oregon to play a Ducks team that will be out for blood. The line opened at -9.5 and has since gone all the way up to 13. Purdue's D won't be able to stop "the Quack Attack". Grab a share of Oregon before it hits 14. Stanford travels east to play Wake Forest. The game opened with Wake as a -2 fav and has been bet up to -3. We like the Demon Deacons here as it's tough for a west coast team to come all the way back east and be physically prepared to play a game this early in the morning. Gametime is 9am "their time" and when you factor in breakfast/prep time/pregame stretches etc it all amounts to these guys rolling out of bed at 4 or 5 a.m. Anybody remember Cal at Maryland last year? 'Nuff Said! There were other games with moves that we either couldn't identify or didn't like. Don't touch the ND/Mich game. Anything can happen in that game!

Our Week 2 Picks: Air Force +3 (loss), Arkansas State +21 (loss), USC -7 (loss), Buffalo +10.5 (loss), Oregon -13 (loss), Wake Forest -3 (win).

Week 1: (9/03/09 through 9/7/9) Surprisingly, there weren't many "big" line moves pre-week 1. The biggest move was in the Buffalo vs. UTEP line where it opened at UTEP -5.5 and is currently sitting at UTEP -9.5 at time of print. We don't really study either of those teams so we're going to steer clear of that game. Another interesting line move was in the LSU/Washington game where the line opened at LSU -16 and it got bet up to -18 which crosses the number "17" which is a key number in college football. Our initial feeling was that LSU will win in a romp but 18 is three scores and Washington is a lot healthier than they were last season, so we want to assess them before taking any risks like betting against them not knowing how they'll look.

Ok, now for the good news. We did find a couple sharp plays involving totals. The UNDER in the UL Monroe/Texas game opened at 62.5. It's been bet down to 61 and it ain't the public money causing the move as the squares are pounding the over to the tune of 62%. We're getting on that Under 61. Another total we like is the UNDER 47 in the Middle Tennessee St./Clemson game. It opened at 48.5 and has been bet down to 47 and may drop more. Again, this isn't public money causing the line move. Get that UNDER before it drops again. Good luck!

Our Week 1 Picks: UL Monroe/Texas UNDER 61 (loss) and Middle Tennessee State/Clemson UNDER 47 (loss).

2008 Line Movement Plays ATS Record 25-19-0 +4.00 Units

Week 15: (12/06/08) TBA

Our Picks: TBA.

Week 14: (11/29/08) Not much movement with any value today. We just like one: Kentucky vs. Tennessee. Tennessee opened as a -5 fav. and the line has been bet down to +4. Don't be surprised to see a "3" by gametime.

Our Picks: Kentucky +4 (loss).

Week 13: (11/22/08) The Missippi/LSU game opened up with LSU as a -5.5 fav. The line has been bet down to -3.5 and it wasn't the public that was responsible for it. Wake opened as a -2 point fav. but the line has now moved 4.5 points and Boston College is a -2.5 fav.

Our Picks: Mississippi +3.5 (winner), Boston College -2.5 (winner).

Week 12: (11/15/08) The SMU/UTEP total has dropped 8 points but there is no value there anymore. Oregon opened up as a -3.5 favorite and the line has moved to -6. The Ducks haven't exactly displayed the "Quack Attack" their possible of unleashing on visiting teams at Autzen, but they should get back on track vs. the Wildcats.

Our Picks: Oregon Ducks -6 (winner).

Week 11: (11/8/08) Passed!

Our Picks: Passed!

Week 10: (11/1/08) Texas vs. Texas Tech opened at Texas -5. The line has dropped a point and a half and is likely to drop more as many sharps are on the Red Raiders to beat the Horns today!

Our Picks: Texas Tech +3.5 (Winner)

Week 9: (10/25/08) Wake opened up as a +3 point favorite at Miami. The number has moved off the "3" to +2.5. Cinci opened as a +1.5 dog at UConn, Uconn QB unlikely to suit up, line has moved to Cinci as the favorite -2.5. Numerous injuries to Kentucky team moves line from Florida -23 to Gators -25.5. Fresno State opens up as a -17.5 favorite at Utah State. Wiseguy action is responsible for a 3 point move down to +14.5. Kent vs. Miami Ohio, smelly line move of the week. Opened with Miami-Ohio as -8 fav, bumped down to +5 and still may move. GA opens as a +2.5 dog at LSU, sharps jumping all over Georgia with line currently at +1 and probably will be a pick by gametime Saturday. New Mexico State opened as an unwarranted -15 point fav. at Idaho. Spuds line on the move down to 13. Syndicate action reported. South Florida opens at -5 at Louisville. Number bet down to 3.5 and may settle on the 3 by kickoff. BIG game of the day, high flying Texas Tech visits Kansas as a -1 favorite. Wrong team favored. Line has moved to Kansas as the fav. -1 and may move more by gametime. USC/Arizona total opened at 55. Squares are one siding the over while total has gone opposite direction 2 points.

Our Picks: Wake Forest +2.5 (loss), Cinci -2.5 (loss), Florida -25.5 (win), Utah State +14.5 (win), Kent +5 (win), Georgia +1 (win), Idaho +15 (win), Kansas -1 (loss), Louisville +3.5 (win), USC/Arizona UNDER 53 (win).

Week 8: (10/18/08) There was a ton of line movement, but we don't follow it or play it unless we can identify it. We'll start with W. Michigan/C. Michigan. This game opened with C. Michigan as a -3.5 favorite and has moved 5.5 with W. Michigan now being favored. Southern Miss. visits Rice and opened at +3 and are now down to +1.5. Missouri visits Texas in what should be a shootout. The horns opened at -6.5 and the line has been bet down to -4. Arkansas who have come out of nowhere opened at +11 at Kentucky. The line is now down to +7. UNC visits Virginia in which the line has moved from Virginia +5 down to +4. Sharp action is creating this move. Not a huge line move, but one to surely note, is LSU at South Carolina. The Gamecocks have moved the line off the "almighty 3" and are now getting +2.5, a bet which is likely to cash. Air Force visits UNLV in which the Rebs are getting +4. Wrong team favored. UNLV wins straight up. Stanford visits UCLA in what started as the Cardinal as a -2.5 dog, their not a -2.5 favorite, yes, a 5 point move and it's likely to hit 3 soon so getcha some on the Cardinals! Lastly, in the "fishy spread of the week", Miami Florida opened at -5.5 at Duke. This line has been hammered all the way down to -3 and it ain't no squares responsible for that. Look for Duke to upset the Canes with a straight up W!

Our Picks: Western Michigan -2 (loss), Southern Miss +1.5 (loss), Missouri +4 (loss), Arkansas +7 (win), Virginia +4 (win), South Carolina +2.5 (loss), UNLV +4 (win), Stanford -2.5 (loss), Duke +3 (loss).

Week 7: (10/11/08) Passing.

Our Picks: Passing.

Week 6: (10/4/08) Lots of moves this week that we like. Iowa/Mich. State opened with MSU as an 8 point fav. It's since dropped to -6.5. We like Iowa to cover a close low scoring game there. Red hot Penn. State visits Purdue in which the line has gone up from -11.5 to -13.5. We're going to fade that one as we think Purdue can hang in there at home. Stanford still gets no respect as they opened as a +7.5 dog at N.D. Their much improved and we like them to cover the current line of +6.5.

In what is probably the BIGGEST game of the day, the Buckeyes visit Wiscy. OSU opened as a -2.5 fav and it has dropped to -1. We like Wiscy to defend the home field. Lastly, Florida International visits a horrible North Texas team in which the line opened with Fla. Atl. as a touchdown fav. It's down to +6.5 and we like N. Texas to cover at home.

Our Picks: Purdue +13.5 (loss), Iowa +6.5 (win), Stanford +6.5 (loss), Wiscy +1 (loss) and North Texas +6.5 (loss).

Week 5: (9/26/08) We don't really like much this week. Syracuse opened as a +15.5 dog and was quickly bet down to +14 and the public was one siding the favorite (pitt) so this surely denotes sharp action causing the line move. Washington opened as a -4.5 home fav. vs. the Stanford Cardinal and the sharps have driven this line down to -3. We'll take a shot at the Cardinal here who are a slightly better team than the Huskies and getting the points. As much as we hate to side with the public, we do agree that Georgia -7.5 was too much of an opening line. Bama is now getting +6.5 which we feel very strongly about.

Our Picks: Syracuse +14 (win), Stanford +3 (win), Bama +6.5 (win).

Week 4: (9/19/08) Week 4 of the NCAA football season sports a few games with "smallish" line moves that peaked our interest. Miami-Ohio/Cinci opened at -12.5 and dropped to 11.5. Marshal plays at S.Miss where the Golden Eagles opened at -9.5 and the number was quickly bet down to -7.5. Virginia Tech and Beemer ball takes it's show on the road to UNC where the Tar Heels opened up at -1.5 and have been bet up to -3.5 by both sharps and the pubic. Who can argue with the move? UNC has looked lights out lately and V. Tech hasn't really shown much so far and we don't expect them to do so on the road.

Lastly, despite UNLV's strong showing last week in which they upset Arizona State in OT as a huge 23.5 point dog, they opened at -4 vs. a sub par Iowa State team and the sharps are nailing it and have brought it down to -2.

Our Picks: Miami-Ohio +11.5 (loss), Marshall +7.5 (win), UNC -3.5 (loss), Iowa State +2 (loss).

Week 3: Passed.

Week 2: PASSED

Week 2: (9/4/08 through 9/6/08) Not many plays fell under this category this week. The total in the SJ State/Nebraska game opened at 59 which we felt was too high, the public is hitting the over yet the line has dropped a point and a half. There's still value there on the UNDER. Tulane visits Alabama and opened as a 28 point dog. It's up to 30 now. How is Tulane gonna score? We see Bama winning at around a 50-7 final score. Lay the wood!

Our Picks: SJ State/Nebraska UNDER 57.5 (Winner) and Alabama -30 (loss).

Week 1: (8/30/08) The Utah/Michigan game opened up with the Wolverines as a -4 home favorite. The line has since dropped a point to the key number of 3. The public is one siding Michigan so this was surely sharp money that moved the line down to 3. Mississippi State was originally a -9.5 favorite vs. home team Louisiana Tech and was quickly bet down to -7.5. The public is one siding Miss. St. to the tune of 65% yet the line is moving the other way 2 points and maybe more by gametime. Grab it while it's still more than a touchdown.

The total in the Hawaii/Florida game opened at 72 and has moved down to 67.5. I'm not sure how Hawaii is going to score in this game and I don't foresee the Gators putting up more than 50 so I feel safe with the UNDER 67.5 here. Virginia Tech strolls into East Carolina vs. a much improvied E. Carolina team. The public still loves the beloved Hokies though yet the line has moved towards E. Carolina. Look for E. Carolina to cover in a low scoring game. UL Lafayette travels into S. Miss's backyard vs. an overrated S. Miss team. The public is one siding (betting a ton) on the Golden Eagles and the line has moved the opposite way down to -10.5. Grab those points! (+10.5)

Our Picks: Utah +3 (Winner), Louisiana Tech +7.5 (Winner), Hawaii/Florida UNDER 67.5 (Winner), E Carolina +9.5 (Winner), UL Lafayette +10.5 (loss).

Week 1: (8/28/08) The Oregon State/Stanford game opened up with the with the visiting Beavs as a -3.5 road favorite, the public hammered the Beavers and despite that fact, the line STILL dropped to -2.5. A lot is being made of the Beavers "team speed" with no credit being given to what is not a good, but improved Cardinal team. Expect the Cardinals to give a usually slow starting OSU road team all they can handle and to win the game straight up.

Our Picks: Stanford +2.5 (Winner).

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