No. 23 Texas Longhorns (6-2 SU, 3-5 ATS) vs. No. 18 Texas Tech Red Raiders (6-2 SU, 6-2 ATS)
College Football Week 10
Date/Time: Saturday November 3rd, 2012. 3:30PM Eastern
Where: Jones ATT Stadium Lubbock, T.X.
by Jay, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: Tex +7/Tex. Tech -7
Over/Under Total: 67.5
The battle for the Chancellor's Spurs will take place this Saturday in Lubbock when the no. 18 Texas Tech Red Raiders host the no. 23 Texas Longhorns. The visiting Longhorns have won the last 3 meetings dating back to 2009 but will find their selves as rather surprising 7 point underdogs when they meet the Red Raiders inside Jones ATT Stadium. Texas Tech has had a very respectable 6-2 SU start this season with a few signature wins over West Virginia and TCU. Still, no other win would be bigger for Tommy Tuberville's Red Raiders than a win this Saturday against the rivaled Longhorns.
Despite some brief bouts of success, Texas Tech has not captured many wins over the Longhorns in recent years. In fact, the Red Raiders have won just two games against Texas dating back to the late 90's. This week the betting public seems to think Texas Tech will get their 3rd victory in so many years. Despite being a touchdown favorite over the Longhorns, which is a rarity, the betting public is still siding with Texas Tech by nearly 75% in early betting action this week.
For Texas Tech to pull out the victory, the Red Raiders defense will need to get on track this weekend. Despite having the 12th best total defense in the country allowing just 300 yards per game, the Red Raiders defense has given up more than 50 points for two straight weeks. Of course one of those games was a triple overtime winner against TCU but the defense has still had some problems in recent weeks coming up with stops. Last week Kansas State QB Collin Klein was able to keep Texas Tech's defense off balance with a mixture of success on the ground and through the air.
Take a minute to read this: Benefits of Reduced Juice (It will change the way you bet on sports forever)
The Longhorns would love for that type of similar success out of their quarterback this week. However, the Longhorns may not even be sure who their quarterback will be. In an ugly 21-17 victory over Kansas last week, starting quarterback David Ash was yanked in the 4th quarter after completing just 8 of 16 passes and throwing 2 picks. Backup junior Case McCoy was able to come in and lead a late touchdown drive by completing 5 of 7 passes for 68 yards to help the Longhorns avoid the upset. However, no word has been given towards who the starter will be this Saturday.
One thing that is certain is that the Longhorns will need to score points to win this game no matter which quarterback is behind center. The Red Raiders own the 11th ranked offense averaging a stout 506 yards per game which includes the 3rd best passing offense in the FBS averaging 357 yards per game. QB Seth Doege has posted stellar numbers this season completing 70% passing for 2,540 yards with 30 scores and 8 picks. Not only has Doege been playing very well but he is starting to get some help from the receiving core. WR Eric Ward has really played well in recent weeks racking up 17 catches for 222 yards and 5 touchdowns in the last two games. If the Red Raiders can keep that 1-2 combo going, they should be able to put pressure on a weak Texas defense.
The story for Texas Tech this season in terms of success has been turnovers. The Red Raiders have turned the ball over 3 times in each of their two losses this season. If the turnovers happen to show up again in Lubbock this Saturday, the Longhorns have the offensive capability to convert those mistakes into points and make things very interesting.
Jay's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: I'm going with the public on this one for the simple fact Texas has played like garbage in recent weeks. Mack Brown has some serious problems on his hands and that will become even more apparent after this Saturday. Red Raiders win big!
Are you still betting with a corner bookie? Find out why online is the better choice by reading our piece titled Betting Online vs. The Corner Street Bookie.
Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!
Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.
Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.
College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.
Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.
Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.
2015 College Football Predictions - (2016 article coming soon!) Badger gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2016 National Championship game.
2016 Heisman Trophy Predictions - DeShaun Watson is favored to win the award at +575 with Stanford RB Christian McCaffrey (+575) and LSU RB Leonard Fournette (+850) close behind. However, the real value may be with Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman at 40/1.
2016 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football handicapper Bob gives his picks on who he thinks will win the 2016 National Championship. Despite not liking to side with heavy favorites, he believes the Alabama Crimson Tide (+950) are the team to beat.
MyBookie - Get a HUGE 50% bonus (up to $1000 FREE!) after making an initial deposit of $100 or more! Great at getting Visa cards to work for deposits.
Bovada - Boasts the highest credit card acceptance rate on the internet! HUGE menu of wagers for you to choose from! One of few online sportsbooks to offer Texas Hold'em! 50% bonus up to $250 in free cash!
5Dimes - 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Reduced juice betting odds! Buy up to 15 points! Most props on the web!
Bookmaker - Offers a HUGE 50% sign up bonus up to $300! Enjoy LIVE college football betting where you can jump into the action at any time during the game and place a bet! This gives you a huge advantage!
Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - Ezekiel Elliott starts the season as a 6/1 favorite to win the award. Those that have seen crafty LSU Soph. Leonard Fournette think he's a lock though. Trevone Boykin brings experience and plays on a high scoring team. Cardale Jones won the big game last year and is listed as 12-1. It might be a good year to bet more than one prediction!
Odds to Win the 2016 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are favored to be repeat winners of the National Championship this year at +700 followed by Ohio St. at +750 and Clemson at +800. Things drop off a bit with the Michigan Wolverines, LSU Tigers and Oklahoma Sooners all coming in at +1200. Check out your favorite school's odds here!
Heisman Trophy Winners - A full list of college football quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers who have made history on the field and won the prestigious award.
Fantasy College Football - Draft a fresh team every week! Leagues range from $2 to $420! You can play head to head or in big groups! Payouts take place approx. one hour after the final Saturday game.
The Spread - Who will cover the spread? They will! Offers scores, odds, free game predictions, current news and more!