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LSU Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Odds - Free Pick

No. 19 LSU Tigers (6-2 SU, 3-4-1 ATS) vs. No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (8-0 SU, 4-4 ATS)
College Football Week 10
Date/Time: Saturday November 4th, 2017. 8:00PM (EST)
Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium Tuscaloosa, A.L.
TV: CBS
by Jay, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: LSU +21/ALA -21
Over/Under Total: TBA

The top ranked Alabama Crimson Tide return to action this week when they battle no. 19 LSU inside Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa. The Crimson Tide are fresh off a bye week as they prepare for a difficult stretch that features 3 ranked teams in their final 4 games of the season concluding with the infamous Iron Bowl. For this week’s game, Alabama will faceoff with an LSU team that is trending up. The Tigers have won 3 straight conference games since that embarrassing loss to Troy including an impressive 27-23 victory over no. 10 Auburn. With just 1 conference loss, the Tigers could take complete control of the SEC West if they were to upset the Crimson Tide on Saturday.

During the early part of the Nick Saban era at Alabama, LSU and Alabama were among the biggest rivalries in the country. Each year, LSU and Alabama met it seemed to carry SEC and National Championship type of implications. In fact, you would have to go back to 2006 to find the last time at least one of these teams has not been ranked inside the top 5. During the early years, the Tigers got the better of the Crimson Tide winning the first 3 of 5 meetings. However, it has been all Alabama since as the Crimson Tide have won 6 straight games over the Tigers.

To LSU’s credit, even though they have fell to the Crimson Tide in 6 straight years they have still be very competitive. Only once has this game gotten out of hand and the game has been decided by 10 points or less on 4 occasions. For LSU to keep things competitive yet again on Saturday, it all starts with their defense. Offensively, this team still resembles their appearance under former Head Coach Les Miles which highlighted a power running attack yet struggled to find success throwing the football.

Current Head Coach Ed Orgeron has had similar marks with the offense currently averaging 216 yards (26th in FBS) per game on the ground with just 201 yards (84th in FBS) through the air. Running backs Derrius Guice and Darrel Williams provide an excellent 1-2 punch from the back field that has combined for nearly 1,200 yards with 11 touchdowns on the season. Quarterback Danny Etling has improved completing 60% passing for just 1,452 yards with 9 scores and just 1 pick. However, this offense still lacks explosiveness in the passing game whether it is the product of quarterback play or simple playcalling.

Therefore for LSU contend in this game, it all starts with the defense. The Tigers have played well yielding just 319 yards per game which is the 22nd best mark in college football. This week LSU’s physical toughness and strength within the trenches will be put to the test by a dynamic Alabama rushing attack. The Crimson Tide’s power rushing attack has produced 298 yards per game which is the 8th best mark in college football and in reality the 3rd best mark among traditional offenses (exclude triple option offenses). Between running backs Damien Harris, Bo Scarbrough, and quarterback Jalen Hurts, Alabama has racked up 22 touchdowns on the ground. Harris leads the team with 697 yards on the ground with 10 touchdowns and Scarbrough has averaged nearly 5 yards per carry in a similar workload.

Like LSU, Alabama does not rely on their passing attack nor is the quarterback Jalen Hurts the most efficient passer. Similar to Etling’s stat line, Hurts has hit 62% passing for just 1,223 yards with 9 scores and just 1 pick. Fortunately for Alabama, their running game and defense has been so dominate that they rarely need big production from the quarterback position. I don’t necessarily see either team abandoning their style of play this week therefore both teams will expect big performances from the defense and running game to lead them to victory.

Jay's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: These Alabama and LSU games are typically close games because the style of play is so similar. Both teams are very physical, rely on defense, and primarily focus towards running the football. However what you may not know is that LSU has only covered the spread once in their last 6 games against Alabama. I think Alabama’s defense will be the difference here and I am going to surprisingly take the points. I believe most will be on LSU given the history of these games but I also would not be surprised to see LSU’s offense struggle heavily. Take Alabama -21. - Bet this game and all your sports bets at 5Dimes! Why should you switch? Because you're being overcharged for odds! Your book is socking you -110. Why pay that hefty price when you can bet at the lower price of -105? This saves you $5 for every $100 you bet and $50 for every $1000 you wager. Added up over time, this amounts to a massive amount of cash you're pissing away. Plus, 5Dimes is simply better. More wagers, teasers up to 20 points, parlays up to 25 teams, faster payouts. It doesn't make any sense to bet anywhere else! Get signed up today by clicking here!

NCAA Football Week 12 Betting Previews

Here are some additional game previews with against the spread predictions.

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!

Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

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Intertops - The safest place to bet on the web as they've been around over 20 years! Enjoy LIVE college football betting where you can jump into the action at any time during the game and place a bet! This gives you a huge advantage!

Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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