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Memphis Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebels Odds - Prediction

Memphis Tigers (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) vs. No. 16 Ole Miss Rebels (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS)
College Football Week 5
Date/Time: Saturday, October 1st, 7:00PM (EST)
Where: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium Oxford, M.S.
TV: ESPN
by Jay, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: MEM +14/MISS -14
Over/Under Total: TBA

This Saturday the Memphis Tigers and the no. 16 Ole Miss Rebels will rekindle the Mid-South Rivalry when both schools meet at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford. This rivalry gained some national attention last year when Memphis upset the Rebels behind the arm of Paxton Lynch. The win gave Memphis their first victory over Ole Miss since 2004 and officially put the Tigers on the map. This Saturday’s game has promising potential yet again with the Rebels ranked inside the top 20 and coming off the heels of a blowout victory over Georgia. Meanwhile, Memphis is 3-0 SU and has an offense that is once again capable of an upset.

Through the first 3 games, the Tigers have outscored their opponents 155-27 combined. Obviously the competition has not been too difficult with the likes of SE Missouri St, Kansas, and Bowling Green. Nevertheless, the Tigers have been able to rack up a ton of offense while standing strong on the defensive side of the football. This week’s meeting with Ole Miss will be a true measuring stick to how good this Memphis team is playing. The Rebels have the talent advantage, sprouted by their SEC recruiting seeds, but they have already shown vulnerability with two losses through their first 4 games at the hands of Florida State and Alabama.

While the Rebels star power may have taken a hit with those two losses, they proved they are going to be a difficult out for the rest of the season with last week’s demolishing of no. 12 Georgia by a score of 45-14. Despite Georgia’s success running the football, Ole Miss got big stops from their defense and was able to force some turnovers to keep the Bulldogs off the scoreboard. Additionally, the offense racked up over 500 total yards. Quarterback Chad Kelly played great hitting 18 of 24 passes for 282 yards and 2 touchdowns. Kelly made the Bulldogs pay with his arm strength consistently hitting receivers down the field. Kelly’s arm strength was on full display early in the 2nd quarter when he scrambled and then threw a 55 yard bomb to hit DaMarkus Lodge in the end zone.

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Kelly’s playmaking ability is the heart of this Ole Miss offense and when he is hitting his throws; the Rebels are tough to beat. The question this Saturday for Ole Miss is can the defense step up to the challenge against Memphis. Last year the Rebels did not have any answer for the Tigers’ passing attack and quick striking offense. The Rebels defense has also been exposed at times already this season. In both losses to Florida State and Alabama, Ole Miss gave up over 40 points and over 500 total yards in each of those games. Therefore Ole Miss has to prove that they can be consistent on the defensive side of the ball. Even though they held Georgia to 14 points last week, there was still some defensive breakdowns which cannot continue to happen.

If you are not familiar with this year’s Memphis team, they no longer have QB Paxton Lynch that made his name know in this game one year ago. However, Riley Ferguson has proved to be an effective passer thus far hitting 67% of his passes for 843 yards with 11 scores and just 2 picks on the season. Ferguson is a high percentage passer which is good because Memphis needs to protect the football this Saturday to have a chance. The offense cannot afford to give the Rebels dangerous offense any free changes or allow the momentum to stay with the home team.

Memphis needs to get off to a fast start and keep the pressure on the Rebels defense. I believe Patrick Taylor and Doroland Dorceus will be key players towards that effort. Both tailbacks have big play potential and the Rebels have had troubles stopping the run this season. Last week, Doreceus rushed for 117 yards on just 9 carries in the win over Bowling Green. If Memphis can get some big runs going early, I believe Ferguson could settle in at the quarterback position and make this an entertaining game as both offenses go back and forth.

Jay's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Memphis +14

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NCAA Football Week 5 Betting Previews

Here are some additional game previews from this week's college football card.

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!

Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

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Intertops - The safest place to bet on the web as they've been around over 20 years! Enjoy LIVE college football betting where you can jump into the action at any time during the game and place a bet! This gives you a huge advantage!

Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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