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Miami Hurricanes vs. Duke Blue Devils Odds - Free Pick

Miami Hurricanes (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) vs. Duke Blue Devils (4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS)
College Football Week 5
Date/Time: Friday, September 29th, 2017– 7:00 PM ET
Where: Wallace Wade Stadium – Durham, NC
TV: ESPN
by KEITH, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: DUKE +6
Over/Under Total:OFF

The U will kick off its Atlantic Coast Conference campaign as it heads to Durham, North Carolina to square off with the Duke Blue Devils at Wallace Wade Stadium. The Hurricanes of Miami enter in off a 52-30 win against Toledo at home. As for Duke, they come in like Miami as they are also undefeated after taking down arch rival North Carolina in Chapel Hill in another chapter of The Tobacco Row Rivalry. In this conference contest, the Canes have won the last three overall. The fixture will be aired for national audiences on ESPN. The meeting will be a prime-time event under the lights as the scheduled kick-off time is 7:00 PM ET on Friday, September 29th.

The Blue Devils so far have to be classified as one of 2017’s surprise teams. This is reflected in the Dukies’ 4-0 record both straight up and against the spread. The “Fighting Cutcliffes” are authors of two outright victories as a marginal pooch. First, the Blue Devils would take down visiting Northwestern at home as a two-point pup on September 9th by a score of 41-17. Against UNC, Duke was a 1.5-point road pup but ousted the Tar Heels by a score of 27-17 at Keenan Memorial Stadium last week. Very simply, Duke’s defense is brutal. The Blue Devils own one of the best rushing defenses in the nation, placing them at fifth overall. This is especially impressive considering the Blue Devils were able to curtail a gifted runner in Northwestern running back Justin Jackson. To complement their exploits, Duke also owns the 16th ranked defense nationally in terms of total defense and give up just 15.2 points per game (17th in America).

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For the Miami Hurricanes, the U are trying to get back to a place that everyone knows them to well in: dominating football games and solidifying itself as a consistent national power. Needless to say, the Canes are shades of what it has been compared to its late 90’s and early 2000’s days. However, the hiring of former Georgia Head Coach Mark Richt has seemed to have shifted the course of this program. Richt is coaching at his Alma Mater as he spent his collegiate playing days in Miami as a back-up quarterback to Jim Kelly. Richt is all class and his football team has reflected his attitudes and ideas as Miami is one of the cleanest teams in the country. Going into their Week 4 contest against Toledo, the Canes were the least penalized team in all of the land.

From what we can gather from the current number, this is a price that often accompanies many outright upsets. +6 or +6.5 on an underdog and a home pooch even more specifically, signals there is not a just a great chance of a cover but an upset. This price is designed to entice action on the favorite be that a touchdown plus successful conversion generates a cover and a win by touchdown returns the wager by virtue of a push. Sure, Duke’s stock is high at the moment and had they lost to North Carolina perhaps they would be spotted a touchdown-plus out of the gate. However, Duke’s defense has shown it can make formidable competition look far less challenging. Let’s not forget the Blue Devils have made examples out of teams they were supposed to lose to and they beat down teams they were supposed to win against. There are also several issues concerning Miami that must be called to the forefront. First, the Canes are ranked #13 and Duke remains unranked. This is especially troubling considering that Miami has played two less games than Duke against far weaker competition overall. This disparity in rankings is another narrative that fuels this market.

Another consideration that must be made is the fact that Miami is playing Florida State, next week. For the Canes, FSU’s has egregiously derailed so perhaps they feel they can finally get them. Though they will be up to the test of facing Duke, the sheer magnitude of the rivalry is bound to be a distraction. Place Miami on the road in a hostile environment and there is a good chance Duke will win this outright. Splitting a bet and risking ½ unit on the Money Line might be prudent in this situation.

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NCAA Football Week 8 Betting Previews

Here are some additional game previews from this week's college football card.

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!

Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

Betting

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Intertops - The safest place to bet on the web as they've been around over 20 years! Enjoy LIVE college football betting where you can jump into the action at any time during the game and place a bet! This gives you a huge advantage!

Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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