Miami Hurricanes (0-0 SU, 0-0 ATS) vs. Louisville Cardinals (0-0 SU, 0-0 ATS)
College Football Week 1
Date and Time: Monday, September 1, 8:00pm
Where: Papa John's Cardinals Stadium - Louisville, KY
by Bob, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: MIA +3.5 /LOU -3.5
Over/Under Total: 53.5
Monday night, after you are finished with all of your cookouts and parties; grad a shower, sit down, relax, and tune in to ESPN to see the Miami Hurricanes travel into Papa John's Cardinals Stadium to take on the Louisville Cardinals. This is the first game for Louisville as a member of the ACC and they have a shot right off the bat to make a statement and show they are a legit contender to possibly compete with Florida State and Clemson in the ACC Atlantic Division. While Louisville is trying to start their own legacy in the conference, Miami is looking to get back on top. The Hurricanes are being picked by many experts to face Florida State in the ACC title game this coming December. Both teams are replacing their quarterbacks so this game could go either way since neither kid has performed on the big stage just yet. The line opens with the Cardinals as a 3.5 point home favorite over the 'Canes. Lets break this game down and take a look at who the smart money should be placed on.
Like I already stated, the Lousville Cardinals are making their first appearance as a member of the Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC). They have been placed in the Atlantic Division where Florida State and Clemson have been the big dogs for the last few years, but one thing we have all learned by watching college football, anything is possible. The biggest news all off-season for Louisville was the fact that their coach Charlie Strong left to take the job at Texas, but the Cardinals were rewarded with the rehiring of their most successful coach in the early 2000's, Bobby Petrino. I will not get into my opinion on Mr. Petrino, but no matter what you think about him as a person, he is still an offensive genius when it comes to coaching football. Louisville has their coach and the scheme in place to be a success, now they have to find the replacement for their legendary QB, Teddy Bridgewater. Now that Teddy is throwing passing for the Vikings, Louisville has called on Will Gardner to take over the reigns. Gardner is a sophomore who has only thrown for 112 yards and 2 touchdowns in his short career as a Cardinal, but believe me, those numbers will increase as he runs the Petrino offense this coming season. Louisville has their head man and their quarterback, but they did take a blow to the offense with DeVante Parker now being out up to six weeks with a foot injury. Parker was the Cardinals leading wide out last season tallying 885 yards of receiving and scoring 12 touchdowns. The loss of Parker will be big, but I still believe the offense will be as explosive as ever. Another coaching change for the Cardinals was the acquisition of Todd Grantham as the defensive coordinator. Grantham left the University of Georgia on his own decision (or so they say) after taking a lot of heat from the fans and alumni of the Bulldogs after the Georgia defense failed to perform, even with some of the top recruits in the land. Grantham will get a shot to redeem himself in the ACC and build a Louisville defense that can contend for a title. Being in the Atlantic Division along side of Florida State and Clemson will be tough, but if Louisville gets the offense rolling, things could be fun.
The Miami Hurricanes have been a staple of Monday night, Labor Day football for most of the last decade. This week they will travel to Louisville to take on the Cardinals. Miami comes in unranked but if you talk to most of their fans they truly believe "The U Is Back." Although we have been hearing this since 2007, I tend to think that this season, Miami could possibly make a run at an ACC title. They recently named true freshman, Brad Kaaya, as the starting quarterback. Kaaya is a pro-style QB that was rated as the 7th best high school quarterback in the nation last year by many polls and scouting services. Miami head coach, Al Golden indicated that this kid isn't your typical freshman QB and will have no problem leading this team from the start. If Miami plans on going into Louisville and getting a win, not only will this kid need to shine on the big stage for the fist time, but the Miami defense will need to slow down the Cardinals offensive attack.
Bob's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: This game is a tough one to take. A 3.5 spread for the home team in this one seems to be handicapped just about right. Last season these two teams met in the Russell Athletic Bowl, and Louisville manhandled Miami by a score of 36-9. Bridgewater was lights out and the Cardinals were simply unstoppable. Miami has revenge on their minds, but remember, these are not the same two teams we saw last season. I am going to base this selection simply on the fade. I am fading the public here. Many people are still thinking about that bowl game, and the people know Petrino is back in Louisville. Money is hitting the Cardinals side hard. Take the Canes. Miami may not win this game, but I see it going down to the wire and a 3 point win for the Cardinals mean we would win by .5 point against Vegas. PICK: MIAMI +3.5. Bet this game for FREE by depositing $500 into a betting account at Bovada Sportsbook and they will put an extra $250 in your account!
Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!
Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.
Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.
College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.
Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.
Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.
2016/2017 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2017 National Championship game at Raymond James Stadium on January 9th.
2016 Heisman Trophy Predictions - DeShaun Watson is favored to win the award at +575 with Stanford RB Christian McCaffrey (+575) and LSU RB Leonard Fournette (+850) close behind. However, the real value may be with Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman at 40/1.
2016-2017 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the National Championship as a 4-horse race which includes Bama at +665, Clemson +725, LSU +900 and Ohio State +1075. Teams on teh bubble include Oklahoma at +1200, Michigan +1300 and FSU at +1350. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!
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Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - Clemson QB DeShaun Watson will have the ball in his hands a TON and he plays on a good team so he's the obvious favorite to win the award this year at +575. Leonard Fournette at 8.5/1 looks like he could play in the NFL right now. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. It's unlikely to happen as offensive players usually win this honor, but Michigan DB Jabrill Peppers (75-1) and Texas AM DT Myles Garret (110-1) could be in the running as well. It might be a good year to bet more than one prediction!
Odds to Win the 2016 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are favored to be repeat winners of the National Championship this year at +700 followed by Ohio St. at +750 and Clemson at +800. Things drop off a bit with the Michigan Wolverines, LSU Tigers and Oklahoma Sooners all coming in at +1200. Check out your favorite school's odds here!