Miami Hurricanes (9-3 SU, 5-7 ATS) vs. No. 18 Louisville Cardinals (11-1 SU, 5-7 ATS)
Russell Athletic Bowl
Date and Time: Saturday December 28th, 2013. 6:45PM Eastern
Where: Citrus Bowl Orlando, F.L.
by Jay, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: Mia +3.5/LOU -3.5
Over/Under Total: 55
Bet your Canes/LV pick at a football betting site where your credit card WILL work, where you'll get a 100% bonus up to $500 AND a free half point every time you bet your (2) favorite college AND (2) favorite NFL teams: GTBets.
The 9-3 SU Miami Hurricanes will take the short drive up I-95 to meet the no. 18 Louisville Cardinals inside the Citrus Bowl in Orlando, Florida for the Russell Athletic Bowl on December 28th. The Hurricanes were amidst the ACC Championship discussion earlier this season after a perfect 7-0 start that vaulted the team to as high as no. 7 in the polls. However Miami dropped 3 of their last 5 games which took some of the steam out of their impressive start. Still the Hurricanes could rebound and cap off a successful season by capturing double digits wins for the first time since 2003, if they can pull out a victory over Charlie Strong's 18th ranked Cardinals.
The Hurricanes have not fared well in bowl games in recent years. Not only has Miami dropped their last 3 postseason bids, but they have not captured a bowl victory since the 2006 season. However, this has been somewhat of a breakout season for the Hurricanes and Coach Al Golden has the program on the upswing. Perhaps in another year or two, the Hurricanes could return to prominence just as their rivals have done over in Tallahassee. A stepping stone would be capturing a marquee victory over a top opponent which could be accomplished when they meet Louisville in Orlando.
Attention Parlay Players: Mid range parlays pay almost DOUBLE what other sportsbooks pay when you place your parlay bets at Sportbet! (Must opt for "Super Saver Bonus" when you sign up)
The Cardinals are arguably the best program in college football that is not from one of the major conferences. Despite the limited competition of the American Athletic Conference, Charlie Strong has done a great job of building the Cardinals into an FBS powerhouse. Strong spent his assistant coaching years in the SEC before taking the head role at Louisville. If you look at Louisville's football program, it has a lot of similarities to his former assistant jobs at Florida and South Carolina. The Cardinals have one of the best defenses in the country and enough playmakers on the offensive side of the football to take care of the rest.
Louisville's defense finished 3rd in scoring yielding just 12.4 points per game and they play their assignments well. The Cardinals defense does not give up many big plays and play their assignments well which present a great match-up with Miami's balanced offense. The Hurricanes main components on offense surround the trio of quarterback Stephen Morris, wide receiver Allen Hurns, and tailback Duke Johnson. Morris has had a rollercoaster ride during his tenure in Miami. The senior has been plagued with inconsistency and interceptions. This season Morris has tossed 21 scores to 12 picks which has been decent. Senior Allen Hurns has been the biggest playmaker in the receiving game catching 60 passes for 1,138 yards and 6 scores. Johnson has also been important in the ground efforts and is closing in on the 1,000 yard plateau.
However, Louisville does a great job of shutting down opponents rushing attacks. Therefore I believe the Hurricanes will need a big game from Morris to pull out the victory. Morris is definitely capable when he is playing well but we will have to wait and see if the turnovers reappear as well. Additionally, the Hurricanes defense will be tested by the quarterback on the other side of the ball. Louisville quarterback Teddy Bridgewater has been labeled the best quarterback eligible for the 2014 NFL draft and he has been terrific throwing the football this season. Bridgewater hit 70.2 percent of his passes this season for 3,523 yards with 28 scores and just 4 picks. Based on the way Miami's defense has been fared against the pass this season, the Hurricanes' will have to play exceptionally well to stand their ground and give their offense a legitimate chance to win.
Jay's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Neither team has been very impressive against the spread this year as both schools are just 5-7 against the number. However, I believe this is a much bigger mismatch than the 3.5 spread indicates. The Cardinals are better on both sides of the ball and I think that will be apparent when both teams meet in Orlando. I like Louisville to run away with this one against an over rated Miami team. Take Louisville -3.5!
Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!
Expert Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.
Favorite of the Week Pick - Giving points means we start the game down. We're not a real big fan of betting college football favorites as it's similar to trading field goals for touchdowns but stick with us as we buck the odds each week, selecting the favored team with the best chance of covering the spread.
Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.
College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.
Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.
Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.
2013 College Football Predictions - Badger gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his pick on who thinks will win the 2014 BCS National Championship game.
2013 Heisman Trophy Predictions - Will Johnny Football repeat? This year's list of "Heisman Hopefuls" is pretty balanced and the award is truly up for grabs. OSU Quarterback Braxton Miller is the favorite at +500 with South Carolina defensive stud JaDeveon Clowney not far behind at +700.
2014 BCS Championship Predictions - College football handicapper Jay Horne gives his picks on who he thinks will win the 2014 Bowl Championship Series (BCS) National Championship. Despite not liking to side with heavy favorites, he believes the Alabama Crimson Tide are unstoppable and has high expectations for them to cash his betting ticket at season's end!
Sportsbook - Get a free $100 bet after making an initial deposit of $100 or more! Great at getting Visa cards to work for deposits.
Bovada - Boasts the highest credit card acceptance rate on the internet! HUGE menu of wagers for you to choose from! One of few online sportsbooks to offer Texas Hold'em!
5Dimes - 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Reduced juice betting odds! Buy up to 15 points! Most props on the web!
GTBets - Offers a HUGE 100% sign up bonus up to $500! Cool offer allows for you to pick 2 of your favorite college football teams and move the line a full point every time you bet those teams!
Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - This article is outdated and will be updated next year for the 2013 college football season.
Odds to Win the 2014 BCS Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are favored to be repeat winners of the National Championship this year at +500 followed by Oregon at +800, Ohio St. +850, LSU/Texas A&M +1200 and Florida/FSU both at +1400. Check out your school's odds here!
Heisman Trophy Winners - A full list of college football quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers who have made history on the field and won the prestigious award.
Fantasy College Football - Draft a fresh team every week! Leagues range from $2 to $420! You can play head to head or in big groups! Payouts take place approx. one hour after the final Saturday game.
The Spread - Who will cover the spread? They will! Offers scores, odds, free game predictions, current news and more!