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Michigan Wolverines vs. Purdue Boilermakers Odds - Free Pick

Michigan Wolverines (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS) vs. Purdue Boilermakers (2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS)
College Football Week 4
Date/Time: Saturday, September 23rd, 2017– 4:00 PM ET
Where: Ross Ade Stadium – West Lafayette, IN
TV: BIG TEN NETWORK
by KEITH, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: PUR +10
Over/Under Total:52

The Michigan Wolverines will hit the road and head to West Lafayette, Indiana to meet with the Purdue University Boilermakers at Ross-Ade Stadium on Saturday, September 23rd at 4:00 PM ET. The game will be televised on the Big Ten Network and is one of domestic interest given the fact it is the Big Ten induction for both squads. The Boilermakers are currently under the guidance of first-year Head Coach Jeff Brohm who was the architect of the prodigal Western Kentucky offense. The Hilltoppers have felt the effects of Brohm’s departure to the fullest extent. On the contrary, Purdue’s offense appears to be far more catalytic under Brohm since he came to town. In their most recent endeavor, the Boilermakers schooled the Missouri Tigers by a score of 35-3 despite closing as a six-point road underdog. For Michigan, the Wolverines coasted by the Air Force Falcons in the Big House in route to a 29-13 victory.

For years, many Purdue faithful have wondered when their team would return to a state of relevance or formidability. Jeff Brohm seems to have finally answered those questions. Purdue comes in with one of the most impressive 2-1 resumes in all of America. The Boilermakers’ sole defeat this season was a 35-28 loss to Louisville. However, in that market Purdue was priced as a 25.5-point dog and they took it to a team that was in the top-five in 2016 and also features a returning Heisman winner. After the early loss, Purdue would follow these results up with crushing back-to-back wins against Ohio and Missouri where the Boilermakers would perform far better than the analysis and prognostication set for them. The Freightliners are in position here to take it to an old and hated rival. Michigan has dominated this rivalry as of late with their surge toward Big Ten contention. With a culture change imminent in West Lafayette, this game sets up perfectly as a trap for the Wolverines. To the naked eye, the initial offering in some markets has prompted a huge heap of action to roll in on Michigan and here we see Purdue now as a double-digit home underdog.

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As we have stated before, laying chalk invokes risk and liabilities. This is especially true considering the Wolverines were overvalued against both Cincinnati and Air Force. The only time Michigan was successful in generating a cover was when it had its way with Florida. But with respect to this, the Gators were without ten starters and even then Michigan had trouble getting to the front for a significant portion of the match. When reviewing Florida’s performance against Tennessee, it is clearly evident that Michigan took advantage of a weaker opponent and the contest result by no means bolsters the credentials of the Wolverines. Purdue has the chance to be the Maize and Blue’s biggest test season-to-date. This contest is not in The Big House and features a team that has proven to be a live dog already this season on several occasions.

This game has all the makings to stage an upset that rocks the college football landscape. As we recall, Michigan was an 18-point favorite against Iowa on the road in 2016. The Wolverines would close spotting three touchdowns. Michigan would not only fail to cover but they would be upset by a late field goal. This team has a propensity for let-downs and has suffered many hiccups when they are in a pole position. Purdue will enter this fixture with reckless abandon. A win here for the Boilermakers can alter the course and direction of this program and they may very well treat this meeting as a bowl game. Success in this bout will be instrumental in the Purdue turnaround and even if they fall short, a close defeat signals the times are changing. The Boilermakers will be operating off of these narratives. Michigan should approach this contest with extreme caution and takers are urged to be very weary, this line is not a gift. The Maize and Blue should be placed under upset alert.

KEITH’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: PURDUE +10. Bet your UM/PUR picks at an online sportsbook where you can bet on games at -105 odds instead of the more expensive -110 price tag that your bookie is sticking you with! Making the switch to betting at discounted odds will save you TONS of cash! Find this great offer as well as 20 point teasers and parlays up to 25 teams at the web's best bookmaker: 5Dimes.

NCAA Football Week 8 Betting Previews

Here are some additional game previews from this week's college football card.

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!

Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

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Intertops - The safest place to bet on the web as they've been around over 20 years! Enjoy LIVE college football betting where you can jump into the action at any time during the game and place a bet! This gives you a huge advantage!

Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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