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Michigan Wolverines vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights†Odds - Prediction

Michigan Wolverines (5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS) vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS)
College Football Week 6
Date/Time: Saturday, October 8 at 7pm ET
Where: High Points Solutions Stadium
TV: ESPN2
by Evergreen, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: MICH -26/RUTG +26
Over/Under Total: 54

The haves and have-nots are easily recognizable by this point in the NCAA Football season and we have a matchup featuring one of each this weekend as the Michigan Wolverines head to New Jersey to take on the Scarlet Knights of Rutgers. Michigan comes into the week ranked 4th in the country and they look to keep the momentum going on the way to a possible playoff berth. Rutgers was not done any favors by the schedule maker that had them face Ohio State and Michigan in back-to-back weeks and the Knights will be looking to avoid another landslide loss.

No real surprises with the point spread here with the online betting sites tabbing Michigan as 26 point favorites. Rutgers has not fared well in conference since moving to the Big Ten and enters the week just 1-6 against the spread in their last seven against conference foes. Rutgers did hand Michigan a loss in 2014 but was favored by three in that game so even one of their few Big Ten wins came with an ATS loss. The Wolverines have dropped two ATS decisions this season but have covered the next week each time as part of a current 4-0 streak in games following an ATS loss.

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Michigan has looked fantastic in winning five games but they head out on the road for the very first time this season. They survived a heavyweight fight against Wisconsin last week, outlasting the Badgers 14-7 while putting on a defensive clinic. Michigan held Wisconsin to just 159 total yards on offense and picked off three passes, including one during the final possession that sealed the deal. The surprising thing was that Jabrill Peppers was not a factor in the game and the defense still dominated all day. Wilton Speight ground out a nice day against a strong Badger defense, remained poised and threw the go-ahead touchdown with just under eight minutes left in the game. That will likely be the toughest defense he sees this year and it appears that the sky is the limit with Speight under center.

There isnít much to say for Rutgers after the 58-0 loss to Ohio State last week. The Knights managed just 116 total yards of offense, averaged 2.2 yards per carry for the day and completed just 3-of-16 passes. It seems like all came apart when WR Janarion Grant went down for the year. Grant was the only playmaker on the offense and handled all the kick return duties as well. The results without him have Rutgers outside the top-100 in passing yards, total yards and points per game. They have run the ball well at times, averaging 193 yards per game but that doesnít cut it when they trail big. Chris Laviano has some experience at QB and enough wiggle to extend plays but he has completed less than 50% of his passes. Rutgers is simply without playmakers on that side of the ball, and they have not scored a point since losing Grant. Robert Martin leads the team with 398 rushing yards but he is not the kind of homerun threat that is going to stress out a top-25 run stopping unit like Michigan.

Michigan has plenty in the cupboard on offense. Amara Darboh and TE Jake Butt are premier targets for Speight with the duo grabbing eight of Michiganís ten receiving touchdowns. DeíVeon Smith and Chris Evans have become an effective thunder-and-lightning tandem, accounting for five of the Wolverinesí amazing 16 rushing touchdowns thus far. Jabrill Peppers will find his way into some offensive sets more than likely but the base sets for Michigan should be good enough to take care of a Rutgers defense allowing 32.4 points per game. The Knights have been especially poor against the run, allowing 227 yards per game. Michigan lost left tackle Grant Newsome for the season but they are deep on the O-line and wonít likely see any drop-off this week.

Normally, I could come up with some plausible scenario for any underdog to pull an upset when they are getting 26 points at home but I just canít here. Michigan is legitimately good and Rutgers is legitimately bad. Like FCS team bad. I donít think you would blink at eating the 26 if Michigan traveled to directional Connecticut and you shouldnít blink here, either. Iím not trying to rag of Rutgers either but there is just no reasonable case to be made that they are going to suddenly be a good football team this weekend. Michigan could be ripe for a letdown after a big game last week but that isnít going to keep them from scoring forty. Michigan isnít going to get caught looking ahead either as I think Jim Harbaugh has this team well aware that style points count when talking about playoff rankings. Take Michigan, they might shutout Rutgers. I will give the home team a TD as I donít doubt their pride and professionalism but that is all they get in losing 49-7.

Evergreenís Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Michigan

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NCAA Football Week 5 Betting Previews

Here are some additional game previews from this week's college football card.

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!

Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

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Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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