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Ole Miss Rebels vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Odds - Free Pick

Ole Miss Rebels (2-1 SU, 0-3 ATS) vs. No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (4-0 SU, 2-2 ATS)
College Football Week 5
Date/Time: Saturday September 30th, 2017. 9:00PM (EST)
Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium Tuscaloosa, A.L.
TV: ESPN
by Jay, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: MISS +28/ALA -28
Over/Under Total: TBA

The Alabama Crimson Tide destroyed any potential upset bids last week in a 59-0 blowout against Vanderbilt. The Commodores were on the heels of an upset win over Kansas State and were 18.5 point underdogs heading into the game in Nashville with a lot of experts expecting a potential close game. Instead, Alabama dominated in every facet of the game in one of their best performances of the season. This week Alabama looks to keep their momentum intact against SEC West rival and the visiting Ole Miss Rebels who have won 2 of the last 3 meetings against the Crimson Tide.

I have personally had this game circled on my calendar for weeks because I believe it creates an interesting matchup. Ole Miss does not have the same talent that they have had in recent years that has helped them win 2 of the last 3. The Rebels have not even played that well this season with shaky performances against South Alabama, then Tennessee-Martin, followed by the most recent loss to Cal 27-16 two weeks ago. Overall the Rebels defense has been mediocre and the offense has lacked consistency. Therefore this week’s battle with Alabama would seem like a complete disadvantage especially considering the Crimson Tide’s demolition of Vanderbilt last weekend.

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However, I believe Ole Miss could still be a familiar thorn in Alabama’s side. In all likelihood, Ole Miss does not have the defense to stop Alabama’s power running game and does probably not have enough weapons on offense to keep the Crimson Tide defense on their heels. Still, the one thing that the Rebels do have which makes this game interesting is quarterback Shea Patterson. I believe Patterson is one of the best pure passers in the SEC. Patterson is completing 70% of his passes this season and has racked up 1,281 yards with 11 touchdowns and 4 picks in just 3 games. Before last week, Patterson was ranked 3rd in the FBS in passing yards.

Obviously the turnovers are somewhat concerning but Patterson is still a great passer. I have said for years that the best and most effective way to attack Alabama’s dynamic defenses under Nick Saban is by throwing the football down the field. If you look at the last several teams that have beaten Alabama, they have all been really good passing teams that can stretch the field vertically. The Rebels have receivers that have size and speed which will give Ole Miss at least opportunities down the field. If they can hit a few passes, perhaps they can continue to give the Crimson Tide a tough time.

Of course that may be somewhat optimistic thinking for the Rebels. After all, Alabama’s defense demolished Deondre Francois in the opener showing relentless blitzes until he was eventually knocked out with an injury. Last week, Vanderbilt quarterbacks Kyle Shurmur and Duece Wallace combined for 7 of 22 passing for just 38 passing yards against that same Alabama defense. Therefore, the Crimson Tide defensive front can wreak havoc and prevent Patterson from having time to throw which is likely what we will see most often. From an offensive standpoint for Alabama, Bo Scarbrough is developing into one of the nation’s elite rushers and he proved last week that he can put the offense on his back if needed. Alabama has enough firepower outside of Scarbrough to flourish with WR Calvin Ridley, complementary back Damien Harris, and quarterback Jalen Hurts. I am sure Alabama will score points in this game but how much will they need to cover the spread?

Jay's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Call me crazy but I think Ole Miss will give Alabama problems. I believe in Shea Patterson and I also believe there are just certain teams that play opponents well. Ole Miss is one of those teams for Alabama. Take Ole Miss +28 - Not all sportsbooks are created equal! Many are fly by night, poorly run and your loot is actually at risk. End that problem today by signing up at one of the web's oldest and most trusted sportsbooks! Online for over 15 years, your credit card will work and you'll also receive a 50% bonus up to $250 FREE at Bovada Sportsbook!

NCAA Football Week 8 Betting Previews

Here are some additional game previews from this week's college football card.

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!

Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

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Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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