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Missouri Tigers vs. LSU Tigers†Odds - Prediction

Missouri Tigers (2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS) vs. LSU Tigers (2-2 SU, 0-4 ATS)
College Football Week 5
Date/Time: Saturday, October 1st, 7:30PM (EST)
Where: Tiger Stadium Baton Rouge, L.A.
TV: SECN
by Jay, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: MIZZ +13/LSU -13
Over/Under Total: TBA

For the first time in 12 years, the LSU Tigers will take the field without former Coach Les Miles at the helm when they host the Missouri Tigers in Baton Rouge on Saturday. Miles was fired on Sunday after a 2-2 start that included two losses to unranked opponents. For a team that started the year ranked 5th in the country with so much high hopes, the LSU has had a tumultuous start with a pair of upset losses and now the canning of the person that has been the face of their program for more than a decade. How will LSU respond? Well that question will be answered this Saturday night when they host Missouri inside Tiger Stadium.

So what led to Miles firing? Well honestly it has been a long process in the making. LSU nearly let Miles go at the end of 2015 after a similar collapse that was contributed by major issues on the offensive side of the ball. I have said several times that LSU has the talent to contend with anyone in the SEC but they have never had a quarterback or offense to make it happen. Well last weekís loss to Auburn hit the boiling point. It was another prime example of an offense without any answers as the Tigers managed just 13 points against Auburn. Despite LSUís defense keeping Auburn out of the end zone, they still lost thanks to 6 Daniel Carlson field goals in a 18-13 final.

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If you look at LSUís offensive trends this season, I think you can justify the firing of Miles pretty well. In the two losses, LSU was held to 14 points to Wisconsin and then 13 points last week at Auburn. Just two weeks ago, the Tigers nearly blew a 23-3 halftime lead to Mississippi State as the offense got shut out in the 2nd half. Luckily in that game, LSU held on for a 23-20 win but that was just another example of how bad this LSU team has been on the offensive side of the ball which is very surprising considering they one of the best running back in college football in Leonard Fournette. Fournette has rushed for 100 yards plus in every game this season despite the fact that defenses continuously load the box to stop him because the Tigers cannot throw the football. If LSU can articulate some type of passing attack, it could be scary what Fournette could potentially accomplish in the running game.

So far this season, Missouri has been pretty solid against the run yielding just 132 yards per game. The Missouri defense bottled Nick Chubb just two weeks ago holding him to just 3.3 yards per carry on 19 attempts which at the time was Chubbís lowest rushing total of the season. Therefore if Missouri can contain Fournette, it will be interesting to see if interim Head Coach Ed Orgeron can draw up in the passing game. Despite changing quarterbacks from Brandon Harris to Danny Etling, LSU embarrassingly ranks 119th in the FBS in passing averaging just 180 yards per game.

The sad part to LSUís offensive troubles is the fact that they have a really good defense. The defense has not given up more than 20 points in a game this season. It is just the offense has not been able to produce. To add bad news on top of that is the fact that Missouri is a team that can score points. The Tigers from Mizzu took Georgia to the wire in a 28-27 loss and they hung up 79 points in a blowout win over Delaware State last week.

Missouriís offense may not be a quick striking team but they do run the ball really well. Both tailbacks Damarea Crockett and Ish Witter have contributed well to the rushing efforts. Quarterback Drew Lock has been effective in the passing game with 14 touchdowns and just 3 picks. Missouri also has a big time wide receiver in JíMon Moore who is starting to become a household name. Moore had 104 yards in the opener against West Virginia and mounted another huge game with 196 reception yards in the loss to Georgia. The junior wide out already has 6 touchdown receptions on the season and he could be a guy they lean on against this stingy LSU defense. If Lock and Moore can connect on a few big passes, it would not surprise me to see Missouri contend for the victory.

Jay's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Missouri +13

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NCAA Football Week 5 Betting Previews

Here are some additional game previews from this week's college football card.

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!

Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

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Intertops - The safest place to bet on the web as they've been around over 20 years! Enjoy LIVE college football betting where you can jump into the action at any time during the game and place a bet! This gives you a huge advantage!

Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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