Missouri Tigers (4-1 2-2 ATS) at No. 16 Oklahoma State Cowboys (4-1 1-2-1) Boone Pickens Stadium Stillwater, OK 9:15 PM EST Saturday October 17, 2009 on ESPN and ESPN 360
By Jason Green at Predictem.com
Point Spread: Tigers +7/Cowboys -7
Over/Under: 57
Bet this game at an online bookie that also offers a poker room with oodles of fish. They are highly efficient at getting Visa's to work for deposits too: Bodog.
This Saturday night the 16th ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys host the Missouri Tigers. OSU is 1-0 in the Big 10 and Mizzu is 0-1 and if the Tigers lose this game their Big 12 title hopes are dashed. The Tigers played a pretty weak schedule in their first 4 games and they fell back down to earth with their first loss of the season last week falling to Nebraska at home 27-12. Last week the Cowboys beat Texas A&M 36-31.
Mizzu looked like they were going to come away from their home game against Nebraska last Thursday night, well at least until the beginning of the 4th quarter. The Tigers had a 12-0 lead in the beginning of the 4th quarter, but then had 2 interceptions and gave up 27 unanswered points to lose the game. Mizzu's QB Blaine Gabbert came into the game as the 4th rated QB in the nation, but he was only 17/43 for 134 yard with 0 TD's and 2 INT's, which showed that maybe he is not as good as his ranking since the Tigers played a cream-puff early season schedule. The Tigers were underdogs by 4 points so they did not cover the spread and the posted total of 50 was not reached.
Even though the Cowboys did not have their top 2 playmakers they still came away from Texas A&M with a victory. The reason they won is that they out-gained A&M in the rushing game 169 to 109. Even though they won OSU played a sloppy game, as they were penalized 11 times for 118 yards. Texas A&M led the game at halftime 15-14, but OSU scored 22 points in the 2nd half, as their offense started to come around. The Cowboys were favored by 6 points and since they won by 6 points it was a wash. The posted total of the game was 59 and since 67 points was scored in the game the bettors that took the Over were a little richer after the game.
Missouri has the nation's 45th ranked defense and they will have to contain the Cowboys and their offense that ranks 10th in the nation in scoring this season.
OSU's WR Dez Bryant and RB Kendall Hunter missed last week's game and their status for this game is still uncertain. Bryant, who is a top NFL prospect, has missed the last 2 games after being suspended for lying to the NCAA and Hunter, who was the Big 12's leading rusher last season, has an injured ankle.
Just because Hunter may not play the Mizzu D has to worry about backup RB Keith Toston, (410 yds 4 TD), who had 130 yards rushing against A&M. The Tigers only have the nation's 52nd ranked D and if they let the Cowboys run all over them they will be in trouble.
BET OKLAHOMA STATE FOOTBALL GAMES USING YOUR VISA CARD AND TO GET A 20% SIGN UP BONUS AT BETUSA
The Tigers also have to worry about Cowboys' QB Zac Robinson (1070 yds 8 TD 3 TD), who is a legit passer and can move the ball in the air even if Bryant does play.
Mizzu only has 9 sacks in 5 games and they will have to step up against a Cowboys offensive line that has only allowed 2 sacks this season.
Mizzu's Blaine Gabbert (1,295 11 TD 2 INT) has to bounce back and have a good game after a poor performance last week. Luckily he will be facing a Cowboys' D that has had their problems defending the pass, as they only rank 89th in the nation in passing defense.
The Cowboys are much better at defending the run, as they rank 37th in the nation in run defense.
The Tigers do not feature the strongest rushing attack, but if they can run for some yards and take some pressure off Gabbert it will give them a much better chance to win.
A few of the trends for this game are the Tigers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games, the total has gone Over in 10 of the last Tigers 14 road games, and the Cowboys have not beat Missouri in their last 4 home games.
Jason's Pick: Even if the Cowboys are without Bryant and Hunter in this game I really do not think it matters, as the Cowboys have too many offensive weapons. Last week showed that Mizzu is not the team they were last season and Gabbert's legit numbers were racked up against weak teams. I see the Cowboys dominating this game on both sides of the ball, as they will win this game, cover the spread, and move to 2-0 in the Big 12.
Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!
Expert Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.
Favorite of the Week Pick - Giving points means we start the game down. We're not a real big fan of betting college football favorites as it's similar to trading field goals for touchdowns but stick with us as we buck the odds each week, selecting the favored team with the best chance of covering the spread.
Over/Under of the Week - Expect great value from this pick each week as we've cashed in big on betting over/unders over the years.
Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.
College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.
Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.
Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.
2011 College Football Predictions - Badger breaks down the top teams and lists their odds to win the 2012 BCS Championship as well. At the end he gives his pick on who thinks will win the 2012 BCS National Championship game.
2011 Heisman Trophy Predictions - The trophy is up for grabs with Cam Newton leaving for the NFL. This year's list of "Heisman Hopefuls" is a pretty balanced list and the award is truly up for grabs. Stanford Quarterback Andrew Luck is the favorite at +450 with Oklahoma Sooners QB Landry Jones not far behind at +650. Check out Jay's predictions (with analysis) to win the coveted trophy this season.
2012 BCS Championship Predictions - College football handicapper Jay Horne gives his picks on who he thinks will win the 2012 Bowl Championship Series (BCS) National Championship.
Intertops - Boasts the highest credit card acceptance rate on the internet! You also get a free $20 bet on your first deposit and their loyalty program is AWESOME as it gives you continuous bonuses as your betting handle reaches certain levels!
5Dimes - 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Reduced juice betting odds! Buy up to 15 points! Most props on the web!
SBG Global - Best parlay odds in the industry! Get paid 12-1 on 4-team parlays!
Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - Andrew Luck, Landry Jones, LaMichael James or ? You make the call!
Odds to Win the 2012 BCS Championship - The Oklahoma Sooners are favored to win at 4.5 to 1 but will get a run from Bama (+550), LSU (+1200) and Oregon (+1400). Check out your school's odds here!
Heisman Trophy Winners - A full list of college football quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers who have made history on the field and won the prestigious award.
The Spread - Offers scores, odds, free game predictions, current news and more!
