North Carolina State Wolfpack (4-2 SU, 5-1 ATS) vs. No. 7 Louisville Cardinals (5-1 SU, 3-2-1 ATS)
College Football Week 8
Date/Time: Saturday, October 22nd, 12:00PM (EST)
Where: Papa John’s Cardinal Stadium Louisville, K.Y.
by Jay, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: NCSU +18.5/LOU -18.5
Over/Under Total: TBA
One of the most interesting matchups in the ACC this Saturday will feature a showdown between the North Carolina State Wolfpack and the no. 7 Louisville Cardinals. The Cardinals are among the nation’s top ranked 1 loss teams are attempting to fight their way back into the playoff picture following their loss to Clemson a few weeks ago. Louisville returned to action last Saturday for the first time since that road loss to Clemson in what turned out to be a rather unimpressive performance in a 24-14 win over Duke. The Cardinals will attempt to find their early season momentum this Saturday against a much more difficult opponent in North Carolina State.
Despite the fact this Saturday’s game will feature conference opponents, this will be just the 7th meeting all-time featuring the Wolfpack and Cardinals. Louisville leads the all-time mark at 5-1 and has won every game played in the regular season. The Wolfpacks’ only victory over Louisville was their 2011 Belk Bowl victory played in Charlotte. This week North Carolina State attempts to do something that they could not do last week by upsetting a top 10 opponent. In fact “could not do” may not be the best choice of words because the Wolfpack had every opportunity to take down Clemson last week. They missed 3 field goals including a mere 33 yard chip shot from the middle of the field on the last play in regulation to win the game. Therefore, North Carolina State is definitely capable of upsetting a top ACC opponent they just have to make the plays to do it.
Hopefully for North Carolina State, this game does not come down to a kicking contest this Saturday. The Wolfpack have proven to be a solid contender. They beat Notre Dame in the trenches in a Hurricane and they stopped one of the nation’s best offenses last week in Clemson holding the Tigers to just 17 points in regulation. This week that same North Carolina State defense must prove that they can stop one of the best players in the nation in Cardinals quarterback Lamar Jackson. Even with last week’s mediocre offensive performance by the Cardinals, Jackson still proved that he is perhaps the best player in the nation. The Cardinals sophomore quarterback ran for 144 yards and a touchdown while throwing for another 181 yards with a touchdown. On the season, that puts his totals at 1,806 passing yards with 15 scores and 4 picks to go along with 832 yards with 15 touchdowns on the ground.
Therefore stopping Lamar Jackson is principle number 1 for any defense that goes against Louisville. For North Carolina State, they will have to play better defensively this week than they did against Clemson. Despite holding the Tigers to just 17 points in regulation, Deshaun Watson still threw for nearly 400 yards passing with 2 scores and rushed for another 35 yards and a touchdown. Watson is probably the nation’s next best dual threat compared to Jackson and some may even argue Watson is the better of the two especially in the passing department. Despite the yardage last week, Clemson made several self-inflicted mistakes that kept them out of the end zone. The Wolfpack cannot expect the same favors from Louisville on Saturday.
North Carolina State needs that defensive effort because they cannot afford to get into a scoring shootout with Louisville. They simply do not have enough firepower. However, running back Matthew Dayes is a guy that could give this Cardinals defense a lot of trouble. He was excellent against Clemson between the tackles and he is averaging nearly 6 yards per carry on the season. If Dayes can have another stellar performance, it could help this Wolfpack offense out tremendously also keeping Louisville’s offense on the sidelines. The offense still needs to get some help from Ryan Finley in the passing game but Dayes will be the key towards North Carolina State’s chances this weekend. If he has a big game, this could be closer than most expect.
Jay's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: I expect another big outing from Dayes against this Louisville defense and this game stays close as a result. Take NC State +18.5
Insert this game into a GIANT teaser at an online bookie that offers 19 point NFL teasers and 20 point college football teasers! ---> 5Dimes
Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!
Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.
Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.
College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.
Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.
Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.
2016/2017 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2017 National Championship game at Raymond James Stadium on January 9th.
2016 Heisman Trophy Predictions - DeShaun Watson is favored to win the award at +575 with Stanford RB Christian McCaffrey (+575) and LSU RB Leonard Fournette (+850) close behind. However, the real value may be with Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman at 40/1.
2016-2017 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the National Championship as a 4-horse race which includes Bama at +665, Clemson +725, LSU +900 and Ohio State +1075. Teams on teh bubble include Oklahoma at +1200, Michigan +1300 and FSU at +1350. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!
MyBookie - Get a HUGE 50% bonus (up to $1000 FREE!) after making an initial deposit of $100 or more! Great at getting Visa cards to work for deposits.
Bovada - Boasts the highest credit card acceptance rate on the internet! HUGE menu of wagers for you to choose from! One of few online sportsbooks to offer Texas Hold'em! 50% bonus up to $250 in free cash!
5Dimes - 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Reduced juice betting odds! Buy up to 15 points! Most props on the web!
Bookmaker - Offers a HUGE 50% sign up bonus up to $300! Enjoy LIVE college football betting where you can jump into the action at any time during the game and place a bet! This gives you a huge advantage!
Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - Clemson QB DeShaun Watson will have the ball in his hands a TON and he plays on a good team so he's the obvious favorite to win the award this year at +575. Leonard Fournette at 8.5/1 looks like he could play in the NFL right now. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. It's unlikely to happen as offensive players usually win this honor, but Michigan DB Jabrill Peppers (75-1) and Texas AM DT Myles Garret (110-1) could be in the running as well. It might be a good year to bet more than one prediction!
Odds to Win the 2016 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are favored to be repeat winners of the National Championship this year at +700 followed by Ohio St. at +750 and Clemson at +800. Things drop off a bit with the Michigan Wolverines, LSU Tigers and Oklahoma Sooners all coming in at +1200. Check out your favorite school's odds here!