Nebraska Cornhuskers (9-2 SU, 6-3 ATS) vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (7-4 SU, 5-6 ATS)
College Football Week 13
Date/Time:Friday, November 25, 2016 – 3:30 PM EDT
Where: Kinnick Stadium - Iowa City, Iowa
TV: Big Ten Network
by KEITH, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: NEB +3/IOWA -3
Over/Under Total: OFF
The Iowa Hawkeyes (7-4) will take on the hosting annual duties for the renewal of an annual rivalry game with fellow Big Ten constituent Nebraska Cornhuskers at Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City, Iowa. For both Nebraska and Iowa there are many implications on the line. The game is set to take place on Friday, November 25th or as we know it “Black Friday”. The game will be televised on the Big Ten Network with a scheduled kick-off of 3:30 PM ET. The last meeting between both teams was in 2015 which resulted in a 28-20 Hawkeyes victory at Memorial Stadium in Lincoln, Nebraska.
This rivalry is every essence of the word. The pooch has been 3-1 against the spread in the previous four matches and the away team has won last four contests in this rivalry. Expect the unexpected that is a safe mantra that could be used to describe this feud between two Midwestern powers. Regardless of Nebraska’s mark, they are just 2-2 on the road this year while the Hawkeyes now sit at 3-3 at home in Kinnick Stadium.
The Cornhuskers have now won their last two overall after being smoked by Ohio State 62-3, three weeks ago in Columbus. The Huskers have certainly had some close calls this year in terms of losses and many can argue that the Cornhuskers are a farce of 9-2 team. Nevertheless, the fact remains that Nebraska has an outside chance of winning the Big Ten West if they win and get a little help from their friends. If were Minnesota were to come out on top against Wisconsin in the Battle of Paul Bunyan’s Axe, Nebraska would clinch the division with a win and face either Penn State, Michigan or Ohio State yet again in the Big Ten Championship.
The Hawkeyes come in rolling at 7-4, as seemingly the home win over the Wolverines has not procured any form of complacency or resting upon laurels with the Black and Yellow. The Hawkeyes have now ascended to 3-3 at home this season after they creamed the Fighting Illini of Illinois 28-0 at home, last Saturday in a shutout victory. While Iowa will not be playing for the conference hardware this year, they will still have a say in who represents the division with Saturday’s contest on the way.
From the numbers so far, it seems that early action on the Hawkeyes have raised the amount of points spotted to Nebraska. The Huskers can now take back half of a point more as a road dog. Given the records of both teams, this may be a deceptively tasty play. However, we have reasons to believe otherwise. The Hawkeyes may in fact be the target of sharps moving in on what may be perceived as a value play on the home favorite as opposed to playing on the Cornhuskers against the spread as a road dog which in itself may seem too good to be true given the ranking of both outfits. Why are they moving so quickly? Home field advantage is the likely answer. Nebraska has suffered both their defeats on the road and then of course there was the Michigan victory in Iowa City. Previous to their two game road skid, the Cornhuskers managed to slither by Indiana by a score of 27-22, reflecting a team that can find itself in a pickle when it doesn’t have home cooking. It is safe to assume that no concessions will be made here to the Cornhuskers. Iowa’s Kinnick Stadium is one of the most hostile places to play in the country. Even an undefeated and heavily favored Michigan Wolverines team could not escape Iowa City. The environment will be raucous and the Hawkeyes will enter this match-up care-free seeking a rivalry win that is simply for bragging rights. On the contrary, the Huskers may enter this game skittish with what may potentially up for grabs. As a result, this opens the door for us to snag Iowa at a great price as the market assessment of this team is low at the current moment even with some impressive wins to their credit.
KEITH’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: IOWA -3
Bet your pick at a quality sportsbook that offers new clients up to $250 FREE and best of all you can get all set up in minutes using your credit card >>> Bovada.
Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!
Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.
Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.
College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.
Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.
Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.
2016/2017 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2017 National Championship game at Raymond James Stadium on January 9th.
2016 Heisman Trophy Predictions - DeShaun Watson is favored to win the award at +575 with Stanford RB Christian McCaffrey (+575) and LSU RB Leonard Fournette (+850) close behind. However, the real value may be with Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman at 40/1.
2016-2017 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the National Championship as a 4-horse race which includes Bama at +665, Clemson +725, LSU +900 and Ohio State +1075. Teams on teh bubble include Oklahoma at +1200, Michigan +1300 and FSU at +1350. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!
MyBookie - Get a HUGE 50% bonus (up to $1000 FREE!) after making an initial deposit of $100 or more! Great at getting Visa cards to work for deposits.
Bovada - Boasts the highest credit card acceptance rate on the internet! HUGE menu of wagers for you to choose from! One of few online sportsbooks to offer Texas Hold'em! 50% bonus up to $250 in free cash!
5Dimes - 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Reduced juice betting odds! Buy up to 15 points! Most props on the web!
Bookmaker - Offers a HUGE 50% sign up bonus up to $300! Enjoy LIVE college football betting where you can jump into the action at any time during the game and place a bet! This gives you a huge advantage!
Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - Clemson QB DeShaun Watson will have the ball in his hands a TON and he plays on a good team so he's the obvious favorite to win the award this year at +575. Leonard Fournette at 8.5/1 looks like he could play in the NFL right now. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. It's unlikely to happen as offensive players usually win this honor, but Michigan DB Jabrill Peppers (75-1) and Texas AM DT Myles Garret (110-1) could be in the running as well. It might be a good year to bet more than one prediction!
Odds to Win the 2016 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are favored to be repeat winners of the National Championship this year at +700 followed by Ohio St. at +750 and Clemson at +800. Things drop off a bit with the Michigan Wolverines, LSU Tigers and Oklahoma Sooners all coming in at +1200. Check out your favorite school's odds here!