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Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Oregon Ducks Pick ATS

Nebraska Cornhuskers (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) vs. Oregon Ducks (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)
College Football Week  2
Date and Time: September 9, 2017 3:30pm EST
Where:  Autzen Stadium
TV: Fox
by Jerbeek, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: Neb +14/Ore -14
Over/Under Total: 69.5

The Cornhuskers and Ducks will go at it again in Eugene, Oregon this year after Nebraska squeaked out a 35-32 win over Oregon last year in Lincoln.  Nebraska is coming off a close win last week against Arkansas State where they had to hold off the Red Wolves on the games final play to preserve a 43-36 victory as a 14 point favorite.  Oregon is coming off a thrashing of Southern Utah, winning 77-21 as 31 point favorites.

The Cornhuskers are led by 3rd year coach Mike Riley who is no stranger to the Ducks after his many years at Oregon State.  Nebraska has a new Defensive Coordinator this year in Bob Diaco who was the former UConn head coach and former Defensive Coordinator at Notre Dame.  Diaco has implemented a new scheme as the Huskers are changing from a 4-3 defense to a 3-4 defense.  The Ducks are led by 1st year coach Willie Taggart who was hired after a disappointing 4-8 season in 2016.

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On offense, Oregon appears to have another explosive version as they amassed 703 yards with an average of 8.9 yards per play last week.  They showed good balance with 348 yards rushing, led by Royce Freeman’s 150 yards and 355 yards passing.  QB Justin Herbert was very accurate completing 81% of his throws.  Nebraska also had a balanced attack led by Tulane transfer Tanner Lee who threw for 248 yards.  The Cornhuskers also ran for 225 yards led by Sophomore RB Tre Bryant.  The Cornhuskers averaged 6.6 yards per play.

The question marks arise on defense as the new ‘bend but don’t break” defensive scheme for Nebraska struggled a bit last week against Arkansas State as the Blackshirts gave up 497 yards and really struggled to stop the short passing game.  Nebraska gave up an average of 5.6 yards per play.  Oregon was pretty stingy on defense last week giving up only 4.2 yards per play and were especially tough against the run as they only allowed 2.6 yards per rush but I think Nebraska will give them a bit more of a challenge.

Special teams was also big in the game last week for Nebraska in both a good and bad way.  The Huskers gave up a punt return for a Touchdown but then on the ensuing kickoff, Redshirt Freshman J.D Spielman returned the kickoff for a 99 yard touchdown on his first touch as a collegiate player.  Nebraska has a solid kicking game with punter Caleb Lightbourne and potential All-America placekicker Drew Brown.  Oregon also has a solid kicking game with placekicker Erick Powell and punter Brian Sweet.

 Nebraska’s defense has taken a lot of heat from the media with their performance from last week but many people feel that they may have been holding back a bit for this week.  Nebraska will need to find more pressure and I think they will be much more active with blitzing then they were in week 1.  The key to this game will be the Oregon offense vs the Nebraska defense.  If Nebraska plays a soft zone like last week it may turn into a track meet for the Oregon Offense; however, I think the Blackshirts will show up and play much more inspired this week for Nebraska.

 Jerbeek's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: I am going to go with the generous 14 points in this game.  The advance line on this game was Oregon -6 but it shot up after the disappointing week 1 performance by the Nebraska defense.  I always like to grab double digit points when you have a dog that has a good offense.  I think that the Nebraska offense will score 30+ points in this game and I look for a similar type score to last year but with Oregon prevailing by a field goal.  Let’s go with a score reversal from last year and say Oregon 35 Nebraska 32 meaning you should bet the Cornhuskers +14.

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NCAA Football Week 13 Betting Previews

Here are some additional game previews with against the spread predictions.

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Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

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College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

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Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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