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North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Pittsburgh Panthers Odds - Free Pick

North Carolina Tar Heels (1-8 SU, 2-7 ATS) vs. Pittsburgh Panthers (4-5 SU, 3-4 ATS)
College Football Week 11
Date and Time: Thursday, November 9th, 2017 – 7:30 PM ET
Where: Heinz Field – Pittsburgh, PA
TV: ESPN
by Keith F., Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: UNC +9/PITT -9
Over/Under Total: 53

The ACC will come to Thursday Night Primetime when the North Carolina Tar Heels square off with the Pittsburgh Panthers at Heinz Field in the Steel City on Thursday, November 9th, 2017 at 7:30 PM ET. The contest will be aired for national audiences on ESPN despite lacking appeal due to the maligned records of both teams. The Tar Heels own the most recent win in this series in 2016 which was nothing short of an absolute thriller. Carolina Blue edged out the Pitt Gold and Navy in a 37-36 dogfight in Chapel Hill, last September. Overall the Heels have won the last four meetings between both parties. Outside of their recent dominance there are no other noteworthy trends worth reporting in the spectrum of head to head contests between both sides.

The Tar Heels have been a less than attractive option this season be that they come in off a six-game losing streak and own just one win overall this season. This is a far cry from the team we saw the take the field in the Chick-Fil-A Classic Game against Georgia in 2016 where there were whispers of the Tar Heels being a dark horse for the conference championship. Let’s not forget North Carolina has been to the big dance and faced Clemson in the ACC Championship Game not too long ago. Now, with an outflux of some of the premier talent the Tar Heels have crashed and burned in 2017. In their most recent outing, the Tar Heels looked far better than their record revealed as they hung with the currently undefeated Miami Hurricanes as a 21-point dog in a 24-19 final. With a bye to week to reassess where they stand, the Tar Heels could set themselves up here to finish strong down the backstretch.

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The Panthers enter this affair on a similar notion to the Tar Heels. Pittsburgh has taken a step back from where it was in 2016 when it took down not one but two conference champions, including the eventual national champion Clemson. Pittsburgh featured one of the most underrated yet inspirational players in college football with James Conner lining up at running back. Conner and NFL prospect Nate Peterman have both left the Steel City and like UNC, Pitt is trying to re-define itself as it moves forward with its talent upping sticks. Like the Tar Heels, Pitt also comes into this contest off a bye. The Panthers have won their last two outings overall as they took down both Duke and Virginia in back-to-back games.

Out of the gate we have seen a huge lean on the Panthers and thus the price has risen by 1.5 points from the off of this market. The opening number is something that normally would resonate with us be that it is a notorious favorite number. The Panthers opened as a 7.5-point choice and traditionally that would garner a selection on their behalf. However, we have seen a huge reaction from the public follow suit. The fact remains no one is going to want a piece of North Carolina given their grisly record against the spread and straight up this season. While the wins and losses are difficult to extrapolate, a market correction is due in order for this team be that they have actually be severely overvalued against their poor performance portfolio. In Over/Under markets, we have seen the number diminish by two points to its current position, reflecting action on the Under.

If there is anything that North Carolina could take away from what transpired against Miami, it is that they can hang with one of the best teams in America. Though they lost the contest, it is in fact a moral victory for the Heels. North Carolina will enter this contest with nothing to lose. Pittsburgh is likely laying a number that is has no business spotting. After all the figure is designed more for punters to actually have a look at UNC. For those inclined to hop aboard, this offers tremendous value by virtue of the fact a likely overlay is taking shape.

Keith’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: NORTH CAROLINA +9. - Bet your pick for this game using your credit card at an online bookie where it WILL work for deposits and where you'll receive a generous 50% signup bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $250! (Example: Deposit $250 and they'll give you an extra $250 FREE!) Find this great offer at Bovada Sportsbook.

NCAA Football Week 12 Betting Previews

Here are some additional game previews with against the spread predictions.

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!

Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

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Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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