Northwestern Wildcats (5-4)(2-6ATS) v. No. 4 Iowa Hawkeyes (9-0)(6-2ATS) Saturday, Nov. 7, 12pm ET, Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City, ESPN
by Evergreen of Predictem.com
Point Spread: Northwestern +16.5/Iowa -16.5
Over/Under Total: 44.5
Bet this game at an online bookie that offers a free half point one day a week and reduced juice -105 betting on another day! Find this and huge bonus opportunities at Sportbet.
The march to a potential BCS title game for the Iowa Hawkeyes continues this week when they welcome the Northwesten Wildcats into Iowa City for a week 10 tilt. It hasn’t been an easy path to 9-0 for the Hawkeyes as they have pulled several wins out of the fire and they now battle another injury in their already short backfield with the loss of Adam Robinson. The Wildcats are looking not only to play spoiler this weekend but at 5-4, they need some wins to ensure a bowl berth. The game kicks as part of the 12pm ET wave and will be aired on ESPN.
Iowa opened up the week as 16.5 point favorites with the over/under at 44.5 and neither number has changed much, but a half point either way is available depending on your online sportsbook of choice. The under is 4-0 in the last four meetings between these schools and 7-1 in the last 8 Northwestern road contests. The Hawkeyes are on the money line at -700 to -750 with the Wildcats in the +550 to +575 range.
Northwestern took one on the chin last week against Penn State, losing by a 34-13 margin and losing starting quarterback Mike Kafka to a leg injury in the process. Kafka may return as early as Saturday, but the loss pushed the Wildcats to 7th in the Big Ten at 2-3. Northwestern had been riding high after a 29-28 win against Indiana the week prior in which they trailed 28-3 at one point. NU has played well as the road dog, going 6-0 against the spread in such games, but do not fare well on grass, accumulating a 1-5 ATS mark in their last six off turf.
Iowa is coming off its latest Houdini act of the season, beating Indiana 42-24 after trailing 24-14 in the third quarter. The last three weeks have seen the Hawkeyes pull out a win after trailing in each game, including a last second touchdown against Michigan State. A win is ultimately a win and Iowa is all the way up to No. 4 in the BCS rankings while 8th in the AP Top-25. The Hawkeyes have been solid against conference opponents, winning 5 of the last 6 against the spread versus the Big Ten and have an 8-2 ATS record in their last 10 overall.
The last meeting between these schools saw Northwestern pull out a 22-17 win last September and the Wildcats have won three of the last four games from 2005-2008. Iowa won in 2007 by a 28-17 margin and the underdog is 4-0 against the spread over that span.
Offensively, the Wildcats are a pretty good unit, especially through the air where they average 268 yards per game, good for 24th in the NCAA. The running backs aren’t going to scare anyone, but QB scrambles are a big part of the 121 rush yards per contest and Northwestern converts to the tune of 25.7 points per game. The defense is average, but solid, allowing 349 total yards and 24.8 points per game on average and is best at stopping the run, allowing just 122 yards to the opponent ground game.
Mike Kafka does it all for Northwestern, passing for 2,195 yards and adding another 248 on the ground and has accounted for 15 total scores. Kafka’s leg injury is supposedly minor, but if he cannot go this weekend, Dan Persa will take the snaps. Persa played well in relief last week, and is 15 for 25 on the year for 187 yards with one TD and one pick. He does provide a similar rush threat to that of Kafka with 77 yards in limited action. Zeke Markshausen and Andrew Brewer are the playmakers, with the duo combining for 104 catches and nearly 1,200 yards to this point.
Along with Kafka (questionable), Northwestern is reporting DE Vince Brown, OL Mike Boyle and LB Bryce McNaul as questionable for this Saturday.
The Hawkeyes do not have the type of offense that you’d associate with an unbeaten team, ranking outside the top-45 in yards gained categories and 74th in points with 25.7 per game. The pass game has had to take over with so many injuries to the backs, and Iowa does throw it effectively, averaging 232 yards per game and has big play potential as well. The defense is the clear strength for Iowa; allowing only 297 total yards per contest and a 13th best 15.8 points per game.
Richard Stanzi is coming off a five interception game, but is the clear leader of the team and has played well throughout the year, throwing for 2,052 yards and 14 touchdowns to this point. Adam Robinson had played well while filling in for Jewel Hampton since week 1, but his loss to injury puts the weight on the shoulders of ,b>Brandon Wegher. Wegher does lead the Hawkeyes with six rushing scores and will likely see most of the carries from here on out. Derrell Johnson-Koulianos and Marvin McNutt are the definitions of a big play threat, with both averaging over 19.6 yards per catch. Tony Moeaki has been quiet since the early games, but remains a safe target for Stanzi at TE with 23 catches and four scores.
In addition to Robinson (out), Iowa lists WR Colin Sandeman as questionable and OL Dace Richardson as out for this weekend.
Evergreen’s Pick: You only have to look at the fingernails of Iowa fans to know that the Hawkeyes play in close games. They don’t score enough points to shake most teams early and the injury situation in the backfield won’t help. Iowa goes to 10-0, but take the Wildcats and the points with the final right in the 24-10 range.
Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!
Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.
Get tonight's college football winner
ABSOLUTELY FREE! Call Frank NOW to get the edge on your bookie!
Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.
Favorite of the Week Pick - Giving points means we start the game down. We're not a real big fan of betting college football favorites as it's similar to trading field goals for touchdowns but stick with us as we buck the odds each week, selecting the favored team with the best chance of covering the spread.
Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.
College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.
Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.
Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.
2015 College Football Predictions - Badger gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2016 National Championship game.
2015 Heisman Trophy Predictions - Trevone Boykin (TCU QB) is favored to win the award at 7.5-1 odds but Bob says this is a sucker bet! Dak Prescott should be a contender and ball carriers Ezekiel Elliott and Leonard Fournette look good as well!
2016 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football handicapper Bob gives his picks on who he thinks will win the 2016 National Championship. Despite not liking to side with heavy favorites, he believes the Alabama Crimson Tide (+950) are the team to beat.
MyBookie - Get a HUGE 50% bonus (up to $2000 FREE!) after making an initial deposit of $100 or more! Great at getting Visa cards to work for deposits.
Bovada - Boasts the highest credit card acceptance rate on the internet! HUGE menu of wagers for you to choose from! One of few online sportsbooks to offer Texas Hold'em! 50% bonus up to $250 in free cash!
5Dimes - 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Reduced juice betting odds! Buy up to 15 points! Most props on the web!
Bookmaker - Offers a HUGE 50% sign up bonus up to $300! Enjoy LIVE college football betting where you can jump into the action at any time during the game and place a bet! This gives you a huge advantage!
Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - Ezekiel Elliott starts the season as a 6/1 favorite to win the award. Those that have seen crafty LSU Soph. Leonard Fournette think he's a lock though. Trevone Boykin brings experience and plays on a high scoring team. Cardale Jones won the big game last year and is listed as 12-1. It might be a good year to bet more than one prediction!
Odds to Win the 2015 BCS Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are favored to be repeat winners of the National Championship this year at +500 followed by Oregon at +800, Ohio St. +850, LSU/Texas A&M +1200 and Florida/FSU both at +1400. Check out your school's odds here!
Heisman Trophy Winners - A full list of college football quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers who have made history on the field and won the prestigious award.
Fantasy College Football - Draft a fresh team every week! Leagues range from $2 to $420! You can play head to head or in big groups! Payouts take place approx. one hour after the final Saturday game.
The Spread - Who will cover the spread? They will! Offers scores, odds, free game predictions, current news and more!