Oklahoma Sooners (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) vs. Baylor Bears (7-0 SU, 6-1 ATS)
College Football Week 11
Date and Time: Thursday November 7, 2013 7:30pm EST
Where: Floyd Casey Stadium, Waco TX
TV: FOX Sports
by Tim, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: Okl. +14.5/Bay. -14.5
Over/Under Total: 74
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Wofford, Buffalo, UL-Monroe, West Virginia, Kansas State, Iowa State, Kansas…doesn’t exactly send shivers down one’s spine unless you’re Porky Pig U. But…one has to play >>>and destroy, whoever/whomever is on your schedule. Baylor lights it up—without a doubt---but the only CFB team on their schedule, thus far, is Kansas State where Baylor had to score 2 TD’s in the 4th quarter to win 35-25! And K-State is 4-4 overall and 2-3 in conference. The week before, Baylor smoked Kansas 59-14 but Kansas fell to Texas Tech 54-16 in early October! Baylor is averaging 69+ points per game but who have they beaten? UL-Monroe was shut out by Oklahoma in week number one 34-0. Baylor has stapled 70 or more points on 4 opponents and 69 on another. In 2011, Baylor posted two 50+ point games and two 60+ point games and were 10-3. In 2012, Baylor posted four 50+ point games and a 60+ point game and finished 8-5. Head Coach Art Briles LOVES to hammer teams with big numbers and so far, Art Briles is 40-30 as Head Coach at Baylor. Briles did the same thing when he was Head Coach at Houston (before coming to Baylor) and his record at Houston was 34-28! It should be an interesting game to say the least. Baylor will be playing only the 2nd Team bringing with them a winning record to the table at the opening kickoff (the other was UL-Monroe at 2-1). Let’s take a look at what makes these teams tick.
Baylor has the number 1 ranked offense in the country. Baylor also has the number 11 ranked defense in the country, 1 spot below number 10 Oklahoma. Oklahoma is 50th in total offense and 17th in rushing offense (Baylor is 7th). But the ‘Big Bama’ Jamma’ stat is…Oklahoma stands 9th in the country in passing yards allowed!! So the game plan for the Sooners will be: Defend the pass making Baylor run the ball and…run the clock. Who runs the ball at Baylor? Let’s find out.
What does Oregon have to do with Baylor football? Well, Lache (pronounced “Lake”…why they didn’t spell it that way is anyone’s guess?) Seastrunk leads Baylor in rushing this year with 869 yards on 91 carries. Seastrunk sets up the pass (and everything else at Baylor if you listen to him!) nicely and has sprinter’s speed along with around 500 pair of Air Jordan’s. Lache (pronounced “Lake”…why they didn’t spell it that way is anyone’s guess?) got his start at Oregon aided by a certain adult associate named Will Lyles who ended up receiving money from Oregon to the music of $25,000. Fast Forward: Chip Kelly rolls to Philly, Seastrunk checks out to Baylor, and Oregon gets sanctioned by the NCAA. The moral of the story? Baylor will not run the table because as the games get tougher and Baylor remains unbeaten, Seastrunk will come under increasing pressure to reveal EVERYTHING about his dealings with Lyles, the $25,000, and his return to Baylor (AND the almost 500 pairs of Air Jordan’s!!). Seastrunk is Reggie Bush all over again with one exception; Seastrunk is going to be asked to come clean before he is a 2-year NFL Vet. Baylor loses the moral high-ground necessary to run the table in the 2013 season. Will it happen this week? I don’t think Baylor will lose, but I do believe Oklahoma has the same type of athletes on the field to compete with Baylor. The coaches? Baylor Head Coach Art Briles is a John Jenkins prototype and might be getting a little too big for his britches. Oklahoma Head Coach Bob Stoops has won National Championships and has been on the hot-seat from Sooner supporters for not competing for National Titles every year. Stoops is a good guy and a hard worker. Briles runs the score up and flirts with self-serving arrogance---like Seastrunk---giving Baylor 2 strikes against themselves before any kickoff.
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Baylor is not going to blow Oklahoma out. The absolute WORST possible scenario for Baylor and any thoughts of covering in this game was erased in the Red River Rivalry October 12th. Oklahoma needs a big win and losing to Texas means Baylor better watch out! Oklahoma matches athletes and schemes very nicely with Baylor and I see 2 TD’s and a Hook a pretty easy cover for Oklahoma. EVERYTHING went wrong for Oklahoma when they played Texas and Texas had the athletes to compete with Oklahoma. Same scenario here…Briles gets his come-uppins and Seastrunk is stuck with almost 500 pairs of Air Jordan’s…and NO Heisman!
Tim’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Oklahoma Sooners +14.5
Game previews with betting forecasts are coming up.
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Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - Clemson QB DeShaun Watson will have the ball in his hands a TON and he plays on a good team so he's the obvious favorite to win the award this year at +575. Leonard Fournette at 8.5/1 looks like he could play in the NFL right now. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. It's unlikely to happen as offensive players usually win this honor, but Michigan DB Jabrill Peppers (75-1) and Texas AM DT Myles Garret (110-1) could be in the running as well. It might be a good year to bet more than one prediction!
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