Oklahoma State Cowboys (8-1 SU, 6-3 ATS) vs. Texas Longhorns (7-2 SU, 5-4 ATS)
College Football Week 12
Date and Time: Saturday November 16, 2013 3:30pm EST
Where: Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin TX
by Tim, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: OSU -3/TEX +3
Over/Under Total: 63.5
A conversation is overheard in a greasy-spoon somewhere in Texas by a man known as Earl Campbell (Heisman winner): “This here ain’t Texas Football! We need ta’ lose or I’ll look dang stupid!” Nothing could be truer Earl! The ‘Tyler Rose’ stepped on his dong announcing his dissatisfaction with Texas Head Coach Mack Brown. Brown was in deep trouble after losing 2 straight to BYU and Ole Miss and falling to 1-3 on the season. Since then, Mack has slammed the door shut on ALL of his detractors winning 6 straight including the Red River Rivalry with Oklahoma, and last week’s first ever OT game in Mack Brown’s Texas-history (16 years baby!) beating WVU in Morgantown 47-40. Campbell has shut his pie-hole and is nowhere to be seen nowadays---along with former player turned back-stabber Chris Simms---and their silence has been a welcomed respite for the marginally intelligent and casually informed. Texas Football is back and the team is primed and ready for a shootout with OK State near Lady Bird Lake in Austin…her name was Lady Bird??? OY!!
Oklahoma State is 8-1 with their only loss coming to…”You Guessed IT!!!”…Almost Heaven WVU in Morgantown; 30-21. The fact WVU could even field a team on September 28th is a miracle; Bow Season for Deer in the Coal Mining state started the same day! But “Them ‘Pokes but up a whale of a fight before falling to the Mountaineers” losing any chance at a perfect season for Oklahoma State. Oklahoma State is still a boiling cauldron of offense and tenacious defense coming at ya’ like a speeding Fire Truck with no brakes! Oklahoma State will be prepared to handle the hatred seeping from the Home-side grandstands of Darrel Royal-Memorial Stadium!
Oklahoma State is 3-2 Against the Spread in all Road Games this year and 4-1 Straight Up. Texas is 2-2 Against the Spread at Home and 3-1 Straight Up at Home in 2013. In Turf Games, Oklahoma State is 5-1 Straight Up and 4-2 Against the Spread while Texas is 4-1 Straight Up and 3-2 Against the Spread on the Turf! Interestingly enough, 71 Players on the Oklahoma State 2013 squad are from the State of Texas which might provide the necessary edge or motivation for the team to perform above their own personal abilities. OR, those 71 Texas bred Players might smear like mascara under a mid-July Austin Boiler! I believe those 71 ex-Pats of the Great State of Texas will be highly motivated to prove the U. of Texas Recruiting Coordinators wrong! We see it every year…Mid-American Conference Players playing Big Ten teams who spurned them…Mountain West Players playing PAC12 teams who ignored them…etc. etc. etc. Truly, the childhood dream of any Texas schoolboy is to play for the Longhorns…or A&M…and playing against a team that didn’t recruit them…or didn’t recruit them heavy enough, will provide a genuine spark for those perceiving a Longhorn snub. The athletes on both sidelines match up very well with, probably, an advantage to Oklahoma State in the “Glory” positions. Coaching? Mack Brown has pretty much done…and seen…it all! The only problem with Mack Brown is: “Mack tends to favor conservative ‘Protect the ball’ play offensively, and slips into a ‘Prevent Defense’ mode when points start rolling in”. Oklahoma State Head Coach Mike Gundy prefers to apply “Pressure, pressure, pressure…” at all costs throughout the entire game. Both teams are set and measured. Let’s see who might win this game between these 2 Top Tier schools!
Texas leads the series with Oklahoma State 23-4. Since both teams have been in the Big12, Texas is 14-3 when playing Oklahoma State. BUT…Oklahoma State has won the last 2 games with Texas in Austin by a combine 71-42 margin. Texas beat OK State in Stillwater last year 41-36 and Oklahoma State has scored 20 or more points in 48 straight games! This game is set to be a high flying affair…but covering 63 and a hook? I think the top end is entirely too high! OK State is 4-5 this year covering the OVER and Texas is at 5-4 covering the OVER. Oklahoma State has too many weapons here to lose and covering the spread in Austin is becoming a habit for the ‘Pokes. There is entirely too much pressure on the Longhorn program from certain Outsiders for Mack Brown to do anything like he did in the Red River Rivalry (play up-tempo ‘Fast and Furious’ in all aspects of the game!). Oklahoma State continues to dominate in Austin and Covers the Spread probably too easily!
Tim’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Oklahoma State Cowboys -3
Are you still betting with a corner bookie? Find out why online is the better choice by reading our piece titled Betting Online vs. The Corner Street Bookie.
Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!
Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.
Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.
College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.
Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.
Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.
2015 College Football Predictions - (2016 article coming soon!) Badger gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2016 National Championship game.
2016 Heisman Trophy Predictions - DeShaun Watson is favored to win the award at +575 with Stanford RB Christian McCaffrey (+575) and LSU RB Leonard Fournette (+850) close behind. However, the real value may be with Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman at 40/1.
2016 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football handicapper Bob gives his picks on who he thinks will win the 2016 National Championship. Despite not liking to side with heavy favorites, he believes the Alabama Crimson Tide (+950) are the team to beat.
MyBookie - Get a HUGE 50% bonus (up to $1000 FREE!) after making an initial deposit of $100 or more! Great at getting Visa cards to work for deposits.
Bovada - Boasts the highest credit card acceptance rate on the internet! HUGE menu of wagers for you to choose from! One of few online sportsbooks to offer Texas Hold'em! 50% bonus up to $250 in free cash!
5Dimes - 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Reduced juice betting odds! Buy up to 15 points! Most props on the web!
Bookmaker - Offers a HUGE 50% sign up bonus up to $300! Enjoy LIVE college football betting where you can jump into the action at any time during the game and place a bet! This gives you a huge advantage!
Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - Clemson QB DeShaun Watson will have the ball in his hands a TON and he plays on a good team so he's the obvious favorite to win the award this year at +575. Leonard Fournette at 8.5/1 looks like he could play in the NFL right now. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. It's unlikely to happen as offensive players usually win this honor, but Michigan DB Jabrill Peppers (75-1) and Texas A&M DT Myles Garret (110-1) could be in the running as well. It might be a good year to bet more than one prediction!
Odds to Win the 2016 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are favored to be repeat winners of the National Championship this year at +700 followed by Ohio St. at +750 and Clemson at +800. Things drop off a bit with the Michigan Wolverines, LSU Tigers and Oklahoma Sooners all coming in at +1200. Check out your favorite school's odds here!