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Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas Longhorns Point Spread - Pick

Oklahoma State Cowboys (8-1 SU, 6-3 ATS) vs. Texas Longhorns (7-2 SU, 5-4 ATS)
College Football Week 12
Date and Time: Saturday November 16, 2013 3:30pm EST
Where: Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin TX
TV: FOXS1
by Tim, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: OSU -3/TEX +3
Over/Under Total: 63.5

A conversation is overheard in a greasy-spoon somewhere in Texas by a man known as Earl Campbell (Heisman winner): “This here ain’t Texas Football! We need ta’ lose or I’ll look dang stupid!” Nothing could be truer Earl! The ‘Tyler Rose’ stepped on his dong announcing his dissatisfaction with Texas Head Coach Mack Brown. Brown was in deep trouble after losing 2 straight to BYU and Ole Miss and falling to 1-3 on the season. Since then, Mack has slammed the door shut on ALL of his detractors winning 6 straight including the Red River Rivalry with Oklahoma, and last week’s first ever OT game in Mack Brown’s Texas-history (16 years baby!) beating WVU in Morgantown 47-40. Campbell has shut his pie-hole and is nowhere to be seen nowadays---along with former player turned back-stabber Chris Simms---and their silence has been a welcomed respite for the marginally intelligent and casually informed. Texas Football is back and the team is primed and ready for a shootout with OK State near Lady Bird Lake in Austin…her name was Lady Bird??? OY!!

Oklahoma State is 8-1 with their only loss coming to…”You Guessed IT!!!”…Almost Heaven WVU in Morgantown; 30-21. The fact WVU could even field a team on September 28th is a miracle; Bow Season for Deer in the Coal Mining state started the same day! But “Them ‘Pokes but up a whale of a fight before falling to the Mountaineers” losing any chance at a perfect season for Oklahoma State. Oklahoma State is still a boiling cauldron of offense and tenacious defense coming at ya’ like a speeding Fire Truck with no brakes! Oklahoma State will be prepared to handle the hatred seeping from the Home-side grandstands of Darrel Royal-Memorial Stadium!

Oklahoma State is 3-2 Against the Spread in all Road Games this year and 4-1 Straight Up. Texas is 2-2 Against the Spread at Home and 3-1 Straight Up at Home in 2013. In Turf Games, Oklahoma State is 5-1 Straight Up and 4-2 Against the Spread while Texas is 4-1 Straight Up and 3-2 Against the Spread on the Turf! Interestingly enough, 71 Players on the Oklahoma State 2013 squad are from the State of Texas which might provide the necessary edge or motivation for the team to perform above their own personal abilities. OR, those 71 Texas bred Players might smear like mascara under a mid-July Austin Boiler! I believe those 71 ex-Pats of the Great State of Texas will be highly motivated to prove the U. of Texas Recruiting Coordinators wrong! We see it every year…Mid-American Conference Players playing Big Ten teams who spurned them…Mountain West Players playing PAC12 teams who ignored them…etc. etc. etc. Truly, the childhood dream of any Texas schoolboy is to play for the Longhorns…or A&M…and playing against a team that didn’t recruit them…or didn’t recruit them heavy enough, will provide a genuine spark for those perceiving a Longhorn snub. The athletes on both sidelines match up very well with, probably, an advantage to Oklahoma State in the “Glory” positions. Coaching? Mack Brown has pretty much done…and seen…it all! The only problem with Mack Brown is: “Mack tends to favor conservative ‘Protect the ball’ play offensively, and slips into a ‘Prevent Defense’ mode when points start rolling in”. Oklahoma State Head Coach Mike Gundy prefers to apply “Pressure, pressure, pressure…” at all costs throughout the entire game. Both teams are set and measured. Let’s see who might win this game between these 2 Top Tier schools!

Texas leads the series with Oklahoma State 23-4. Since both teams have been in the Big12, Texas is 14-3 when playing Oklahoma State. BUT…Oklahoma State has won the last 2 games with Texas in Austin by a combine 71-42 margin. Texas beat OK State in Stillwater last year 41-36 and Oklahoma State has scored 20 or more points in 48 straight games! This game is set to be a high flying affair…but covering 63 and a hook? I think the top end is entirely too high! OK State is 4-5 this year covering the OVER and Texas is at 5-4 covering the OVER. Oklahoma State has too many weapons here to lose and covering the spread in Austin is becoming a habit for the ‘Pokes. There is entirely too much pressure on the Longhorn program from certain Outsiders for Mack Brown to do anything like he did in the Red River Rivalry (play up-tempo ‘Fast and Furious’ in all aspects of the game!). Oklahoma State continues to dominate in Austin and Covers the Spread probably too easily!

Tim’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Oklahoma State Cowboys -3

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