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Oklahoma Sooners vs. TCU Horned Frogs Odds - Prediction

Oklahoma Sooners (1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS) vs. TCU Horned Frogs (3-1 SU, 1-3 ATS)
College Football Week 5
Date/Time: Saturday, October 1st, 5:00pm EST
Where: Amon G Carter Stadium – Fort Worth, TX
TV:FOX
by Bob, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: OKL -3 / TCU +3
Over/Under Total: OFF

This Saturday afternoon we have a great Big 12 showdown between the Oklahoma Sooners and the TCU Horned Frogs. Coming into 2016, both teams had high hopes. Oklahoma was hoping to get themselves back into the College Football Playoff, while TCU was primed to make a run at the Big 12 title and then who knows what else. Well, Oklahoma has started 2016 with major disappointment. They lost their season opener to Houston then two weeks later got beat by a very good Ohio State team. It is not like Oklahoma is losing to bad teams, but if you were a Final Four team, you find a way to win at least one of those games. TCU just like Oklahoma had high hopes for 2016. TCU sits at 2-1 overall after losing to Arkansas a couple of weeks ago in what was a great game. TCU still has a great shot to win the Big 12, but this game against the Sooners is huge. Oklahoma has already kissed their national title hopes goodbye, but they could still potentially win the conference but if they plan to do that, this game is a must.

The spread in this one has TCU as a three point home underdog to the Sooners. The total points line has yet to be posted. As of Tuesday morning, much of the action was on the Sooners to get the road cover over TCU. 61% of the action was on Oklahoma and it has caused the line to shift a half point to even a whole point in some books.

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TCU has played well this season. They had a tough loss to the Arkansas Razorbacks but other than slip up, they have been rather dominant. The Frogs average 380 passing yards a game (6th in the nation) and another 196 yards on the ground per contest (50th in the nation). This team can and will score points. On the defensive side of the ball, TCU is not awful, just not stellar. Averaging 26.3 points per game given up ranks them right around the middle of FBS teams, but they also boast the 18th best scoring offense to help balance this out. The key to this game for TCU is to pressure Baker Mayfield, the Oklahoma quarterback. This can only be done one way though and that is stop the run game and make the Sooners throw the ball. If Samje Perrine gets rolling and the Sooners get the playaction working which would keep the TCU defense on their heels, then Oklahoma would control the tempo of the game and this would be a huge disadvantage for TCU.

Oklahoma is hungry. They are off to the worst start possible and a third loss in just four games would ruin what was supposed to be a great season. Yes, like I said earlier, Oklahoma lost to two great teams, but they themselves were supposed to be great. This is a game that Oklahoma MUST win. They are on the road, in conference, against a team that could win the Big 12 title. The key is to slow down TCU’s offense. Again, going back to the tempo and ball control, this is what Oklahoma must do. They do not want to get into a shootout with TCU…they simply would not win. They need to be a grind it out game. Long scoring drives, no turnovers, and slow down TCU. If Oklahoma can keep this game in the low 20s, then I think they have a shot to win. If TCU gets in the mid 30s or so…night night and Oklahoma goes home 1-3.

This is really a tough game to pick. It really is. I think TCU is just as if not more talented than Oklahoma. I also like the home field advantage that TCU will have on Saturday. The spread is a little suspect and I think it is a trap. I believe the books want the money on TCU. I could be wrong because I am from time to time (aka – often) but this season, you can look back at my picks and I have done quite well in both NFL and NCAA football. I am going on a limb and say that Oklahoma wins this game and wins it rather easily. They are hungry. They are angry. And they are due to play a great game. Oklahoma will take down TCU 28-23.

Bob’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Take Oklahoma minus the points!

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NCAA Football Week 13 Betting Previews

Here are some additional game previews with against the spread predictions.

Free Picks

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Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

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College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

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Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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