Ole Miss Rebels (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS) vs. No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (4-0 SU, 2-2 ATS)
College Football Week 5
Date/Time: Saturday September 29th, 2012. 9:15PM Eastern
Where: Bryant Denny Stadium Tuscaloosa, A.L.
by Jay, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: Miss +31/Bama -31
Over/Under Total: 54.5
Bet the Mississippi/Alabama game using your Visa card at an online sportsbook where it WILL work and that offers a generous 50% signup bonus: GTBets.
The Alabama Crimson Tide will put their number 1 ranking on the line this week when the Ole Miss Rebels visit Tuscaloosa for a late night SEC West battle. The Crimson Tide has been nothing short of dominant through their first 4 games this season outscoring opponents 168-21. In fact, the Crimson Tide defense just nearly posted their 3rd straight shutout of the year last week but allowed a late 4th quarter touchdown in their 40-7 victory over Florida Atlantic. Still, this Alabama team is worthy of all the National Championship talk they have been receiving because they have played at a level like no other so far this season.
The visiting 3-1 Rebels have already captured more wins in September than they did all of 2011. The Ole Miss offense has been impressive against inferior opponents racking up 488 yards per game. The Rebels also currently lead the SEC averaging 259 yards per game on the ground. However, those numbers may be a bit inflated due to the level of competition the Rebels have faced so far this year. Ole Miss was pounded by Texas two weeks ago 66-31 in their lone loss of the year. The Rebels defense gave up 676 total yards in that game and QB Bo Wallace tossed 3 interceptions to make matters even worse. It was the type of defeat you would expect Ole Miss to suffer looking at last year's 2-10 record and trend of blowout defeats. However, Ole Miss has played some solid football through their first 4 games. This week we look to find out if the Rebels are indeed an improved conference foe or if they will remain in the basement of the SEC West.
For the Rebels to keep this game close, QB Bo Wallace must play extremely well against that dynamic Alabama defense that has given up just 185 yards per game (3rd in FBS). The Rebels strong running game with running back Jeff Scott will be challenged by a superior defensive front. Therefore, Wallace must spread the ball around and hit some passes to move the football. Wallace has completed 64% passing for 717 yards with 7 scores and 4 picks on the season. However as previously mentioned, he tossed 3 picks against a rather talented Texas defense in the blowout loss to the Longhorns. Therefore, keep an eye on Wallace to see if he can stay poised against the Alabama pass rush and get the ball in the hands of star wide receiver Donte Moncrief.
QUIT WASTING MONEY! STOP BETTING AT -110 ODDS; START BETTING AT -105 REDUCED VIG AT 5DIMES
Another big question mark surrounds the Ole Miss defense and their ability to compete against an extremely physical Alabama football team. The Rebels defense gave up 350 rushing yards against the Longhorns and big plays in the passing game. As most of us know, Alabama will simply pound the football on the ground all game until defenses finally wear down. Coach Nick Saban has done a good job of splitting carries between talented tailbacks T.J Yeldon and Eddie Lacy to keep fresh legs on the field. As a team, the Crimson Tide average 5 yards per carry and over 200 yards per game on the ground which is simply outstanding. So far this year, Ole Miss has struggled to stop the run on several occasions. If the Ole Miss defense is not up to the challenge this Saturday night, the Crimson Tide's running backs will be ready to run wild.
Alabama is currently laying 31 points at home against Ole Miss this Saturday night which is extremely high for any SEC conference football game. However that fact has not impacted bettors as Alabama has received 75% of early betting action. Neither team has been impressive ATS in recent activity. Ole Miss is just 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games on the road while Alabama is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games at home. However, the Rebels have put together a 5-2 mark ATS in their last 7 games against the Crimson Tide.
Jay's Pick to Cover the Point Spread:I think this Ole Miss team may be a bit better than people are giving them credit. Texas played a terrific game against Ole Miss but that does not mean things will be as easy for an even better Alabama squad. I like the Rebels +31.
Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!
Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.
College Football Pointspread Winners ABSOLUTELY FREE 1-877-768-2925 Call PlaybyPlay Sports Now!
Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.
Favorite of the Week Pick - Giving points means we start the game down. We're not a real big fan of betting college football favorites as it's similar to trading field goals for touchdowns but stick with us as we buck the odds each week, selecting the favored team with the best chance of covering the spread.
Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.
College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.
Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.
Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.
2015 College Football Predictions - Badger gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2016 National Championship game.
2015 Heisman Trophy Predictions - Trevone Boykin (TCU QB) is favored to win the award at 7.5-1 odds but Bob says this is a sucker bet! Dak Prescott should be a contender and ball carriers Ezekiel Elliott and Leonard Fournette look good as well!
2016 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football handicapper Bob gives his picks on who he thinks will win the 2016 National Championship. Despite not liking to side with heavy favorites, he believes the Alabama Crimson Tide (+950) are the team to beat.
MyBookie - Get a HUGE 50% bonus (up to $2000 FREE!) after making an initial deposit of $100 or more! Great at getting Visa cards to work for deposits.
Bovada - Boasts the highest credit card acceptance rate on the internet! HUGE menu of wagers for you to choose from! One of few online sportsbooks to offer Texas Hold'em! 50% bonus up to $250 in free cash!
5Dimes - 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Reduced juice betting odds! Buy up to 15 points! Most props on the web!
Bookmaker - Offers a HUGE 50% sign up bonus up to $300! Enjoy LIVE college football betting where you can jump into the action at any time during the game and place a bet! This gives you a huge advantage!
Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - Ezekiel Elliott starts the season as a 6/1 favorite to win the award. Those that have seen crafty LSU Soph. Leonard Fournette think he's a lock though. Trevone Boykin brings experience and plays on a high scoring team. Cardale Jones won the big game last year and is listed as 12-1. It might be a good year to bet more than one prediction!
Odds to Win the 2015 BCS Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are favored to be repeat winners of the National Championship this year at +500 followed by Oregon at +800, Ohio St. +850, LSU/Texas A&M +1200 and Florida/FSU both at +1400. Check out your school's odds here!
Heisman Trophy Winners - A full list of college football quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers who have made history on the field and won the prestigious award.
Fantasy College Football - Draft a fresh team every week! Leagues range from $2 to $420! You can play head to head or in big groups! Payouts take place approx. one hour after the final Saturday game.
The Spread - Who will cover the spread? They will! Offers scores, odds, free game predictions, current news and more!