Ole Miss Rebels (7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS) vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (5-7 SU, 8-4 ATS)
College Football Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl
Date and Time: Monday December 30th, 2013. 3:15PM Eastern
Where: LP Field Nashville, T.N.
by Jay, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: Miss -3/GT +3
Over/Under Total: 57.5
One of the joys of bowl season is the unique and intriguing match-ups that you typically do not get from college football's regular season. One of the pairings that I have circled on my calendar is the Music City Bowl that highlights a showdown between the Ole Miss Rebels and the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at LP Field in Nashville, Tennessee. I believe this is one of the most interesting pairings of the postseason because you as viewers get a taste of Hugh Freeze's SEC version of the spread offense against Paul Johnson's rugged triple option attach from Georgia Tech. Needless to say, this game should be entertaining from the contrasting styles if nothing else.
Odds makers have Ole Miss listed a 3 point favorites for their showdown in the Music City. The Rebels have been tested against some extremely strong football teams this season that know how to run the football extremely well. The Rebels have squared off against 4 different teams that were ranked inside the top 10 at the time and also against an Auburn team that not only ranks 1st in rushing but is also preparing to play in the BCS National Championship Game. Therefore the Rebels will not be the least bit intimidated by Georgia Tech's unique offense. The question is will the Rebels defense be able to stop it?
Ole Miss was fairly mediocre against the run this season on paper giving up 155 yards per game (53rd in FBS). However, the Rebels have some young talent along the defensive front and it will be interesting to see how those young guys play given the extra weeks of preparation. Georgia Tech has averaged 311 yards per game on the ground this season which is the 4th best mark among FBS schools. Tailbacks David Sims and Robert Godhigh have contributed to the majority of that damage. Combined both rushers have put together more than 1,500 yards and 17 touchdowns. Quarterback Vad Lee has also added about 500 yards with 8 touchdowns.
The Yellow Jackets can have 3 to 4 different options on any given running play and their offense is very difficult to duplicate on the practice fields during preparation. If the Rebels defense cannot answer the challenge, the offense will need the help of quarterback Bo Wallace to pull out the victory. Wallace has been solid this year throwing the football by completing 65% passing for 3,090 yards with 17 scores and just 9 picks. The entire Rebels offense seems to level their play to their quarterback like no other team in the country. When Wallace struggles, typically so does everyone else around him.
Fortunately for the Georgia Tech defense, Wallace tends to struggle at times under pressure possibly more than most other quarterbacks. First year defensive coordinator Ted Roof has done a good job of getting the best of his defense this year. Georgia Tech's defense averages 2.67 sacks per game (25th in FBS) and has yielded just 22.7 points per game (30th in FBS). If Roof can draw up some blitz packages and keep Wallace on his heels, this game may turn out to be more about the defenses rather than the offenses.
Jay's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Georgia Tech's offense is tough to prepare against with limited time especially during the regular season. However, the Yellow Jackets postseason problems have been well documented the last few years as they have lost 7 of their last 8 bowl games. The reason is that when teams have the extra time to prepare for Georgia Tech, they can typically find ways to slow down their triple option offense. I think that will be the case again this season as an emerging Ole Miss defense gets the best of Paul Johnson's offense yet again. Take the Rebels for a convincing victory!
Are you still betting with a corner bookie? Find out why online is the better choice by reading our piece titled Betting Online vs. The Corner Street Bookie.
Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!
Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.
Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.
College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.
Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.
Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.
2016/2017 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2017 National Championship game at Raymond James Stadium on January 9th.
2016 Heisman Trophy Predictions - DeShaun Watson is favored to win the award at +575 with Stanford RB Christian McCaffrey (+575) and LSU RB Leonard Fournette (+850) close behind. However, the real value may be with Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman at 40/1.
2016-2017 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the National Championship as a 4-horse race which includes Bama at +665, Clemson +725, LSU +900 and Ohio State +1075. Teams on teh bubble include Oklahoma at +1200, Michigan +1300 and FSU at +1350. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!
MyBookie - Get a HUGE 50% bonus (up to $1000 FREE!) after making an initial deposit of $100 or more! Great at getting Visa cards to work for deposits.
Bovada - Boasts the highest credit card acceptance rate on the internet! HUGE menu of wagers for you to choose from! One of few online sportsbooks to offer Texas Hold'em! 50% bonus up to $250 in free cash!
5Dimes - 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Reduced juice betting odds! Buy up to 15 points! Most props on the web!
Bookmaker - Offers a HUGE 50% sign up bonus up to $300! Enjoy LIVE college football betting where you can jump into the action at any time during the game and place a bet! This gives you a huge advantage!
Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - Clemson QB DeShaun Watson will have the ball in his hands a TON and he plays on a good team so he's the obvious favorite to win the award this year at +575. Leonard Fournette at 8.5/1 looks like he could play in the NFL right now. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. It's unlikely to happen as offensive players usually win this honor, but Michigan DB Jabrill Peppers (75-1) and Texas AM DT Myles Garret (110-1) could be in the running as well. It might be a good year to bet more than one prediction!
Odds to Win the 2016 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are favored to be repeat winners of the National Championship this year at +700 followed by Ohio St. at +750 and Clemson at +800. Things drop off a bit with the Michigan Wolverines, LSU Tigers and Oklahoma Sooners all coming in at +1200. Check out your favorite school's odds here!