No. 8 Oregon Ducks (7-1) 6-2 ATS, 5-3 O/U at Stanford Cardinal (5-3) 3-3 ATS, 4-4 O/U Saturday November 7, 2009 Stanford Stadium, Stanford, California. 3:30 p.m. EST
By Wilson of Predictem.com
Point Spread: Oregon -5/Stanford +5
Over/Under: 57
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Well, the Oregon Ducks are kicking themselves right about now for losing to Boise State in week one of this year’s college football campaign. Why? The Ducks have rallied off seven wins in a row and just pounded the USC Trojans last Saturday night 47-20. Now, the Ducks are ranked No. 8 in the country and should be feared by everyone.
Oregon is 5-0 in the Pac-10 and the way they are playing right now they might just clear the table and secure a spot on New Year’s Day. Oregon’s QB Jeremiah Masoli was once again effective and on top of his game as he threw for 222 yards and a touchdown, and he also rushed for 164 yards and a TD on the ground.
The Ducks handed the Trojans their worse loss in 12 years. OU piled up 613 yards of total offense with 391 on the ground. The Trojans defense looked confused the entire game. Oregon kept mixing up the plays and USC had no idea where the ball was going. The Trojans missed tackles, missed assignments, and ultimately missed out on any chance of a BCS Championship Game.
The Stanford Cardinal come into this game with a 4-2 record in the Pac-10. The Cardinal beat Arizona State last week 33-14. Stanford QB Andrew Luck threw for 236 yards on 17 of 28 passing. Cardinal running back Toby Gerhart rushed for 125 yards and a touchdown.
Stanford is vowing for their first bowl game since 2001 and they are just one win from being eligible.
The Ducks are 2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS and 1-2 O/U on the road this season. Stanford is 4-0 SU, 2-0 ATS, and 1-3 O/U at home this year.
Stanford is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games, and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 conference games. The over is 9-2 in Stanford’s last 11 games as an underdog.
The line on this game opened at Stanford +5 and has held for the most part but the Las Vegas Hilton had Stanford +6. Most offshore casinos are also posting Stanford at +5 but make sure to check your favorite online sportsbooks for updated odds.
The Oregon Ducks are averaging 35.6 points per game while allowing 17.1 to their opponents. The Ducks are 2-1 on the road. Stanford is averaging 31.9 ppg and they give up 22.4 ppg to the competition. The Cardinal are undefeated at home this season, so this matchup should have a playoff like feel.
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I have to think the line on this game is a bit interesting at Stanford +5 especially the way the Ducks have been playing. How does a team destroy the USC Trojans and only get five points against Stanford. Sure, Stanford is tough at home and undefeated, but Oregon is playing like every game is a BCS bowl game.
The QB matchup has to go in Masoli’s favor as he is playing as good as any quarterback in the country. He is not only passing the ball well but he is also rushing too. After week one there were some Duck faithful calling for Chip Kelly’s resignation- I’m pretty sure they have changed their tune.
Stanford will not be a pushover especially on their own field. If there is one team in the Pac-10 that seems to pull off unlikely wins it is the Cardinal. I’m not a big fan of the Ducks but I am a huge fan of any team that finds a winning chemistry after a rough start; Oregon is the real deal at the right time. Stanford better play 100 percent on every down or the Ducks will quack all over them.
Wilson’s Pick: Oregon 42, Stanford 28. Luck to ya.
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