No. 13 Oregon Ducks (4-1) 3-2 ATS, 3-2 O/U at UCLA Bruins (3-1) 3-1 ATS, 0-3 O/U Saturday October 10, 2009 Rose Bowl, Pasadena, California 3:30 p.m. EST
By Wilson of Predictem.com
Point Spread: Oregon -3.5/UCLA +3.5
Over/Under: 46.5
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The Rose Bowl will be the place to be this Saturday if you’re a Pac-10 fan. UCLA and Oregon should make for a great conference matchup of two teams who have both resurfaced this season.
Oregon has been building steam ever since their season opening loss at Boise State. The Ducks have won three games in a row and now they look forward to making yet another statement versus the Bruins.
The Ducks are flying into Pasadena after destroying the Washington State Cougars last week at Autzen Stadium in Eugene. Oregon pulled their starting QB at halftime of the WSU game with the score 35-0, and they finished off the Cougars 52-6.
Ducks QB Jeremiah Masoli was 14 of 18 passing for 116 yards and 1 touchdown. Masoli returned after halftime in his warmups and an ice pack, which raised a bit of concern for fans. Masoli apparently suffered a slight knee bruise, but he said he came out of the game because the Ducks were up by 35. Masoli should be ready to play on Saturday.
Oregon is playing like the Oregon of old…solid! The Bruins are lucky they are at home this week as that might help them down the Ducks but I doubt it. I understand how “non-good” Washington State is, but Oregon piled up over 500 yards of total offense and their rushing attack accounted for over 300 yards. The Ducks had five different players run for touchdowns last week.
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The Ducks come into the Rose Bowl averaging 34.2 points per game. They do a good job of balancing out their offensive attack between the ground game and the pass. Oregon is allowing 17.6 points per game to their opponents. After losing in week one to then No. 14 Boise State, the Ducks have significant victories over then No. 6 California and No. 18 Utah. Oregon fans are looking forward to another big win on the road.
UCLA comes into this game after a 24-16 loss at Stanford. The Bruins are averaging 22.8 points per contest and giving up 15 to the opposition.
The Bruins haven’t really played any solid teams outside of Stanford. They beat Tennessee but the Vols are down this year so it wasn’t as great of an accomplishment as in years past. No matter what, the Bruins are still 3-1 and hosting a Pac-10 rival.
Bruin’s QB Kevin Craft was 22 of 34 for 204 yards with zero TDs. The Bruins never really got it going on offense. The only offense that showed up for the Bruins besides a 1-yard TD run by Jonathan Franklin was the leg of place kicker Kai Forbath who knocked down three FGs in the loss.
Oregon is 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games in October. The under is 7-1 for UCLA in their last 8 games overall.
The Ducks won last year’s matchup at Autzen Stadium 31-24. This weekend could set the table for the Pac-10 Championship run. But the Pac-10 is so unpredictable because there are a handful of teams that can each make a run for the Roses.
Oregon has scored over 31 points in each of their last four games while the Bruins have only put up 30 or more in just one game this season.
The Bruins are averaging 22.8 points per game and allowing 15 to their opponents. Oregon is putting up 34 ppg and giving up 17. I think the Ducks are playing as well as they have all year and they keep building more momentum every week. UCLA will need to be on their toes this weekend.
Wilson’s Pick: Oregon 24, UCLA 21. I like the under in this game. Luck to ya.
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