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TCU Horned Frogs vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Odds - Prediction

TCU Horned Frogs (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) vs. Arkansas Razorbacks (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS)
College Football Week 2
Date/Time: Saturday September 9th, 2017. 3:30PM (EST)
Where: Razorback Stadium Fayetteville, A.R.
TV: CBS
by Jay, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: TCU -3/ARK +3
Over/Under Total: TBA

The TCU Horned Frogs will go into Fayetteville for a showdown with the Arkansas Razorbacks this weekend in one of the more intriguing pairings in college football. Ironically, we have two teams in eerie similar situations. Gary Patterson’s Horned Frogs are trying to shake off a 6-7 season and regain their 2014-2015 form where they racked up 23 wins. With the help of several experience players and returning talent, improvement is expected. Meanwhile Bret Bielema has been treading water at the 7-8 win mark for the last 3 seasons. The Razorbacks also return some key veteran players with the hopes to take a step forward. Therefore, this Saturday’s matchup between both teams will be a good measuring stick as to which team is best suited to take that next step.

The Horned Frogs blew out Jackson State last week in a snooze worthy opener 66-0. Quarterback Kenny Hill played well completing 18 of 23 passing for 206 yards with 4 touchdowns and 1 pick. Meanwhile, the Horned Frogs had 9 different players rush the football totaling 242 yards on 36 attempts. It is no surprise that TCU ran the ball well against Jackson State nor should it be a surprise that they run the ball well all season. Patterson’s teams are designed to run the football. However, the difference maker that will to determine TCU’s success level this year relies on the arm of quarterback Kenny Hill.

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If you remember Kenny Hill, he was the former quarterback at Texas A&M who transferred to TCU prior to the 2015 season. Hill did not quite live up to the lofty expectations last year as he threw for 17 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. He was incredibly sharp at times and incredibly shaky at times to say the least. During the 2nd half of the season, Hill seemingly regressed with every game. Sure there were some factors outside of his control like unproven wide outs, injuries, and other items that are too deep to dive into. However, this season and this week’s game with Arkansas’s solid defense will rely heavily on Hill’s performance for the Horned Frogs.

For Arkansas, this is a big game for the Razorbacks. I would not say it is a program changing type of opportunity because that would be the product of a win against Alabama or perhaps LSU. However, this game is big for the Razorbacks potential in 2017. Bielema has built a stable program but it needs to progress. They have the pieces in place to compete but I still think this Arkansas team has several unknowns that will likely not be answered until this week. The defense changed coordinators going with the promotion of defensive backs coach Paul Rhoads which will convert to a 3-4 scheme. How successful will that scheme pan out against teams like TCU and a conference in the SEC that focuses on running the football?

Lastly, Arkansas also has to replace several talents on the offensive side of the football. Luckily, quarterback Austin Allen returns as a proven guy behind center. However, the Razorbacks lost several wide outs and top rusher Rawleigh Williams III. Therefore, the offense has some challenges into identifying the true playmakers for the 2017 season. Last week, freshman Chase Hayden played a great game and showed some signs of explosiveness with 13 carries for 120 yards and a score. We know how important the running game is to Bielema’s offenses so that is a big vote of confidence for Hayden.

Jay's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: I think this will be a hard fought game for both teams. Arkansas is going to be a solid test but I simply think TCU is the better team. They have a solid backbone with their defense that should match-up well against Arkansas. Furthermore, I believe the Horned Frogs have the more proven pieces to move the football consistently on offense. Therefore, I will ride with the Horned Frogs -3!

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NCAA Football Week 5 Betting Previews

Here are some additional game previews from this week's college football card.

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!

Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

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Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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