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TCU Horned Frogs vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Odds - Free Pick

TCU Horned Frogs (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS)
College Football Week 4
Date/Time: Saturday, September 23rd, 2017– 3:30 PM ET
Where: Boone Pickens Stadium – Stillwater, OK
TV: ESPN
by KEITH, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: OK STATE -11.5
Over/Under Total: 68.5

The Big 12 will feature a slobber-knocker when the TCU Horned Frogs (3-0) travel to Stillwater, Oklahoma to face off with the Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-0) in a match-up of Top-16 teams. Currently, the Frogs sit at #16 in the polls. The Pokes are ranked #6. This series has been tipped in favor of the Pokes as of recent. Oklahoma State has won the last two meetings and have emerged victorious in five of the previous six clashes overall. The most recent chapter featured a 31-6 beatdown of the Horned Frogs in Fort Worth when Oklahoma State came to town in 2016. The contest will be televised live from Boone Pickens Stadium for national audiences on ESPN. Kick-off is scheduled for 3:30 PM ET.

2016 was considered a year that the Horned Frogs took a step back. TCU would finish with a loss in their post-season bowl appearance when they fell to the Georgia Bulldogs in the AutoZone Liberty Bowl. The Frogs jumped out to an early lead and the Dawgs would shut the door. Since then, TCU has won their first three contests to open up their 2017 endeavors. TCU comes in off a quality win against rival Southern Methodist, last Saturday. The Frogs would get all over the Pony Express and hand SMU a 56-36 loss. Despite the huge margin of victory, the Horned Frogs failed to cover a -22 line at the close. TCU features a highly-touted quarterback in Kenny Hill. Hill came up by way of Texas A&M before he transferred across state. Hill was flawless against SMU when he went for 365 passing yards, four passing touchdowns, and no interceptions thrown. The dual-threat quarterback is complemented by a duo of bulldozers at running back in Darius Anderson and Kyle Hicks. Hicks was a 1,000-plus yard rusher in 2016.

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The Cowboys feature some premiere talent in quarterback Mason Rudolph and wide receiver James Washington. So far, the Cowboys have lived up to the hype that has surrounded them all season. The Cowboys have won nine of their last 10 outings and have been perfect against the spread this year. Oklahoma State was tasked with covering some rather large numbers and did so with ease. Their most recent contest resulted in a 59-21 thumping when they traveled to Pitt. When comparing TCU to other opponents faced in 2017, the Horned Frogs are certainly a step up in caliber. The Pokes own additional wins against South Alabama and Tulsa to round off their 2017 docket.

Given the fact, the Over/Under in this market has been established at 68.5 it can be derived that many are expecting a shootout between these two high-octane football teams. In such situations, taking the points is the academic move when the number is larger than a touchdown. Despite this, much of the public has smothered Oklahoma State. Currently, 89% of the money is on the Pokes and 71% of the consensus like the Cowboys in this market. This is a big money game with a lot of action in the early going. With all these variables weighed, fading public provides us with a quality opportunity to snag some value on a likely underpriced TCU team. This is a football team that went into Arkansas and laid waste to the Hogs as a three-point favorite. In the early stages, TCU opened as a significant underdog. The rest is history. Not only can TCU cover the line but they can also knock off the Pokes and send the Big 12 into chaos. Oklahoma State has been prone to some monumental losses when they were forecasted to be a Big 12 juggernaut. Last year’s debacle against Central Michigan at home typifies this trend. Texas Christian has a coach that knows to how succeed in high-stakes games and inspire his team to play above their station. Oklahoma State enthusiasts are still waiting for Mike Gundy to take the Pokes to that elite status. Nevertheless, Oklahoma State’s stock is through the ceiling. This creates an ideal buy-low and sell-high scenario that gets us enhanced points on a reputable football team. We have to like that position.

KEITH’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: TCU +11.5. Bet this game for FREE by taking advantage of a 100% bonus (Deposit $100, get $100 FREE!) at the web's oldest sportsbook: Intertops!

NCAA Football Week 8 Betting Previews

Here are some additional game previews from this week's college football card.

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!

Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

Betting

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Intertops - The safest place to bet on the web as they've been around over 20 years! Enjoy LIVE college football betting where you can jump into the action at any time during the game and place a bet! This gives you a huge advantage!

Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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