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Tennessee Volunteers vs. Florida Gators Odds - Prediction

No. 23 Tennessee Volunteers (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) vs. No. 24 Florida Gators (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS)
College Football Week 3
Date/Time: Saturday September 16th, 2017. 3:30PM (EST)
Where: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium Gainesville, F.L.
TV: CBS
by Jay, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: TENN +5.5/FLA -5.5
Over/Under Total: TBA

The 24th ranked Florida Gators will attempt to shake off their disappointing opening loss to Michigan as they return to action this Saturday against the no. 23 Tennessee Volunteers in an SEC East showdown. I believe most of the nation would agree that the Gators looked pretty bad in their opening 33-17 loss to Michigan. The quarterback situation between Feleipe Franks and Malik Zaire was mediocre at best while Florida’s traditional strong rushing attack was held to just 11 yards on the ground in an embarrassing performance. Despite the disappointments in week 1, Florida is still one of the frontrunners in the SEC East as they look to make their 3rd straight SEC Championship appearance.

For the Gators to keep SEC Championship hopes alive, they have to bounce back this week against the Volunteers. Let’s face the facts, a 0-2 start would be detrimental to not only the season but could be the final straw in the Jim McElwain era in Gainesville. Therefore, this game has some added pressure outside of being a typical rivalry setting against a division nemesis. Luckily for Gators fans, Tennessee did not look outstanding in their opener. Granted the Volunteers pulled out a victory over Georgia Tech 42-41 and then backed it up with a 42-7 win over Indiana State in a cake walk last week. However, the Volunteers were beaten in the Georgia Tech game and got a few fortunate breaks that kept them alive. Also, Tennessee’s struggles to stop the run, even an unorthodox triple option, raised red flags. The Volunteers defense showed fatigue and were on their heels as the Yellow Jackets rushed for 535 yards in a single outing.

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The fatigue and lack of depth among the Tennessee defense was evident in the opener. I thought those observations were very concerning considering the amount of focus most SEC teams put towards running the football. Therefore, I want to see some improvement out of this Tennessee defense this week in Gainesville. Additionally, I also was not sold on the Tennessee’s offense. Quarterback Quinten Dormady has shown some accuracy issues despite putting together a really solid 2nd half performance against the Yellow Jackets. Still to the naked eye, he does not look like a poised quarterback and if that is true then it will be problematic against Florida’s defense. I believe Tennessee Coach Butch Jones needs to ride running back John Kelly to get him involved in every way possible. Kelly is an excellent back and he caught 5 passes out of the backfield for 60 yards in last week’s win over Indiana State. I think Tennessee has to continue to put focus on getting Kelly the ball as he is clearly the Volunteers most dangerous playmaker.

If the ball stays in Kelly’s hands, Tennessee will have a better chance for a victory. If they get into a situation where they need Dormady to move the football, I don’t think it will happen against Florida’s defense. Despite the opening blunders, the Gators have a stout defense. They simply have to get help from the offense to get off the field. Quarterback Feleipe Franks is still listed as the starter but we know Malik Zaire will be close by. While the quarterback situation is likely to be a topic for most of the year, Florida has to get some production out of the running game to win this football game. Tailbacks Mark Johnson and Lamical Perine combined for 12 touches for 21 yards in the loss to Michigan which is simply unacceptable. The Gators have the size and talent to run the ball effectively. They simply have to play better.

Jay's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: I hate betting scenarios where I am not confident in either team. However, I think Florida bounces back in this game and finds enough offense to get the job done. I imagine scoring will be few and far between. The under will probably be the best play but I would also take a stab with the Gators -5.5! -Bet your pick for this game using your credit card at an online bookie where it WILL work for deposits and where you'll receive a generous 100% signup bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $250! (Example: Deposit $250 and they'll give you an extra $250 FREE!) Find this great offer at Bovada Sportsbook.

NCAA Football Week 13 Betting Previews

Here are some additional game previews with against the spread predictions.

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!

Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

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Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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