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Texas A&M Aggies vs. South Carolina Gamecocks Odds - Prediction

Texas A&M Aggies (4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS) vs. South Carolina Gamecocks (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS)
College Football Week 5
Date/Time: Saturday, October 1st, 4:00pm EST
Where: Williams-Brice Stadium – Columbia, SC
TV: SECN
by Bob, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: TAM -18 / SC +18
Over/Under Total:OFF

This Saturday afternoon there is an SEC East versus SEC West game between the 9th ranked Texas A&M Aggies and the rebuilding South Carolina Gamecocks. This is a new series that did not start until Texas A&M joined the SEC just a few years ago. These two teams have only met twice with the Aggies being the winners in both games.

The line at this time has the Aggies as the 18 point road favorite. This is a rather high number seeing as how this is the SEC and Williams-Brice is not an easy place to play ever. But, the Texas A&M team has looked good so far in 2016. To be honest, after all the quarterback issues and transfers in the off season not only did I think the Aggies were staring a 7-5 season in the face, I thought coach Kevin Sumlin may be on the hot seat. Now, the season is still young, but if the first four weeks are any indication of how this team is going to play all season, they are a true contender for the SEC West, and yes, I know that means they have to top Alabama. The total points for this game has not yet been set.

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The early action is actually on Texas A&M to go in and cover on the road. 61% of the betting action likes the Aggies while just 39% think the Gamecocks can get the home cover. Both teams records against the spread in 2016 matches their overall records. South Carolina is 2-2 while A&M sits at 4-0 against the spread.

Texas A&M has looked pretty good in 2016, much better than I and many experts thought they would. They are already 4-0 with wins over UCLA, Auburn, and Arkansas. All three of those games were games that they could potentially lose but they found ways to win. Being 2-0 in the SEC is huge for A&M since it seems LSU is down, they have already beaten Auburn and Arkansas (who both play in the West division with A&M). A win over South Carolina this weekend and Texas A&M will be in a three team race with Alabama and Ole Miss for the western division crown. The play of Trevor Knight has been the bright spot for the Aggies offense. Knight, a transfer from Oklahoma, got the start in 2016 and has played well so far. He has thrown for 1,055 yards and seven touchdowns on the season with a completion percentage of around 54% The percentage will need to improve as the season goes on, but Knight has been a great game manager and when needed, he made the plays the Aggies needed. The Texas A&M defense can also get much of the credit for the 4-0 start as well. The Aggies have the 18th best scoring defense in the nation and usually after four weeks much of that is due to a weak schedule. That cannot be said for A&M. They opened against a UCLA team that can score and that also includes two SEC games. This defense is the real deal and it could cause some issues for a young Gamecocks team.

South Carolina is rebuilding. They had a few decent years under Steve Spurrier during the Marcus Lattimore, Alshon Jeffery, and Jadeveon Clowney days. South Carolina was on the cusp of their first conference title since they won the ACC back in 1966 but they came up short when they faced Cam Newton and the Auburn Tigers in the SEC Title game in 2010. Since that time, this team has been on a downward spiral and it was the cause of Spurrier to “resign” and step down mid season last year. We are now entering the Will Muschamp Era. Muschamp for many years was considered the next great coach in waiting. He was a great defensive coordinator at Texas then he eventually got the Florida job and things did not quite go well. After a few losses to Georgia and no appearances in the SEC Title game, he was let go. Now, he has a new chance to gain the respect of the Gamecock Nation. Lets be honest, the Gamecocks program is not as harsh as Florida and do not have the same expectations. They will give Muschamp reasonable time to get things right. However, right now we are in 2016 and this team is not good…they just aren’t. They barely hung on to beat Vanderbilt in the season opener then they went on to lose their next two games against SEC opponents Mississippi State and Kentucky. With all that said, this team does play hard. Muschamp has them playing til the very end so you will not see them lay down. The crowd will be fired up. South Carolina, as bad as their history is, does have a great fanbase that supports their team every game. This will take a team effort from South Carolina. Do I think they can win this game? Absolutely not. But Texas A&M better not come in flat or they may find themselves in a dog fight.

As much as I dislike South Carolina (I am a Georgia fan), I think this game gets tricky for A&M. They are coming off a great win over Arkansas and then next week they face a Tennessee team that some think are primed for an SEC Title run after finally ending an 11 game losing streak to Florida last week. This has trap game written all over it. I do think the Aggies make enough plays to win this game but in this situation, in the SEC, in Williams-Brice Stadium, I like the Gamecocks to compete. Texas A&M will win a 24-13 type game in Columbia giving the Cocks the cover and Texas A&M a 5-0 record.

Bob’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: TAKE SOUTH CAROLINA +18

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NCAA Football Week 5 Betting Previews

Here are some additional game previews from this week's college football card.

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each weekend our very own in-house All-American Editor makes his NCAA point spread predictions in an attempt to force fumbles, sack and intercept your bookie!

Expert College Football Picks - Free premium college foots plays against the spread from expert handicappers from around the web from week 1 through the National Championship.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

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Intertops - The safest place to bet on the web as they've been around over 20 years! Enjoy LIVE college football betting where you can jump into the action at any time during the game and place a bet! This gives you a huge advantage!

Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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