Texas Longhorns (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS)
College Football Week 5
Date/Time: Saturday, October 1, 2016 – 12:00 PM EDT
Where: Boone-Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, OK
by KEITH, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: TEX +2.5/OKSU -2.5
Over/Under Total: 71.5
The Texas Longhorns (2-1) and the Oklahoma State Cowboys (2-2) will continue their Big 12 ambitions as they meet on Saturday, October 1st, in Stillwater, Oklahoma in a pivotal conference clash that will undoubtedly bear some large implications with high stakes. In 2015, Oklahoma State emerged victorious from the most recent collision, as the road team has won the last 7 contests in this series overall. The game will be showcased nationally on ABC at 12:00 PM EDT.
Texas and Oklahoma State both enter on low notes. The Pokes come in off an eleven-point defeat at the hands of Baylor in Waco, last Saturday. As for the Eyes of Texas, they are upon the Horns coming off a bye, preceded by a loss to California on the road two weeks prior where 93 points were scored. The Bears came out on top as they outscored Texas 50-43. With these two results taken in to consideration, the Cowboys are spotting the points at home even when home field advantage has seemingly been nullified in this conference match-up as of late.
Both teams love offense, Texas averages over 500 yards per game in production. Oklahoma State is not too far behind with 465 offensive yards per game. When it comes to defense, like many other Big 12 teams, these clubs leave the defenses at home. Starting 11’s are for show as both of the forecast for this game in terms of totals suggests that a shootout is likely to go off in the Wild Wild West or the Big 12 conference for college football enthusiasts. While Texas may have come out strong with a huge win over Notre Dame, the result has lost its glamour and tarnished after Notre Dame continued to lose games falling to 1-3 overall this season. For Oklahoma State they also have been unimpressive in the grand scale of things. The Pokes fell to the Central Michigan Chippewas at home in Stillwater, three weeks ago as a double-digit point favorite and a stroke of luck put the Chips over the Pokes, accounting for Oklahoma State’s second loss.
Both teams need this win, but it is Oklahoma State that is desperate for a win as they already own a Big 12 loss out of the gate with their demise against Baylor. Playing on this angle is a bankroll killer and should by no means be quantified in combination with the notion that Oklahoma State gets Texas at home that’s why they are the favorite. As we have championed already, home field is out the window. Furthermore we are going to lay a popular betting angle the public may use at their disposal to select the Pokes. Typically laying a team off a bye and a loss can be discerned as a cash cow. However, when the team you are banking on comes in with depleted stock themselves and is prone to let-downs, the game becomes a toss-up in essence. Let us not forget that Texas is the best team Oklahoma State will face at home this season so far. Baylor is likely the best team they have faced up to this point but they too mirror the style of Texas. The jury is still out on Oklahoma State as their most impressive accolade is a win over Pitt but that was proven to be a bit of misnomer as Pitt blew a sure-fire win against Penn State when favored.
Thus, we will be academic and take the points in a shootout situation. As highlighted previously as well, the road team has the edge in this series which once again puts us on the side of Texas. Each team is 2-2 in their last 4 overall in what is a very back and forth series. Nevertheless, if push comes to shove our money would be on the Longhorns to outduel the Cowboys. From Over/Under Total Line perspective, the over is likely the seasonal play as this game may once again be similar to what we saw in Waco with the Pokes and the Bears or in Berkeley with the Horns and the Golden Bears.
KEITH’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Texas +2.5
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