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Texas Longhorns vs. West Virginia Mountaineers Odds - Free Pick

Texas Longhorns (5-5 SU, 6-3 ATS) vs. West Virginia Mountaineers (7-3 SU, 5-4 ATS)
College Football Week 12
Date and Time: Saturday, November 18th, 2017 – 12:00 PM ET
Where: Milan Puskar Stadium - Morgantown, WV
TV: ESPN
by Keith F., Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: TEX +3.5/WVU -3.5
Over/Under Total: 55.5

This Texas Longhorns will hit the road to face off with the West Virginia Mountaineers at Milan Puskar Stadium in Morgantown, West Virginia. This contest is one that will interest many parties and it will be televised for regional audiences on ESPN. The kick-off time is scheduled for an early start of 12:00 PM ET. For both participants, this contest will directly impact bowl implications for both sides. Neither franchise can secure any form of a prestigious bowl bid but a win here sets the tone for the post-season build-up and impacts where each will go. For Texas, they still need a win to make a bowl game but it can be inferred that the Horns have a good chance of securing a bid given the fact their season finale is at home against a weaker opponent in Texas Tech. Nevertheless, a win at West Virginia is a resume builder for Tom Herman and can spark momentum that carries over into the next season. These two teams started meeting in 2012 when West Virginia joined the Big 12. Since then, the series has been 3-2 West Virginia with the Mountaineers winning the last two overall. In 2016, WVU defeated Texas 24-20 in Austin.

The Longhorns come in off a nice bounce-back win when they defeated Kansas 42-27 in Austin. In the week previous, the Horns were absconded by TCU in Fort Worth where they fell 24-7. After a nasty home loss to open their season against Maryland, the Longhorns put together a slew of performances that defied expectations. The Longhorns lost two games in overtime by a margin of three points in each contest, the victors of which being a then undefeated USC and Oklahoma State. The Longhorns also had Oklahoma on the ropes as well before they would come undone down the backstretch. Very simply, this football team is far better than the record indicates and every essence of the word battle-tested.

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The Mountaineers enter on the heels of another climatic win at Kansas State where West Virginia barely escaped with the victory. The Mountaineers were involved in several climactic affairs this season. The Mountaineers in the week before were forced to hold off the pesky Iowa State Cyclones in Morgantown in a 20-16 clash. The Cyclones have been influential in the Big 12 race as they have defeated the likes of Oklahoma and TCU, nearly defeating Oklahoma State last weekend. where they beat the Bears in Waco, Texas by a score of 38-36. West Virginia’s losses this season came against Virginia Tech, Oklahoma State, and TCU. They have yet to secure a true hallmark win that supports some of the pulp surrounding this program in the pre-season.

In the early going we have seen a majority of the money has come in with West Virginia. Across the board, the consensus love the Mountaineers in this spot. As a result, we have seen this market raise by half of a point to confirm the action on West Virginia. In the Over/Under, the number has remained idle in the early going. Generally speaking, these numbers are often quite higher in games involving West Virginia. This is because the Mountaineers are known as a prolific offensive team. However, Texas has a rugged defense and the market is aware that they can indeed control the ebb and flow of this contest.

Not only can Texas cover here, they can win outright and do so convincingly. The body of works of both teams are quite misleading compared to their win and loss record. Very easily, the wins and losses could have been reversed and in that case, Texas would be a road favorite likely by considerable margins. There is no doubt that Bevo is headed in the right direction. With the meat and potatoes of their Big 12 conference out of the way, Texas has a chance to finish strong, secure a bowl berth, and perhaps hit the eight-win mark in 2017. The Longhorns are likely worth a gander in Money Line markets as well, this week.

Keith’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: TEXAS +3.5. Move the line on this game up to 20 points by inserting it into a 20 point football teaser at the web's best sportsbook: 5dimes!

NCAA Football Week 12 Betting Previews

Here are some additional game previews with against the spread predictions.

Free Picks

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Underdog of the Week Pick - We sort through it all and find out which University is getting "too many points" this week. If there was a Heisman Trophy for picking underdogs, we'd be a frontrunner. Expect a 57%+ winning percentage with these picks as we've got a keen ear for loud barking dogs.

Line Movement - NCAA football lines open early in the week and often times move up or down based on wagering activity, injuries to key players and weather. We decipher whether it's square or wiseguy action and predict the point spread winner based on value.

College Football Consensus Picks - We assess the public perception each week and let them pick the winners for us as we fade their selections which provides us with many trips into our bookies endzone.

Computer Picks - We enter them into the computer and the machine makes it's picks. This is a great guide especially when betting totals! These are available after the first few weeks of the season.

Trends - Despite what you have been told or read on tout sites, the trend ain't your friend. We however turn the tables and fade the almighty trend for what should be some great profits over time.

2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Bob gives his picks to win each major conference. At the end, he gives his prediction on who thinks will win the 2018 National Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8th.

2017 Heisman Trophy Predictions - USC QB Sam Darnold is a heavy pre-season favorite to win college football's most coveted award, but Jay isn't buying it. In fact, he's passing up the top (3) favored players in favor of a QB who he's confident will be NCAA football's best player in 2017.

2017-2018 College Football Championship Predictions - NCAA football experts have the Alabama Crimson Tide running away with the National Championship this season and who can blame them? Roll Tide is LOADED! It never happens that easy though. The USC Trojans (+825), Florida St. Seminoles (+850) and Ohio St. Buckckeyes (+875) all have a legit shot. Oddsmakers have Oklahoma (+1300) on the bubble and everybody looking from the outside in at 20/1 or higher. Jay gives his pick to win it all along with how his top 15 rankings for season's end. Get your bets in early before your favorite team's line drops!

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Heisman Trophy Betting Odds - USC QB Sam Darnold starts the season off as a heavy favorite at +350 odds. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is second on the list at +700 but can he keep his nose clean? Louisville QB Lamar Jackson should dominate this season but will Louisville be taken seriously? Oregon Ducks RB Royce Freeman is worth a pop at 60/1 if he gets the carries. Bama WR Calvin Ridley brings experience and big-time playmaking ability and will be featured on National TV a bunch, giving him a legit darkhorse shot. But will they throw the ball enough with a QB who likes to run? Missing from this year's list of odds is a defensive player.

Odds to Win the 2017 College Football Championship - The Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites to win the National Championship this year at 5/2 followed by Ohio St. at 13/5, USC at 7/1 and FSU at 17/2. Things drop off a bit with the Oklahoma Sooners coming in at 12/1, Auburn Tigers at 14/1 and Michigan Wolverines at 16/1. Check out your favorite school's odds here!

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